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Association of area-level education with the regional growth trajectories of rates of antibacterial dispensing to patients under 3 years in Norway: a longitudinal retrospective study

BMJ Open. 2022 Sep 8;12(9):e058491. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-058491.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between area-level education and the local growth trajectories in antibacterial dispensing rates in Norwegian municipalities among children under 3 years old.

DESIGN: Retrospective, longitudinal study using individual primary care prescription data from the Norwegian Prescription Database for the period 2006-2016. Data were collected on the date of dispensing, the type and amount of antibiotic, the patient’s age, sex and municipality of residence and linked to municipality-level statistics on education available from Statistics Norway. We used multilevel growth curve modelling, with a linear trend variable modelled as a random effect and a cross-level interaction between linear trends and the proportion of the population in the municipality having received a university or college education.

SETTING: The local government level in Norway. The sample includes all municipalities over the study period.

OUTCOME MEASURE: Number of dispensed antibacterial prescriptions per 100 children in individual primary care by municipality and year.

RESULTS: We identified a significant negative linear trend in the square root of the dispensing rate for children under 3 years old during the period. This trend varied between municipalities. A negative cross-level interaction term between population education levels and random trends showed that municipalities with an average level of population education saw a reduction in their square root dispensing rates of -0.053 (95% CI -0.066 to -0.039) prescriptions per 100 children. Each additional percentage point in population education contributed a further -0.0034 (95% CI -0.006 to -0.001) reduction to the square root dispensing rate.

CONCLUSIONS: Municipalities in which a larger proportion of the local population have high educational achievements have been more successful in reducing antibacterial dispensing rates in children under 3 years old. Adopting area-level strategies and addressing local community disadvantages may help to optimise practices and prescribing patterns across local communities.

PMID:36691217 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-058491

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