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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A Bayesian approach based on discounting factor for consistency assessment in multi-regional clinical trial

J Biopharm Stat. 2024 Mar 20:1-17. doi: 10.1080/10543406.2024.2328591. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Multi-regional clinical trial (MRCT) has become an increasing trend for its supporting simultaneous global drug development. After MRCT, consistency assessment needs to be conducted to evaluate regional efficacy. The weighted Z-test approach is a common consistency assessment approach in which the weighting parameter W does not have a good practical significance; the discounting factor approach improved from the weighted Z-test approach by converting the estimation of W in original weighted Z-test approach to the estimation of discounting factor D. However, the discounting factor approach is an approach of frequency statistics, in which D was fixed as a certain value; the variation of D was not considered, which may lead to un-reasonable results. In this paper, we proposed a Bayesian approach based on D to evaluate the treatment effect for the target region in MRCT, in which the variation of D was considered. Specifically, we first took D random instead of fixed as a certain value and specified a beta distribution for it. According to the results of simulation, we further adjusted the Bayesian approach. The application of the proposed approach was illustrated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation.

PMID:38506674 | DOI:10.1080/10543406.2024.2328591

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