Category: Statistics

Global Spine J. 2023 Dec 16:21925682231222903. doi: 10.1177/21925682231222903. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND CONTEXT: Several studies have shown that factors such as insurance type and patient income are associated with different readmission rates following certain orthopaedic procedures. The literature, however, remains sparse with regard to these demographic characteristics and their associations to perioperative lumbar spine fusion outcomes.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to assess the associations between hospital type, insurance type, and patient median income to both 30-day complication and readmission rates following lumbar spine fusion.

PATIENT SAMPLE: Patients who underwent primary lumbar spine fusion (n = 596,568) from 2010-2016 were queried from the National Readmissions Database (NRD).

OUTCOME MEASURES: Incidence of 30-day complication and readmission rates.

METHODS: All relevant diagnoses and procedures were identified using International Classification of Disease, 9th and 10th Edition (ICD-9, 10) codes. Hospital types were categorized as metropolitan non-teaching (n = 212,131), metropolitan teaching (n = 364,752), and rural (n = 19,685). Insurance types included: Medicare (n = 213,534), Medicaid (n = 78,520), private insurance (n = 196,648), and out-of-pocket (n = 45,025). Patient income was divided into the following quartiles: Q1 (n = 112,083), Q2 (n = 145,755), Q3 (n = 156,276), and Q4 (n = 147,289), wherein quartile 1 corresponded to lower income ranges and quartile 4 to higher ranges. Statistical analysis was conducted in R. Kruskal-Wallis tests with Dunn’s pairwise comparisons were performed to analyze differences in 30-day readmission and complication rates in patients who underwent lumbar spine fusion. Complications analyzed included infection, wound injury, hematoma, neurological injury, thromboembolic event, and hardware failure.

RESULTS: 30-day readmission was significantly higher in metropolitan teaching hospitals compared to metropolitan non-teaching hospitals and rural hospitals (P < .05). Patients from metropolitan teaching hospitals had significantly higher rates of infection (P < .001), wound injury (P < .001), hematoma (P = .018), and hardware failure (P < .002) compared to those treated at metropolitan non-teaching hospitals. Privately insured patients were significantly less likely to be readmitted at 30 days than those paying with Medicare or Medicaid (P < .01). Patients with private insurance also experienced significantly lower rates of hematoma formation than Medicare beneficiaries and out-of-pocket payers (P < .01), postoperative wound injury compared to Medicaid patients and out-of-pocket payers (P < .005), and infection compared to all other groups (P < .001). Patients in Quartile 4 experienced significantly greater rates of hematoma formation compared to those in Quartiles 1 and 2 and were more likely to experience a thromboembolic event compared to all other groups.

CONCLUSION: Patients undergoing lumbar spine fusion at metropolitan non-teaching hospitals and paying with private insurance had significantly lower 30-day readmission rates than their counterparts. Complications within 30 days following lumbar spine fusion were significantly higher in patients treated at metropolitan teaching hospitals and in Medicare and Medicaid beneficiaries. Aside from a few exceptions, however, patient income was generally not associated with differential complication rates.

PMID:38103012 | DOI:10.1177/21925682231222903

Biom J. 2023 Dec 16:e2300177. doi: 10.1002/bimj.202300177. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Online testing procedures assume that hypotheses are observed in sequence, and allow the significance thresholds for upcoming tests to depend on the test statistics observed so far. Some of the most popular online methods include alpha investing, LORD++, and SAFFRON. These three methods have been shown to provide online control of the “modified” false discovery rate (mFDR) under a condition known as CS. However, to our knowledge, LORD++ and SAFFRON have only been shown to control the traditional false discovery rate (FDR) under an independence condition on the test statistics. Our work bolsters these results by showing that SAFFRON and LORD++ additionally ensure online control of the FDR under a “local” form of nonnegative dependence. Further, FDR control is maintained under certain types of adaptive stopping rules, such as stopping after a certain number of rejections have been observed. Because alpha investing can be recovered as a special case of the SAFFRON framework, our results immediately apply to alpha investing as well. In the process of deriving these results, we also formally characterize how the conditional super-uniformity assumption implicitly limits the allowed p-value dependencies. This implicit limitation is important not only to our proposed FDR result, but also to many existing mFDR results.

