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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluation of SEAWAVE-QEX in a High Agricultural Intensity Catchment in Belgium

Integr Environ Assess Manag. 2022 Sep 22. doi: 10.1002/ieam.4688. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Pesticide surface water monitoring data have rarely been used as the only quantitative measure of exposure because the available monitoring data for most pesticides has not been considered robust enough for direct use in pesticide exposure assessments due to infrequent sampling. The cost of daily sample collection and analysis prohibits high sampling frequency for most monitoring programs. In this context, a common question raised in assessments is how likely peak concentrations (i.e., annual maximums) may be missed if sampling intervals are greater than daily. The US Geological Survey developed the statistical model ‘seasonal wave with streamflow adjustment and extended capability’ (SEAWAVE-QEX) to address the need to estimate infrequently occurring pesticide concentrations, such as annual maximum daily concentrations, for sites with non-daily monitoring data. This study compares the results of two post-processing methods and evaluates the capability of SEAWAVE-QEX to estimate annual maximum concentrations of three commonly used herbicides and one metabolite in a catchment in Belgium. The study concludes that the appropriateness of using SEAWAVE-QEX to estimate annual maximum concentrations is dependent on pesticide characteristics and usage and that the model can be particularly sensitive to non-flow correlated exposure events (e.g., point source contributions or drift). This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. © 2022 SETAC.

PMID:36134644 | DOI:10.1002/ieam.4688

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Sensitivity and specificity of body mass index and main risk factors for cardiovascular disease in middle-income urban participants in Guanajuato, Mexico

Nutr Hosp. 2022 Sep 20. doi: 10.20960/nh.04074. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: several studies have questioned body mass index (BMI) as an accurate diagnostic tool for obesity and therefore a predictor of cardiovascular risk. But BMI is widely used currently.

OBJECTIVE: we analyzed the sensitivity and specificity of BMI and compared cardiovascular risk factors in middle-income urban participants in Guanajuato, Mexico, at different ages.

DESIGN: an analytical and cross-sectional study was carried out in 385 apparently healthy subjects, stratified by age ranges (20 to 59 years old). A high global CVD risk was obtained with the Framingham risk score (Framingham Risk Score > 20 %). The odds ratio was used to assess the association between high global CVD risk and the dietetic and anthropometric variables. Sensitivity, specificity, and correlation statistical analyses were carried out between BMI and other anthropometric variables with high cardiovascular risk, and this was integrated to derive recommendations to improve risk factor detection (p < 0.05 and power of 80 %).

RESULTS: a high global CVD risk was found in 4 % of the sample. BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 had a sensitivity of 77 % for the detection of high cardiovascular risk; waist circumference ≥ 90 cm (men) or ≥ 80 cm (women) and body fat percentage ≥ 2 5% (men) or ≥ 35 % (women) had a sensitivity of 100 %. BMI showed a significant association with high global CVD risk (OR = 6.1; 95 % CI, 1.6-22.6, p < 0.01), but was not able to predict high global CVD risk in at least 30 % of the cases. There was not significative difference by age group for waist circumference, body fat percentage, total cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein. Regarding the comparison of dietary intake of the stratified population by age group, intake of cholesterol, added sugars, fiber, sodium were highest in the 20 years group.

CONCLUSIONS: a higher intake of cholesterol, simple sugars, and sodium was observed in the 20-year-old age group. The use of BMI with waist circumference and percentage of body fat used together allow a better assessment of cardiovascular risk. We need to integrate this new recommendation to increase early detection of main risk factors for cardiovascular disease.

PMID:36134593 | DOI:10.20960/nh.04074

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The influence of obesity and diet quality on fetal growth and perinatal outcome

Nutr Hosp. 2022 Sep 21. doi: 10.20960/nh.04076. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: maternal obesity is associated with an increase of both maternal and fetal complications as macrosomia.

AIM: to assess the quality of diet in a cohort of pregnant women in terms of Mediterranean diet (MD) adherence and to examine the association between diet quality, obesity, weight gain and fetal growth and perinatal complications.

METHODS: Mediterranean Diet Adherence Screener (MEDAS) was applied to assess diet quality in 542 pregnant women. Fetal biometric measurements at third-trimester ultrasound were collected and perinatal outcomes were recorded.

RESULTS: only 35 % of pregnant women presented a good quality of diet, in terms of adherence to MD. Diet quality significantly increased with lower values of body mass index (BMI) and higher maternal age. Higher BMI was significantly associated with a higher abdominal circumference and estimated fetal weight at the third trimester, a higher risk of hypertension disorder, induction of labor and a higher birthweight. A statistically significant association between diet quality and ultranosographic measures or perinatal outcome was not found. However, a higher weight gain across gestation was significantly associated with a higher risk of gestational diabetes, a higher gestational age at delivery and a higher birthweight.

