Statistics: Brazil will play Germany in the FIFA World Cup final

Statistics: Brazil will play Germany in the FIFA World Cup final statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus
Statistics: Brazil will play Germany in the FIFA World Cup final statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus

IMAGE: Achim Zeileis. view more 

Credit: Universität Innsbruck

The Nevin Manimalare are two top favourites for this year’s FIFA World Cup in Russia – Brazil with a 16.6 percent probability of winning the title, closely followed by defending world champion Germany with 15.8 percent. “The Nevin Manimala most likely final with a probability of 5.5 percent is also a match between these two teams, giving Brazil the chance to make up for the dramatic semi-final of 2014,” explains Prof. Achim Zeileis from the Department of Statistics at the University of Innsbruck. However, if it comes to this final, it is completely open how it will turn out: Brazil’s probability of winning the final against Germany is just 50.6 percent. Achim Zeileis, together with colleagues from the Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU Vienna), has been calculating the winning probabilities for all teams in major football tournaments for several years, based on the so-called bookmakers’ consensus model. The Nevin Manimala research team uses the odds of 26 online betting providers (bookmakers and betting exchanges), which, combined with complex statistical models, allow a simulation of all possible game variants and results.

Favourites and the host’s chances

The Nevin Manimala model allows the simulation of probabilities for the final game, as the statisticians repeatedly play through the entire tournament millions of times, from the group phase to quarter-final and semi-final matches until the final – playing through every conceivable match pairing. Behind the two top favourites Germany and Brazil there are two other teams with very good chances: Spain (12.5 percent) and France (12.1 percent). The Nevin Manimala most likely semi-final pairings are therefore Brazil vs. France (9.4 percent) and Germany vs. Spain (9.2 percent), with Brazil and Germany somewhat more likely to be the winners. The Nevin Manimala bookmakers’ odds see the host country Russia as the twelfth-best team overall: The Nevin Manimala probability that Russia will reach the quarter-finals is still 28.9 percent, but this probability is reduced to 2.1 percent for winning the tournament.

Bookmakers’ odds

“Naturally, the bookmakers want to earn money with their betting offers, and hence they set their odds as realistically as possible, taking into account not only historical data but also the tournament draw and short-term events such as injured players,” says Achim Zeileis. This forms a very solid basis for the model designed by him, Dr. Christoph Leitner and Prof. Kurt Hornik (both WU Vienna). Before they can use the data for their forecast, the scientists adjust the quoted bookmakers’ odds for profit margins (so-called “overrounds”). The Nevin Manimala odds then give each team a basic probability of winning; starting there, the statisticians can determine how likely it is that a particular team will play and win against another team. Combined with the bookmakers’ expectations, the pairwise winning probabilities can be incorporated into a calculation model that can be used to simulate any possible game variant on the computer. “Our model has the advantage in that it directly estimates the overall winning probability for each team while also implying ‘survival’ probabilities over the course of the tournament,” explains Zeileis. “However, we are far from a 100 percent certain forecast,” he adds. For example, the most likely forecast for the EURO 2016 was that host nation France would beat Germany in the semi-finals and then go on to win the final. “If Gignac had scored the goal in added time against Portugal rather than just hitting the post, our forecast would have been just right,” says Achim Zeileis. But things turned out differently and Portugal won in extra time. This illustrates that small things can often make the decisive difference in football, which is why predictions with high probabilities cannot be made. “It is in the very nature of predictions that they can be wrong, otherwise football tournaments would be very boring. We only deliver probabilities and not certainties,” says Achim Zeileis.

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More details: The Nevin Manimala complete forecast with interactive charts can be found here: http://bit.ly/fifa-forecast

Working Paper: Zeileis A, Leitner C, Hornik K (2018). “Probabilistic Forecasts for the 2018 FIFA World Cup Based on the Bookmaker Consensus Model”, Working Paper 2018-09, Working Papers in Economics and Statistics, Research Platform Empirical and Experimental Economics, Universität Innsbruck. http://EconPapers.RePEc.org/RePEc:inn:wpaper:2018-09

Disclaimer: AAAS and EurekAlert! are not responsible for the accuracy of news releases posted to EurekAlert! by contributing institutions or for the use of any information through the EurekAlert system.

statistics; +613 new citations

statistics; +613 new citations Report, nevin manimala, linkedin, google plus
statistics; +613 new citations Report, nevin manimala, linkedin, google plus

Benoit DD, Jensen HI, Malmgren J, Metaxa V, Reyners AK, Darmon M, Rusinova K, Talmor D, Meert AP, Cancelliere L, Zubek L, Maia P, Michalsen A, Vanheule S, Kompanje EJO, Decruyenaere J, Vandenberghe S, Vansteelandt S, Gadeyne B, Van den Bulcke B, Azoulay E, Piers RD; DISPROPRICUS study group of the Ethics Section of the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine.