PMID:38102999 | DOI:10.1002/bimj.202300177

FASEB J. 2024 Jan;38(1):e23375. doi: 10.1096/fj.202201709RRRR.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Elevated IL-21 expression which can effectively induce Th17 cell differentiation has been implicated in the pathogenesis of psoriasis, but its role in angiogenesis remains poorly understood.

METHODS: PASI and PSI score assessment was applied to evaluate the severity of psoriatic lesions. The expression of IL-21, IL-21 receptor (IL-21R), CD31, VEGFA, MMP-9, and ICAM-1 in skin was determined by immunohistochemistry or quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction. The serum level of IL-21 was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Then, their correlation was analyzed statistically. Human umbilical vein endothelial cells (HUVECs) cocultured with conditional medium from normal human epidermal keratinocytes (NHEKs) were treated with IL-21 and/or M5 cocktail (mixture of IL-1α, IL-17A, IL-22, TNF-α, and oncostatin M). The migration and tube formation of HUVECs were detected, and the levels of VEGFA, MMP-9, and ICAM-1 in NHEKs were measured by Western blotting or ELISA.

RESULTS: Increased IL-21 and IL-21R expression was observed in psoriatic sera or skin specimens, with IL-21R mainly locating in keratinocytes and IL-21 in immune cells. Pearson analysis showed significantly positive correlation between IL-21/IL-21R and erythema scores/microvessel density in psoriatic lesions. Moreover, the expression of proangiogenic genes, VEGFA, ICAM-1, and MMP-9 was upregulated in skins of psoriasis. Additionally, in M5 microenvironment, migration and tube formation could be magnified in HUVECs using IL-21 pre-treated NHEK medium. Mechanically, the co-stimulation of IL-21 and M5 to NEHKs increased the expression of ICAM-1.

CONCLUSION: IL-21 could regulate keratinocytes to secrete ICAM-1, thereby promoting angiogenesis in psoriasis.

PMID:38102968 | DOI:10.1096/fj.202201709RRRR

J Cancer Res Ther. 2023 Dec 15. doi: 10.4103/jcrt.JCRT_1595_20. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We investigated the impact of the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) on esophageal cancer survival and recurrence after curative treatment.

METHODS: This study included 120 patients who underwent curative surgery followed by the adjuvant treatment for esophageal cancer between 2008 and 2018. The risk factors for overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were identified.

RESULTS: The PNI of 49 was regarded to be the optimal critical point of classification considering the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rate. The OS rates at three and five years after surgery were 47.4% and 36.0% in the PNI low group, respectively, and 62.5% and 56.5% in the PNI high group, which amounted to a statistically significant difference (P = 0.020). The RFS rates at three and five years after surgery were 31.0% and 24.8% in the PNI low group, respectively, and 50.9% and 42.8% in the PNI high group, which amounted to a statistically significant difference (P = 0.020). A multivariate analysis demonstrated that the PNI was a significant independent risk factor for the OS and a marginally significant independent risk factor forRFS.

CONCLUSION: The PNI was a risk factor for survival in patients who underwent curative treatment for esophageal cancer. It is necessary to develop the effective plan of the perioperative care and the surgical strategy according to the PNI.

PMID:38102916 | DOI:10.4103/jcrt.JCRT_1595_20

J Cancer Res Ther. 2023 Dec 15. doi: 10.4103/jcrt.JCRT_1621_20. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

CONTEXT: High-dose chemotherapy followed by autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) is an established treatment for chemosensitive patients with relapsed or refractory (R/R) non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) and Hodgkin lymphoma (HL).

AIMS: We present the results of using different salvage chemotherapy plus granulocyte colony stimulating factor (G-CSF) for mobilization of peripheral blood stem cells in R/R lymphoma patients.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS: For salvage chemotherapy, 93 patients received platinum-containing regimens, 4 patients received cytarabine-containing regimens, and 5 patients received other regimens. Patient distributions were HL (n = 35) and NHL (n = 67).