CONCLUSION: most of our pregnant women did not showed a great diet quality, but there was no evidence that diet quality affected pregnancy complications. On the contrary, pre-pregnancy BMI was related to fetal and neonatal growth and obstetric outcomes, similarly to weight gain across gestation.

PMID:36134591 | DOI:10.20960/nh.04076

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in a cohort of patients with type 2 diabetes: the PHIGNA-DM2 study

Nutr Hosp. 2022 Sep 19. doi: 10.20960/nh.03969. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a risk factor for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

OBJECTIVE: to evaluate the prevalence of NAFLD in a cohort of patients with T2D.

METHODS: an observational, descriptive study performed between May 2018 and December 2019 at the Endocrinology and Nutrition Unit. The χ² test was performed for qualitative variables and a non-parametric test for the comparison of medians of quantitative variables. Steatosis degree was defined by the coefficient attenuated parameter (CAP): (S0: < 248 dB/m; S1: 248-268 dB/m; S2: 268-288 dB/m; S3: > 288 dB/m) or stiffness: F0-F1: < 8 kPa; F2: 8-10 kPa; F3: 10-15 kPa; F4: > 15 kPa, using transient elastography (TE) (FibroScan®). A univariate analysis was performed and subsequently a multivariate analysis with statistically significant variables used to study the predictive factors of intense steatosis and advanced fibrosis.

RESULTS: n = 104 patients with T2D; 84 (80.7 %) were obese. TE demonstrated advanced fibrosis in 20 % and intense steatosis (S3) in more than 50 %. Lower total bilirubin (OR: 0.028; 95 % CI: (0.002-0.337); p = 0.005) was found to be an independent factor for S3 steatosis in the multivariate analysis. BMI ((OR: 1.497; 95 % CI: (1.102-2.034); p = 0.01)) was a predictive factor for advanced fibrosis in a multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS: NAFLD-associated intense steatosis and NAFLD-associated fibrosis were commonly found in patients with T2DM and obesity. Diabetic patients should be screened for liver disease as one more target organ.

PMID:36134588 | DOI:10.20960/nh.03969

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Rapid infusion of infliximab biosimilars and the incidence and severity of infusion-related reactions in patients with inflammatory bowel disease

J Clin Pharm Ther. 2022 Sep 22. doi: 10.1111/jcpt.13779. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

WHAT IS KNOWN AND OBJECTIVE: Infliximab is an anti-tumour necrosis factor agent used in the treatment of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), which includes Crohn’s disease and ulcerative colitis. While the use of infliximab is well established in the treatment of IBD, there are now four recently FDA-approved infliximab biosimilars that are increasingly used due to their cost-benefit for patients, institutions and payors. In addition, shortening the length of infliximab infusions from 120 min (standard infusion) to 60 min or less (rapid infusion) has been shown to safely provide further cost-benefit while also improving patient convenience. The safety of rapid infusions has been well-established for the infliximab reference product, however, there are limited data available regarding the safety of rapid infusions for infliximab biosimilars. The purpose of this study was to compare the incidence and severity of infusion reactions among patients with IBD receiving rapid infusion of infliximab reference product compared with infliximab biosimilar.

METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of electronic health record data of patients with a diagnosis of IBD receiving an infliximab reference product or infliximab biosimilar infusion between December 2020 and December 2021. Patient-level variables included demographics, immunomodulator use, IBD-related hospitalization and infliximab trough concentration and antibody levels. Infusion-related variables of interest included total number of infusions, drug, dose, dosing interval, infusion time and use of pre-medications. Infusion-related reactions were defined as safety concerns documented by the administering nurse (anaphylaxis, shortness of breath, hypotension, swelling, rash, pruritus, hives, flushing, chest pain, muscle pain, joint pain, fevers, chills, headache or hypertension) or administration of emergency medications. Fisher’s exact test was used to compare reaction rates.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: A total of 188 patients met inclusion criteria for analysis, and a total of 1124 infusions were administered during the study period. There were no statistically significant differences among any of the pre-specified outcomes. There were no differences in the incidence of infusion reactions among rapid infusion (60 min) infliximab and infliximab biosimilars (p = 0.863). Additionally, there were no differences in the incidence of infusion reactions among standard infusion (120 min) infliximab and infliximab biosimilars (p = 0.993). Finally, there were no differences among the rate of infusion reactions between rapid infusion of infliximab biosimilars and standard infusion of infliximab biosimilars (p = 0.536). Eight patients experienced safety issues, with three patients requiring emergency medications (1.6% of 188 patients).