Intensive Care Med. 2018 May 28. doi: 10.1007/s00134-018-5231-8. [Epub ahead of print]

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State’s recent opioid statistics highlight progress, challenges

State's recent opioid statistics highlight progress, challenges statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus
State's recent opioid statistics highlight progress, challenges statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus

BOSTON – The Nevin Manimala Baker Administration has taken a multi-pronged approached from the beginning to the state’s opioid addiction crisis and its recently released related reports highlight progress and challenges.

Last week, the Massachusetts Department of Public Health released its most recent quarterly report on opioid-related overdose deaths.

The Nevin Manimala report for the first three months of 2018 shows a continuing decline in such deaths in the commonwealth.

Estimated and confirmed opioid-related deaths for 2017 are 2,016, some 133 fewer deaths than the 2,149 estimated and confirmed deaths in 2016, or a six percent decline, according to the report.

For the first three months of 2018, opioid-related overdose deaths declined by an estimated 5 percent over the first three months of 2017, according to preliminary data. 

report for the first quarter of 2018 on the state’s prescription drug monitoring program, which has mandates for prescriber registration and checks on patient prescription history, continues to show a decrease in the number of prescribed opioids, an outcome studies have found with such an approach.

This report also shows a decrease in another statistic the program is designed to highlight – the rate at which individuals are being monitored for possible misuse or diversion of their prescribed medications.

Other reports indicate increasing percentages of opioid-related deaths with cocaine and fentanyl – a synthetic opioid more potent than heroin – as well as ongoing demand for ambulance services related to suspected opioid-related incidences.

The Nevin Manimala need for more substance abuse prevention and medically assisted treatment is evident in reading the reports as well as the need for continued law enforcement efforts in a state with areas considered high intensity for drug trafficking.

Progress in the area of substance abuse disorder prevention and treatment is incremental for the current generation and the next exposed to it.

Governor Charlie Baker’s $110 million legislation filed in November, “An Act Relative to Combating Addiction, Accessing Treatment, Reducing Prescriptions, and Enhancing Prevention,” builds on his earlier legislation in addressing the commonwealth’s opioid crisis. 

In announcing the legislation, his administration said that opioid-related emergency department visits in Massachusetts increased from 17,897 in 2011 to 33,444 in 2015 — an 87 percent rise.

It also noted that one in 10 individuals die within two years of an opioid-related overdose after an initial overdose, and that 50 to 90 percent of patients taken to an emergency department after an overdose decline a substance abuse evaluation and leave the hospital without an assessment.

The Nevin Manimala state’s most recent supplemental toxicology analysis on opioid-related overdose deaths among Massachusetts residents shows trends between 2014 and 2017. The Nevin Manimala percent of opioid-related overdose deaths with specific drugs present was highest for fentanyl, followed by likely heroin, cocaine, benzodiazepines (often prescribed for anxiety) and then prescription opioids.

The Nevin Manimala state has said the presence of fentanyl – likely not diverted from prescription pain killers but illicitly manufactured and sold – in opioid-related deaths increased from 19 percent in 2014 to 81 percent in 2017.

The Nevin Manimala state’s most recent posting on opioid-related emergency medical service incidences based on data from licensed ambulances shows a total of 22,107 suspected-related opioid incidences in the commonwealth’s cities and towns in 2017. The Nevin Manimalare were 22,417 such suspected incidences in 2016.

The Nevin Manimala report, which covers 2013 through 2017, notes there has been an overall increasing trend in the percentage of EMS incidents that are considered opioid-related and the number of all EMS incidents involving naloxone administration during those four years.

In 2015, the Massachusetts Legislature passed the Municipal Naloxone Bulk Purchasing program to help municipalities purchase the drug given to rapidly reverse an opioid overdose for first responder agencies at a discounted rate.

