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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Outcome of A Centralization Program in Biliary atresia: 20 years and beyond

Ann Surg. 2024 Mar 20. doi: 10.1097/SLA.0000000000006273. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Biliary atresia (BA) is a rare disease and reported outcomes of surgical management, typically a Kasai portoenterostomy (KPE), vary considerably across the world. Centralization has been proposed to improve this.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: A national centralization programme was started in Jan. 1999, involving 3 English units with co-located liver transplant facilities. As the program has now reached the 20-year point, the main aim was to update outcome statistics and identify trends.

METHODS: Prospective registry and database. The main measures of outcome were (i) time to KPE, (ii) Clearance of Jaundice (CoJ), defined as reaching a bilirubin value of <20µmol/L (≈1.5 mg/dL), and (iii) actuarial native liver survival (NLS) and overall survival (OS). Data are quoted as median (IQR) and non-parametric statistical comparison used with P<0.05 regarded as significant.

RESULTS: 867 infants were born with BA and managed between January 1999 and December 2019. Death occurred without intervention (n=10, 1.1%) or were subject to primary transplant (n=26, 3.0%); leaving 831 (95.9%) infants who underwent KPE at median age of 51 (IQR 39-64) days. Age at KPE reduced over the period (P=0.0001) becoming 48(35-57) days in the last 5-year era. CoJ was achieved in 505/831 (60.6%), also increasing over the period (P=0.002). 42 (5.0%) died post-KPE and 384 were transplanted, leaving 405 alive with their native livers at last follow-up. Of the 412 children transplanted, there were 23 (5.6%) deaths, leaving 387 alive. 5-year and 10-year native liver survival were 51.3% (95% CI 54.8-47.8) and 46.5% (95% CI 50.1 – 42.9) and overall survival were 91.5% (95% CI 93.2 – 89.4) and 90.5% (95% CI 92.3 – 88.2%) respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: There have been continued improvements in efficiency over the period of centralization with a significant reduction in time to KPE and improved CoJ following KPE. Overall survival in this disease remains >90%.

PMID:38506040 | DOI:10.1097/SLA.0000000000006273

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