RESULTS: In 87.2% of patients, first mobilization trial was successful (>2 × 106 CD34+ cells/kg). In 58.8% of patients, first apheresis season >5 × 106 CD34+ cells/kg collections was achieved. All 12.7% of patients were poorly mobilized at the first mobilization. There was no statistical difference between the previous chemotherapy numbers and failed mobilization (P > 0.05). Five patients who were poorly mobilized and 4 patients who were successfully mobilized underwent a previous radiotherapy (P < 0.05). Thirteen patients who were poorly mobilized in the first mobilization underwent a platinum-containing salvage regimen. At the time of the first mobilization, the average peripheral CD 34 counts in the successfully mobilized group were statistically higher than that in the poorly mobilized group (P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated that peripheral CD 34 cell count in the peripheral blood on the first apheresis day was a significant factor for more stem cell mobilization, fewer apheresis sessions, less volume, and earlier neutrophil engraftment for patients with R/R lymphoma and eligible for AHSCT. The history of the previous radiotherapy was a significant factor for poor mobilization.

PMID:38102912 | DOI:10.4103/jcrt.JCRT_1621_20

J Cancer Res Ther. 2023 Dec 15. doi: 10.4103/jcrt.jcrt_2664_22. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

CONTEXT: Oral cancer is highly prevalent in India. Lack of awareness and delay in diagnosis and treatment of patients with oral cancer leads to high mortality and poor survival of patients. Salivary endothelin-1 is proposed as a prospective biomarker for oral squamous cell carcinoma.

AIMS: Aim of the study was to evaluate salivary level of endothelin-1 in oral cancer and precancer as a biomarker.

SETTINGS AND DESIGN: We planned a case control study to evaluate salivary level of Endothelin-1 in oral cancer and precancer as a biomarker.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 72 subjects were taken in study out of which 24 cases were of histopathologically confirmed premalignat oral lesion (oral leukoplakia and oral submucous fibrosis), 24 cases were of histopathologically confirmed oral squamous cell carcinoma, and 24 cases of healthy age and gender matched controls without any addiction to tobacco in any form from a tertiary care hospital were taken. Saliva was collected from all following standard guidelines and estimation of salivary endothelin-1 was done by ELISA.

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS USED: SPSS software version 15.

RESULTS: Salivary endothelin-1 values of controls ranged between 0.09 and 1.88 pg/ml while that of premalignant cases ranged between 1.16 and 16.135 pg/ml and of SCC cases ranged between 2.567 and 22.98 pg/ml.

CONCLUSIONS: Salivary endothelin-1 is raised in oral squamous cell carcinoma compared to premalignant and controls therefore, shows capability to differentiate between premalignant lesion and oral cancer. So, it could be used as a biomarker for early diagnosis.

PMID:38102911 | DOI:10.4103/jcrt.jcrt_2664_22

J Cancer Res Ther. 2023 Dec 15. doi: 10.4103/jcrt.jcrt_7_23. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Esophageal cancer (EC) is an extremely aggressive tumor with one of the highest geographic, ethnic, and gender variations. Various factors including tobacco consumption, unhealthy diet, and socioeconomic status have been implicated in the etiology of EC. Despite the advent of modern treatments, the prognosis of EC is dismal. This study has been undertaken to review the clinical and pathologic profiles, treatment approach, and survival pattern in patients with EC in a tertiary care hospital in northeast India.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective descriptive study was done with 179 EC patients presented to our department between January 2013 and December 2020. Statistical analysis was done by using IBM Statistical Package for the Social Sciences version 21. P- value <0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS: The majority of the patients presented in the sixth decade of life from rural areas with male to female ratio of 3.7:1. Dysphagia was the most common presenting feature. High incidence of tobacco and alcohol use was found. Mid-esophagus is the most common site and squamous cell carcinoma is the most common type. Fifty-two (29.1%) and 71 (39.6%) patients presented in stages III and IV, respectively. Twenty-four (13.4%) patients presented with metastatic disease, the lung being the most common site. Patients were treated with surgery, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, or combination of any of these. Overall median survival for the EC patients was 6 months. Patients treated with concurrent chemoradiation had better survival.

CONCLUSION: EC is a serious malignancy with a dismal prognosis due to the advanced stage at presentation. Larger clinical trials using new therapeutic strategies are the need of the hour.

PMID:38102907 | DOI:10.4103/jcrt.jcrt_7_23

J Cancer Res Ther. 2023 Dec 15. doi: 10.4103/jcrt.jcrt_2377_22. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Reports suggested that hormone replacement therapy decreased the incidence of squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) of the oral cavity.