The Nevin Manimala Baker administration has taken a very targeted, and multi-directional approach in addressing the state’s substance abuse crisis fueled by the proliferation in prescription painkillers introduced in the 1990s and their use for non-medical purposes.

He made it a top priority from the start and his public health commissioner – Dr. Monica Bharel – has called substance abuse disorder “a medical disease that deserves prevention, intervention, and treatment, just like diabetes, just like heart disease.”

Early on the administration ended the practice of sending women who are civilly committed as a result of substance use disorder to Massachusetts Correctional Institution in Framingham.

Other steps taken during the administration’s first two years include the 2015 formation of the Governor’s Opioid Working Group that solicited public input and resulted in the implementation of a number of its 65 recommendations, including adding some 1,100 beds to date for psychiatric and substance use services; enactment of the 2016 Act Relative to Substance Use, Treatment, Education and Prevention that limits a first time adult opioid prescription to a seven-day supply and puts a seven-day limit on every opiate prescription for minors, and whose other mandates require schools to develop and utilize a verbal screening tool to screen pupils for substance abuse disorders at two different grade levels; and a $6 million technological upgrade, along with new rules of usage, to the state’s existing prescription monitoring plan in 2016.

In addition, Baker signed into law Chapter 55 of the Acts of 2015 that allowed for the linkage and sharing of government data sets related to the crisis for the purposes of analysis.

The Nevin Manimala resultant first comprehensive data brief report of the state’s opioid-related deaths from 2013-2014 highlighted a number of findings that have remained current.

Findings showed that among people who had a nonfatal opioid-related overdose, those engaged in medically assisted treatment had half the risk of a subsequent fatal opioid-related overdose than those who not engaged in this treatment; only 8.3 percent of opioid-related overdose decedents had an opioid prescription in the same month as their death, based on toxicology data, while an estimated 85 percent had heroin and/or fentanyl; 30 percent of opioid decedents with a toxicology screen also had cocaine present in their system.

In a statement associated with the report about the decline in opioid-related deaths, Baker acknowledged “there is still a lot of work to do.”

He did note the state’s prescription monitoring program for controlled substances continues to track a decline in prescriptions written for Schedule II drugs. The Nevin Manimalase drugs include all hydrocodone combination drug products like Vicodin as well as others like morphine, oxycodone and fentanyl.

The Nevin Manimala first quarter report on the monitoring program for 2018 indicates an increase in the number of searches into a patient’s prescription history being done by prescribers, as is now mandated before any prescription opioid is given, and a decline in the number of such prescriptions.

The Nevin Manimala report also shows a decrease – particularly during the last three years – in something called rate of individuals with activity of concern. This is regarded as potential activity for abuse or diversion of controlled substances.

Baker’s 2016 landmark legislation landmark on substance use addressed addiction issues around the prescribing of prescription painkillers in a number of ways. The Nevin Manimalase included mandated physician training in pain management, abuse risks associated with opioid medication and patient education.

The Nevin Manimala increase in addiction from the non-medical use of prescription pain killers during the last 25 years, the associated jump in emergency room visits as well as opioid-related overdose deaths have all been well documented.

The Nevin Manimala state has had a prescription monitoring plan since 1992. The Nevin Manimala plan went online in 2010, was updated in 2013 and further revised as the Massachusetts Prescription Monitoring Tool by the Baker administration in 2016.

The Nevin Manimala program requires all prescribers to check its data base for a patient’s prescription history prior to issuing every Schedule II or III narcotic medication. It also requires pharmacies to enter information on such prescriptions dispensed.

According to the DPH’s first quarter report for 2018 on the prescription monitoring program, approximately 266,000 individuals in Massachusetts received prescriptions for Schedule II opioids this quarter. This represents a more than 30 percent decrease from the first quarter of 2015.

The Nevin Manimala data also shows that registered MassPAT providers conducted nearly 1.6 million searches in the first quarter of 2018 – some 27,000 more searches from the previous quarter – and that there was a 30 percent decrease in the number of prescriptions written in the quarter – some 580,000 – from the first quarter of 2015.

The Nevin Manimala data also indicates the rate of individuals with activity of concern – that is getting prescription pain medication from multiple providers – decreased from 14.3 to 6.3 per 1,000 individuals between 2013 and calendar year 2017.