WHAT IS NEW AND CONCLUSIONS: Rapid infusions of infliximab biosimilars were not associated with an increase in the incidence of infusion reactions compared with: rapid infusion of infliximab reference product, standard infusion of infliximab biosimilars, or standard infusion of infliximab reference product. This should reassure clinicians that rapid infusions of infliximab biosimilars are safe in clinical practice.

PMID:36134561 | DOI:10.1111/jcpt.13779

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Risk of COVID-19 hospitalizations among school-aged children in Scotland: A national incident cohort study

J Glob Health. 2022 Sep 23;12:05044. doi: 10.7189/jogh.12.05044.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is considerable policy, clinical and public interest about whether children should be vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 and, if so, which children should be prioritised (particularly if vaccine resources are limited). To inform such deliberations, we sought to identify children and young people at highest risk of hospitalization from COVID-19.

METHODS: We used the Early Pandemic Evaluation and Enhanced Surveillance of COVID-19 (EAVE II) platform to undertake a national incident cohort analysis to investigate the risk of hospitalization among 5-17 years old living in Scotland in risk groups defined by the living risk prediction algorithm (QCOVID). A Cox proportional hazard model was used to derive hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between risk groups and COVID-19 hospital admission. Adjustments were made for age, sex, socioeconomic status, co-morbidity, and prior hospitalization.

RESULTS: Between March 1, 2020 and November 22, 2021, there were 146 183 (19.4% of all 752 867 children in Scotland) polymerase chain reaction (PCR) confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections among 5-17 years old. Of those with confirmed infection, 973 (0.7%) were admitted to hospital with COVID-19. The rate of COVID-19 hospitalization was higher in those within each QCOVID risk group compared to those without the condition. Similar results were found in age stratified analyses (5-11 and 12-17 years old). Risk groups associated with an increased risk of COVID-19 hospital admission, included (adjusted HR, 95% CIs): sickle cell disease 14.35 (8.48-24.28), chronic kidney disease 11.34 (4.61-27.87), blood cancer 6.32 (3.24-12.35), rare pulmonary diseases 5.04 (2.58-9.86), type 2 diabetes 3.04 (1.34-6.92), epilepsy 2.54 (1.69-3.81), type 1 diabetes 2.48 (1.47-4.16), Down syndrome 2.45 (0.96-6.25), cerebral palsy 2.37 (1.26-4.47), severe mental illness 1.43 (0.63-3.24), fracture 1.41 (1.02-1.95), congenital heart disease 1.35 (0.82-2.23), asthma 1.28 (1.06-1.55), and learning disability (excluding Down syndrome) 1.08 (0.82-1.42), when compared to those without these conditions. Although our Cox models were adjusted for a number of potential confounders, residual confounding remains a possibility.

CONCLUSIONS: In this national study, we observed an increased risk of COVID-19 hospital admissions among school-aged children with specific underlying long-term health conditions compared with children without these conditions.

PMID:36134546 | DOI:10.7189/jogh.12.05044

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Comparison of the Outcomes of Microendoscopic Discectomy Versus Full-Endoscopic Discectomy for the Treatment of L4/5 Lumbar Disc Herniation

Global Spine J. 2022 Sep 22:21925682221127997. doi: 10.1177/21925682221127997. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective Comparative Study.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the outcomes of microendoscopic discectomy (MED) versus full-endoscopic discectomy (FED) for treating L4/5 lumbar disc herniation (LDH).

METHODS: A retrospective study was performed on patients with L4/5 LDH treated using MED (n = 249) or FED (n = 124). A 16-mm tubular retractor and endoscope was used for MED, while a 4.1-mm working channel endoscope was used for FED. Patient background and operative data were collected. The Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) and European Quality of Life-5 Dimensions (EQ-5D) scores were recorded preoperatively and at 1 and 2 years postsurgery.

RESULTS: The background data of the two groups were similar. The mean operation times for MED and FED were 59.3 and 47.7 min (respectively), and the mean volumes of removed nucleus pulposus were .65 and 1.03 g, respectively. These differences were significant (P < .001). Six dural tears and one postoperative hematoma were observed in the MED group; none were observed in the FED group. During the follow-up period, 16 MED and 7 FED patients required re-operation due to recurrence (P = 1.00). Although the ODI and EQ-5D scores significantly improved at 1 and 2 years postsurgery in both groups, the differences were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS: Operative outcomes were almost identical in both groups. We did not observe any operative or postoperative complications in FED. We, therefore, recommend FED as the first option for the treatment of L4/5 LDH since it has a better safety profile and is minimally invasive.