AIM: The aim of this study was to analyze and quantify the serum 17β-estradiol (E2) level by chemiluminescence immunoassay in four groups, Group I (control group with no habit of tobacco and areca), Group II (control group with a habit of tobacco and areca), Group III (potentially malignant disorder-leukoplakia), and Group IV (oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC)). It was the first study to evaluate E2 in four study groups with and without the habit of tobacco.

METHOD: The serum analysis was carried out in Cobas e411 analyzer by electrochemiluminescence immunoassay analysis.

RESULTS: As per the Kruskal–Wallis test, statistically significant rise in estradiol levels in Group IV as in comparison to Group III as compared with Groups II and I.

CONCLUSION: This study proved that irrespective of the gender bias, the female sex hormone, estradiol levels were significantly raised in OSCC patients. This study suggests that E2 may play a vital role in determining the patient prognosis in OSCC with tobacco habit. The confounding results of this preliminary study opened up new advents emphasizing the role of E2 in OSCC. The role of E2 in estrogen receptor regulation can also be a subject of study for targeted therapies in improving the patient’s prognosis.

PMID:38102904 | DOI:10.4103/jcrt.jcrt_2377_22

J Environ Manage. 2023 Dec 14;351:119764. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119764. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Indoor air, especially with suspended particulate matter (PM), can be a carrier of airborne infectious pathogens. Without sufficient ventilation, airborne infectious diseases can be transmitted from one person to another. Indoor air quality (IAQ) significantly impacts people’s daily lives as people spend 90% of their time indoors. An industrial-grade air cleaner prototype (filtration + ultraviolet light) was previously upgraded to clean indoor air to improve IAQ on two metrics: particulate matter (PM) and viable airborne bacteria. Previous experiments were conducted to test its removal efficiency on PM and airborne bacteria between the inlet and treated air. However, the longer-term improvement on IAQ would be more informative. Therefore, this research focused on quantifying longer-term improvement in a testing environment (poultry facility) loaded with high and variable PM and airborne bacteria concentrations. A 25-day experiment was conducted to treat indoor air using an air cleaner prototype with intermittent ON and OFF days in which PM and viable airborne bacteria were measured to quantify the treatment effect. The results showed an average of 55% reduction of total suspended particulate (TSP) concentration between OFF days (110 μg/m³) and ON days (49 μg/m³). An average of 47% reduction of total airborne viable bacteria concentrations was achieved between OFF days (∼3200 CFU/m³) and ON days (∼2000 CFU/m³). A cross-validation (CV) model was established to predict PM concentrations with five input variables, including the status of the air cleaner, time (h), ambient temperature, indoor relative humidity, and day of the week to help simulate the air-cleaning effect of this prototype. The model can approximately predict the air quality trend, and future improvements may be made to improve its accuracy.

PMID:38100867 | DOI:10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119764

J Environ Manage. 2023 Dec 14;351:119807. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119807. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Accurate prediction of the dissolved oxygen level (DOL) is important for enhancing environmental conditions and facilitating water resource management. However, the irregularity and volatility inherent in DOL pose significant challenges to achieving precise forecasts. A single model usually suffers from low prediction accuracy, narrow application range, and difficult data acquisition. This study proposes a new weighted model that avoids these problems, which could increase the prediction accuracy of the DOL. The weighting constructs of the proposed model (PWM) included eight neural networks and one statistical method and utilized Young’s double-slit experimental optimizer as an intelligent weighting tool. To evaluate the effectiveness of PWM, simulations were conducted using real-world data acquired from the Tualatin River Basin in Oregon, United States. Empirical findings unequivocally demonstrated that PWM outperforms both the statistical model and the individual machine learning models, and has the lowest mean absolute percentage error among all the weighted models. Based on two real datasets, the PWM can averagely obtain the mean absolute percentage errors of 1.0216%, 1.4630%, and 1.7087% for one-, two-, and three-step predictions, respectively. This study shows that the PWM can effectively integrate the distinctive merits of deep learning methods, neural networks, and statistical models, thereby increasing forecasting accuracy and providing indispensable technical support for the sustainable development of regional water environments.

PMID:38100864 | DOI:10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119807