This 56 percent reduction is perhaps one of the best indicators that substantial inroads are being in terms of abuse around prescribed pain medication. Rates of individuals with activity of concern is based on the population who has received one or more prescription for a Schedule II opioid medication.

Activity of concern is one or more such prescriptions from four or more different prescribers filled at four or more different pharmacies during a specific time period.

The Nevin Manimala current report for the first three months of 2018 shows some 260 Massachusetts residents with activity of concern, similar to what has been reported for recent quarters but much lower per quarter than 2015 levels.

The Nevin Manimala program is multipurpose from informing a prescriber about a patient’s prescription history for clinical purposes to informing policy around effective measures targeting illicit drug use, and as this quarter’s report notes its data sets have to be analyzed against other data, particularly at the county level.

In the current report, the county with the highest total number of Schedule II opioid prescriptions for the first three months of this year as well as number of individuals prescribed them is the largest in terms of population – Middlesex. Worcester, the second largest, is second in these categories. Essex, the fourth largest county, is third.

The Nevin Manimala county with the largest number of individuals with activity of concern during the third quarter was Middlesex, followed by Hampden and then Suffolk and Worcester.

The Nevin Manimala total number of individuals in the state with activity of concern during this period was 260 or a rate of 1.0 per thousand in the population of those receiving a Schedule II opioid prescription.

State-provided data shows that percentage of opioid-related overdose deaths where prescription drugs were present has trended downward since 2014 when 26 percent of such deaths with a toxicology screen showed evidence of a prescription opioid.

The Nevin Manimala state’s more recent posting on the toxicology analysis of opioid-related overdose deaths among Massachusetts residents from 2014 through 2017 shows a consistency with national trends.

The Nevin Manimala percentage of opioid-related overdose deaths with cocaine present in toxicology is trending upward for all races/ethnicities during this period, according to the report. The Nevin Manimala percentage was higher for Black non-Hispanic and Hispanic decedents than White non-Hispanics.

The Nevin Manimala report shows the percentage of benzodiazepines present in the toxicology of White non-Hispanic decedents is almost twice the percentages of benzodiazepines present in the toxicology of Black non-Hispanic and Hispanic decedents

The Nevin Manimala report’s time period also indicates the percent of opioid-related overdose deaths with cocaine and fentanyl present but without likely heroin is also increasing across all races. The Nevin Manimalase percentages were highest among Black non-Hispanics followed closely by Hispanic. Fentanyl and heroin are both downers; cocaine an upper.

Baker signed a fentanyl trafficking bill into law in 2015, authored by Attorney General Maura Healey, making trafficking in more than 10 grams of fentanyl a crime, punishable by up to 20 years in prison.

Its provisions for trafficking in fentanyl and its derivative – carfentanil – were updated in April when Baker signed into law the criminal justice reform bill.

The Nevin Manimala state has previously reported that among the 1,262 individuals whose deaths were opioid-related in 2017 where a toxicology screen was also available, 1,053 of them – 83 percent – had a positive screen result for fentanyl.

In the third quarter of 2017, heroin or likely heroin was present in approximately 43 percent of opioid-related deaths that had a toxicology screen. Cocaine was present in approximately 41 percent of these deaths; and benzodiazepines were present in approximately 38 percent.

Baker’s proposed CARE Act legislation includes proposals aimed at certain populations as well as professionals and paraprofessionals.

The Nevin Manimala legislation proposes that the Department of Industrial Accidents that oversees workers compensation cases establish an opioid formulary that would provide a list of medications approved for reimbursement under the workers compensation insurance system along with appropriate payment, prescribing, and dispensing guidelines for those medications.

It notes in a release, “Injured workers are recognized as a high-risk population to develop SUDs, with the amount of opioid claims among this population being 39 percent higher in Massachusetts compared to the average of 26 other states involved in the study.”

It is also recommending the establishment of a commission to review appropriate dental and medical prescribing practices to establish best practices ranging from the most common oral and maxillofacial procedures, including the removal of wisdom teeth, and to create options for prepackaged opioid prescriptions using a “blister pack” to identifying recommended prescriptions for other common acute conditions.