PMID:36134544 | DOI:10.1177/21925682221127997

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Change-plane analysis for subgroup detection with a continuous treatment

Biometrics. 2022 Sep 22. doi: 10.1111/biom.13762. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Detecting and characterizing subgroups with differential effects of a binary treatment has been widely studied and led to improvements in patient outcomes and population risk management. Under the setting of a continuous treatment, however, such investigations remain scarce. We propose a semiparametric change-plane model and consequently a doubly robust test statistic for assessing the existence of two subgroups with differential treatment effects under a continuous treatment. The proposed testing procedure is valid when either the baseline function for the covariate effects or the generalized propensity score function for the continuous treatment is correctly specified. The asymptotic distributions of the test statistic under the null and local alternative hypotheses are established. When the null hypothesis of no subgroup is rejected, the change-plane parameters that define the subgroups can be estimated. This paper provides a unified framework of the change-plane method to handle various types of outcomes, including the exponential family of distributions and time-to-event outcomes. Additional extensions with nonparametric estimation approaches are also provided. We evaluate the performance of our proposed methods through extensive simulation studies under various scenarios. An application to the Health Effects of Arsenic Longitudinal Study with a continuous environmental exposure of arsenic is presented. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

PMID:36134534 | DOI:10.1111/biom.13762

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Distribution and statistical analysis of major and trace elements in the bee pollen from the territory of Republic of Kosovo

J Environ Sci Health A Tox Hazard Subst Environ Eng. 2022 Sep 22:1-11. doi: 10.1080/10934529.2022.2125738. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The objective of this study was the determination of major and trace elements in the bee pollen samples from the whole territory of Republic of Kosovo. Pollen, as a natural plant product, is exposed to different contaminations absorbed by plants from the soil through the root system or with water intake, as well as to pollutants of different origins, including anthropogenic ones, deposited directly on pollen. In total 67 pollen samples were collected in 2019. The samples were analyzed for 27 macro and microelements by using ICP-AES and ICP-MS. The mean content of major elements in bee pollen was 4065, 3455, 1375 and 549 mg/kg for K, P, Ca and Mg, respectively. The range of the contents for some potentially toxic elements was 11.9-139.1, 1.9-16, 0.11-6.25, 0.01-0.329 and 0.001-0.38 mg/kg for Zn, Cu, Pb, Cd and As, respectively. Three groups of elements of mixed origin were identified through factor analysis: the first and the third Factors, are mostly of geogenic origin (Ag, Li, Al, Fe, Ca, Sr, K, Mg and P and Co, Ni, Cr, Cu and Mn) and the second Factor association is related to anthropogenic processes (Sb, As, Pb, Tl, Sn and Cd).

PMID:36134509 | DOI:10.1080/10934529.2022.2125738

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Reaction of OH radicals with CH3NH2 in the gas phase: experimental (11.7-177.5 K) and computed rate coefficients (10-1000 K)

Phys Chem Chem Phys. 2022 Sep 22. doi: 10.1039/d2cp03414j. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Nitrogen-bearing molecules, like methylamine (CH3NH2), can be the building blocks of amino acids in the interstellar medium (ISM). At the ultralow temperatures of the ISM, it is important to know its gas-phase reactivity towards interstellar radicals and the products formed. In this work, the kinetics of the OH + CH3NH2 reaction was experimentally and theoretically investigated at low- and high-pressure limits (LPL and HPL) between 10 and 1000 K. Moreover, the CH2NH2 and CH3NH yields were computed in the same temperature range for both pressure regimes. A pulsed CRESU (French acronym for Reaction Kinetics in a Uniform Supersonic Flow) apparatus was employed to determine the rate coefficient, k(T), in the 11.7-177.5 K range. A drastic increase of k(T) when the temperature is lowered was observed in agreement with theoretical calculations, evaluated by the competitive canonical unified statistical (CCUS) theory, below 300 K in the LPL regime. The same trend was observed in the HPL regime below 350 K, but the theoretical k(T) values were higher than the experimental ones. Above 200 K, the calculated rate coefficients are improved with respect to previous computational studies and are in excellent agreement with the experimental literature data. In the LPL, the formation of CH3NH becomes largely dominant below ca. 100 K. Conversely, in the HPL regime, CH2NH2 is the only product below 100 K, whereas CH3NH becomes dominant at 298 K with a branching ratio similar to the one found in the LPL regime (≈70%). At T > 300 K, both reaction channels are competitive independently of the pressure regime.

PMID:36134502 | DOI:10.1039/d2cp03414j