Cancer Invest. 2026 Aug 24:1-11. doi: 10.1080/07357907.2026.2721530. Online ahead of print.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Although inflammation and lipid metabolism disorders have been confirmed to affect the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD)-specific mortality and cancer-specific mortality in cancer survivors, the predictive value of the high-sensitivity C-reactive protein/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (CHR) for these outcomes remains unclear, with a paucity of relevant research evidence.
METHODS: Based on data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2015-2018, a total of 1,064 cancer survivors aged ≥20 years were enrolled and followed up for 61 months. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW)-weighted Fine-Gray competing risk models, restricted cubic splines, and subgroup analyses were used to systematically explore the association between CHR and CVD-specific mortality as well as cancer-specific mortality.
RESULTS: During the follow-up period, 127 deaths occurred, including 52 cancer-specific deaths and 27 CVD-specific deaths. The level of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) was significantly higher in the CVD-specific death group, while the level of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) was significantly lower in the cancer-specific death group; CHR was significantly elevated in both death groups compared with their corresponding non-death groups. After IPTW-weighted Fine-Gray competing risk adjustment, each 1-unit increment in CHR was associated with a 5.0% higher subdistribution hazard of CVD-specific mortality among cancer survivors (adjusted SHR = 1.050, P < 0.05). A weak but statistically significant overall linear association was also observed between CHR and cancer-specific mortality (P < 0.05). Restricted cubic spline (RCS) competing risk models further revealed a distinct threshold-dependent nonlinear relationship for cancer-specific mortality, with an inflection point at 3.02 mg/mmol. The hazard of cancer death increased sharply with rising CHR below this cutoff and remained stable without additional risk elevation at higher CHR levels.
CONCLUSIONS: CHR independently predicts higher subdistribution hazard of CVD-specific mortality in cancer survivors, with a 5.0% risk increase per unit elevation. While CHR shows a weak overall linear association with cancer-specific mortality, their relationship exhibits a segmented nonlinear pattern with an exploratory inflection point at 3.02 mg/mmol; this value is not a validated clinical cutoff due to limited outcome events. With distinct predictive effects for the two competing fatal outcomes, CHR could act as a convenient auxiliary biomarker for long-term mortality risk evaluation and lay a foundation for future large-cohort validation of clinical thresholds.
PMID:42637674 | DOI:10.1080/07357907.2026.2721530