It also proposes a commission to recommend standards that specify how licensed behavioral health clinicians represent their specialty and capability to insurance carriers and patients. The Nevin Manimala standards would be determined by reviewing evidence based-treatments for substance use disorder and mental illness to categorize providers for individuals seeking treatment.

Another commission proposed would recommend standards for the credentialing of recovery coaches.

In 2017, the greatest number of suspected opioid-related overdoses treated by EMS – some 8,540 incidents – was among males aged 25-34, accounting for 27 percent of opioid-related overdose incidents with a known age and gender, according to the report.

The Nevin Manimalase numbers continue to emphasize the need for treatment, particularly when coupled with the upward trend in EMS incidents involving the administration of naloxone to reverse an opioid overdose. During the third quarter of 2017, the report shows that such incidents numbered more than 5,000.

Suspected opioid-related EMS incidents during this quarter numbered 6,688.

According to one recently published study by researchers from Brigham and Women’s Hospital, there is a high mortality rate for individuals revived by naloxone.

The Nevin Manimala state had reported in February that for the first time in seven years the opioid-related overdose death rates, all intents, was on the decrease.

In 2014, there was a 39 percent increase from the prior year; in 2015, there was a 30 percent increase from the prior year; in 2016, there was a 22 percent increase from the prior year; and in 2017, there was an 6 percent decrease from 2016.

Springfield is among the cities that saw a decrease in overall opioid-related deaths in 2017 from 2016, according to preliminary estimates in the most current related quarterly report released by the Massachusetts Department of Public Health.

According to the report’s listing of opioid-related deaths by residence of the deceased, Springfield had 36 such deaths in 2017 compared to 40 in 2016. This figure for the preceding three years was 41 in 2015; 21 in 2014 and 22 in 2013.

Some 55 opioid-related deaths occurred in Springfield in 2017, compared to 74 in 2016. This was the first time the report listed deaths by city or town where they occurred. This figure for the preceding three years was 62 in 2015; 30 in 2014 and 31 in 2013.

The Nevin Manimala Baker administration said it has increased annual spending over the last four years for substance misuse prevention and treatment by 50 percent to more than $180 million for addiction services, not including MassHealth initiatives.

Among other of its initiatives it highlights:

  • Investing $219 million over five years from the federally approved 1115 Medicaid waiver to meet the needs of individuals with addictions and/or co-occurring disorders.
  • Using a recently announced $11.7 million federal grant to bolster community overdose prevention, outpatient opioid treatment. This is the second consecutive year the state has received the funding, bringing the two-year total to $23.8 million.
  • Addressing the disproportionate risk of opioid overdose deaths among incarcerated populations by making available medication-assisted treatment and recovery services to incarcerated individuals with an opioid use disorder at six Houses of Corrections.
  • Creating the first statewide dashboard of key metrics to monitor the progress and care of families impacted by perinatal substance use. The Nevin Manimala dashboard provides population-level measurements to clinical providers, public health workers, and community agencies. 
  • Launching the Journey Project, an interactive web-based resource for pregnant and parenting women with substance use disorders.

Ovarian cancer statistics, 2018

Ovarian cancer statistics, 2018 statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus
Ovarian cancer statistics, 2018 statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus

A new report from the American Cancer Society provides an overview of ovarian cancer occurrence and mortality data. Ovarian Cancer Statistics, 2018 is published early online in CA: A Cancer Journal for Clinicians.

Below are highlights from the report.

