Phys Rev E. 2026 Mar;113(3-1):034117. doi: 10.1103/sj6t-pctp.
ABSTRACT
For statistics of rare events in systems obeying a large-deviation principle, the rate function is a key quantity. When numerically estimating the rate function, one is always restricted to finite system sizes. Thus, if the interest is in the limiting rate function for infinite system sizes, first, several system sizes have to be studied numerically. Here, rare-event algorithms using biased ensembles give access to the low-probability region. Second, some kind of system-size extrapolation has to be performed. Here, we demonstrate how rare-event importance sampling schemes can be combined with multihistogram reweighting. We study two ways of performing the system-size extrapolation, either directly acting on the empirical rate functions or on the scaled cumulant generating functions, to obtain the infinite-size limit. The presented method is demonstrated for a binomial distributed variable, a Markov process of random bits, and the largest connected component of Erdős-Rényi random graphs. Analytical solutions are available in all cases for direct comparison. It is observed in particular that phase transitions appearing in the biased ensembles can lead to systematic deviations from the true result.
PMID:41998940 | DOI:10.1103/sj6t-pctp