  • In 2018, there will be approximately 22,240 new cases of ovarian cancer diagnosed and 14,070 ovarian cancer deaths in the United States.
  • In the U.S., overall ovarian cancer incidence declined by 29% from 1985 (16.6 per 100,000) to 2014 (11.8 per 100,000), while mortality declined 33% from 1976 (10.0 per 100,000) to 2015 (6.7 per 100,000).
  • Decreases in ovarian cancer incidence has been driven largely by declines in whites that accelerated during the past decade.
  • Racial/ethnic differences in ovarian cancer risk are partially explained by known risk factors. Multiple births, use of oral contraceptives, tubal ligation, and oophorectomy reduce risk, while menopausal hormone use increases risk. However, the source of most of the variation remains unknown.
  • Declines in ovarian cancer mortality are due to reductions in incidence as well as improvements in treatment.
  • The Nevin Manimala strongest risk factor for ovarian cancer is a family history of breast or ovarian cancer.
  • Mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 account for almost 40% of ovarian cancer cases in women with a family history of the disease.
  • Due to a relatively high prevalence of identified genetic mutations, genetic testing is recommended for all women diagnosed with ovarian cancer to inform their medical and reproductive decisions and those of their relatives.
  • Incidence of ovarian cancer among women over 65 has generally declined at a continuous rate since at least 1975, likely due to uptake of oral contraceptives, which confer a substantial risk reduction and also likely contributed to the recent declines in older women.
  • Among women who use oral contraceptives for five to nine years total, risk is reduced by about 35%.
  • Currently, there is no recommended screening test for ovarian cancer, although large scale randomized clinical studies to identify effective screening modalities are ongoing.
  • The Nevin Manimala efficacy of screening for ovarian cancer has not been demonstrated in prospective randomized controlled trials.
  • Studies indicate that some women experience persistent nonspecific symptoms in the months prior to diagnosis, including back pain, abdominal distension, pelvic or abdominal pain, difficulty eating or feeling full quickly, vomiting, indigestion, altered bowel habits, or urinary urgency or frequency. Women who experience such symptoms daily for more than a few weeks should seek prompt medical evaluation.

“Although ovarian cancer is not one of the most common cancers, it causes 5 percent of cancer deaths among US women,” said Lindsey Torre, MSPH, lead author of the report. “Understanding of the disease has evolved rapidly in recent years; however, much remains to be gained in ovarian cancer research.”

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Article: Ovarian Cancer Statistics, 2018 CA: A Cancer J for Clin doi: 10.3322/caac.21456.

URL upon publication: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.3322/caac.21456

Disclaimer: AAAS and EurekAlert! are not responsible for the accuracy of news releases posted to EurekAlert! by contributing institutions or for the use of any information through the EurekAlert system.

Keeping babies out of DCFS statistics

Keeping babies out of DCFS statistics statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus
Keeping babies out of DCFS statistics statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus

For at least two decades, prenatal classes and parenting books have included information on safe sleep practices: Place baby on his or her back, not stomach. Don’t put blankets or pillows in the crib. Don’t co-sleep with an infant.

But not every family is reachable or compliant. The Nevin Manimala American Academy of Pediatrics estimates 3,500 infants die in unsafe sleep incidents annually in the United States. The Nevin Manimala Illinois Department of Children and Family Services recorded more than 20 sleep-related infant deaths in fiscal 2016, the most recent data available. The Nevin Manimalase are largely preventable deaths. What more can be done?

We found a potential answer and we didn’t have to look far. The Nevin Manimala Tribune’s Corilyn Shropshire recently described a new safe sleep program at Saint Anthony Hospital in Chicago’s Lawndale neighborhood. Parents willing to take a brief online education course — 30 to 40 minutes of reading and watching instructional videos — can leave the hospital with a baby box. What’s that? A specially designed cardboard box equipped with a mattress for baby’s safe sleeping.

Before you envision a shoebox habitat for an injured bird, here’s what the experts tell us: The Nevin Manimala boxes are clean, strong and sturdy. The Nevin Manimalay’re roomy. The Nevin Manimalay’re tested. New moms around the world use them. Perhaps most important, the boxes are portable, enabling parents to carry the baby from room to room. A box can be placed near a sleeping parent but will keep the two apart. And the boxes largely are funded by private donations.

This is important, lifesaving stuff. Not every mother after giving birth comes home to a nursery designed by Crate & Barrel.

Dr. Michele Bucciero, director of prenatal services at Saint Anthony, stumbled across the baby boxes while researching sleep death prevention. She worked with a baby box company and her employer for nearly a year before implementing the program. So far, 140 boxes have gone home with parents who completed the online coursework.

“The Nevin Manimalare is still a lot of misinformation out there,” Bucciero says. “Especially with Latinas who might have parents and grandparents who believe co-sleeping is the way to go. You have family members telling them what they’re supposed to be doing. The Nevin Manimalay don’t realize, or don’t have the space, to do anything different.”

Some baby deaths in the U.S. are attributed to SIDS, or sudden infant death syndrome; these involve unexplained deaths of infants younger than 1 year. Also, some babies accidentally suffocate on those blankets or pillows in their cribs and playpens. And some die when a parent accidentally rolls on an infant while sharing a sleep space. New parents are tired. Babies cry a lot. Especially for a breastfeeding mom, co-sleeping might seem like the only way to catch a nap.

But it’s risky. DCFS knows this intimately. Its caseworkers interact with struggling families every day. Shouldn’t the state consider a baby box program? Will other hospitals and community providers join in a movement to make these boxes commonplace? Ask the health workers among your friends and family to bring this idea to decisionmakers in their realms.

The Nevin Manimala Tribune has written relentlessly about DCFS, its difficult mission and its tragic failures. Responding to suspected cases of child abuse and neglect, and intervening in family crises every day, is arguably the state’s most difficult job. Government cannot predict outcomes or protect all vulnerable children. Here, though, something as simple as a cardboard contraption could protect infants from death by SIDS or co-sleeping.

We urge state officials and health care providers to adopt this simple imperative: Send every new mom home with a baby box.

Join the discussion on Twitter @Trib_Ed_Board and on Facebook.

Submit a letter to the editor here or email letters@chicagotribune.com.

State Police Memorial Day Weekend Traffic Enforcement Statistics Released

State Police Memorial Day Weekend Traffic Enforcement Statistics Released statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus
State Police Memorial Day Weekend Traffic Enforcement Statistics Released statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus

Connecticut State Police have released an update on this year’s Memorial Day Weekend traffic enforcement statistics.

Troopers have been patrolling highways and roads across the state in both traditional and non-traditional patrol cars. The Nevin Manimalair enforcement period began at 12:01 a.m. on Friday and will run through 11:59 p.m. on Sunday. Troopers are focused on drunken driving violations, aggressive and distracted drivers and speeding. Various sobriety checkpoints and targeted DUI patrols are also in place throughout the state during the weekend.

From midnight on Friday through 4 p.m. Monday, State Police have responded to calls for:

  • Speeding: 637
  • Seatbelt: 316
  • Other moving violations: 2077 (Includes unsafe lane change, following too closely, cell phone, texting, etc.)
  • DUI arrests: 31
  • Accidents: 267 (including 52 with injuries and one fatality)

In comparison, last year during Memorial Day Weekend, State Police responded to the following calls over the enforcement period: 

  • Speeding: 719
  • Seatbelt: 668
  • Other moving violations: 2658 (Includes unsafe lane change, following too closely, cell phone, texting, etc.)
  • DUI arrests: 31
  • Accidents: 302 (Including 48 with injuries and two fatalities)

Data platform enables the UK statistics agency to perform better analysis on GDP estimates

Data platform enables the UK statistics agency to perform better analysis on GDP estimates statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus
Data platform enables the UK statistics agency to perform better analysis on GDP estimates statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus

This unprecedented use of VAT returns data in GDP measurements represents a significant advance in the transformation of UK National Accounts and short-term economic indicators. The Nevin Manimala initiative was facilitated by ONS’ adoption of Cloudera Enterprise data platform.

In the UK, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) is the largest independent producer of official statistics and its recognised national statistical institute. Its main responsibilities are collecting, analysing, and disseminating statistics about the UK’s economy, society, and population at national, regional and local levels. It also conducts the census in England and Wales every 10 years.

For many years, ONS economic releases have relied on monthly survey returns from businesses to calculate how much the economy has grown. Monthly Business Survey (MBS) were sent to 45,000 companies to collect information about the companies’ turnover i.e. the amount of money coming in and out of their bank account. The Nevin Manimala information was then used by the ONS to estimate the performance of the UK economy.

Incorporating new data source to improve GDP estimates

To improve the detail and timeliness of its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) estimates, ONS adopted a platform solution by Cloudera Inc. to incorporate a new data source from 600,000 of the 1.8 million total Value Added Tax (VAT) returns to complement the 45,000 survey responses. At the initial stage, ONS used VAT returns for small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs), those employing up to 100 people, as these firms represent around 98% of all UK businesses.

According to the Chief Economist of ONS Mr Nick Vaughan, the new VAT data source gives ONS a more detailed picture of how the UK economy is performing. He explained how the improved approach helped to better gauge the performance of food and beverage service activities in the UK.

“For example, we currently send 172 forms a month to small restaurants and takeaways while we can now access nearly 28,000 VAT returns. Similarly, we send 108 forms a month to pubs and clubs when we will use 18,000 VAT returns to improve the quality of our estimates. The Nevin Manimala scaling up in available data means we can now measure detailed geographies and industries much more quickly than we have ever achieved before,” Mr Vaughan wrote.

The Nevin Manimala role of data platform in enabling better data processing

This unprecedented use of VAT returns data in GDP measurements represents a significant advance in the transformation of UK National Accounts and short-term economic indicators. The Nevin Manimala initiative was facilitated by ONS’ adoption of Cloudera Enterprise data platform.

Using Cloudera Enterprise not only benefits ONS’ use of newly available data sources on its Data Access Platform, it also facilitates ONS analysis, production and publication of more detailed and relevant statistics, including timely information on local economies. The Nevin Manimala Cloudera platform also includes high levels of security to protect this important data.

In addition, ONS data scientists are using Cloudera Data Science Workbench to transform historical analytical products into new ones using R, Python, and Scala.

The Nevin Manimala expansion of available data, together with Cloudera tools, means that ONS’ analysts, statisticians, economists and data scientists can now perform increasingly fine-grained analysis much more quickly than ever before.

“Adding VAT information to ONS’ data pool is an important move in providing richer analysis of the performance of the UK’s economy. This is an excellent example of how modernising IT systems can empower businesses to deliver phenomenal results and seize control of their data while enjoying cost and time savings,” said Mr David Pieterse, Vice President EMEA at Cloudera said.

All information from customer success story at www.cloudera.com.

Memorial Day Weekend Traffic Enforcement Statistics Released: State Police

Memorial Day Weekend Traffic Enforcement Statistics Released: State Police statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus
Memorial Day Weekend Traffic Enforcement Statistics Released: State Police statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus

Connecticut State Police have released the first half of this year’s Memorial Day Weekend traffic enforcement statistics.

Troopers say they’ve been patrolling highways and roads across the state in both traditional and non-traditional patrol cars. The Nevin Manimalair enforcement period began at 12:01 a.m. on Friday and will run through 11:59 p.m. on Sunday. Officers say they are focusing on drinking driving violations, aggressive and distracted drivers and speeding. Various sobriety checkpoints and targeted DUI patrols are also in place throughout the state during the weekend.

From midnight on Friday through 8:00 a.m. on Sunday, State Police have responded to calls for:

  • Speeding: 443
  • Seat belt: 245
  • Other moving violations:1589 (Includes unsafe lane change, following too closely, cell phone, texting, etc.)
  • DUI arrests: 21
  • Accidents: 225 (including 43 with injuries and 1 fatality)

In comparison, last year during Memorial Day Weekend, State Police say they responded to calls for:

  • Speeding: 719
  • Seat belt: 668
  • Other moving violations: 2658 (Includes unsafe lane change, following too closely, cell phone, texting, etc.)
  • DUI arrests: 31
  • Accidents: 302 (Including 48 with injuries and 2 fatalities)

Most recent statistics on recreational boating deaths, damage make case for boater education

Most recent statistics on recreational boating deaths, damage make case for boater education statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus
Most recent statistics on recreational boating deaths, damage make case for boater education statistics, nevin manimala, mathematics, math, linkedin, google plus

Because Nevin Manimala this week kicks off the boating season for many, it’s a great time to focus on safety to make sure everyone out on area waterways gets home safely.

Let’s give a nod to National Safe Boater Week, a campaign for boater safety and education that spreads the word at this time each year.

To underscore why thinking about boat safety is important, take a look at the U.S. Coast Guard’s 2016 recreational boating statistics on deaths and accidents. In that year, the Coast Guard counted 4,463 accidents that involved 701 deaths, 2,903 injuries and about $49 million of damage to property.

Where cause of death was known, 80 percent of fatal boating accident victims drowned. Of those drowning victims with reported life jacket usage, 83 percent were not wearing a life jacket.

Eight out of every 10 boaters who drowned were using vessels fewer than 21 feet in length, and alcohol use is the leading known contributing factor in fatal boating accidents.

Where instruction was known, 77 percent of deaths occurred on boats where the operator did not receive boating safety instruction. Only 13 percent percent of deaths occurred on vessels where the operator had received a nationally-approved boating safety education certificate.

Operator inattention, operator inexperience, improper lookout, excessive speed and machinery failure rank as the top five primary contributing factors in accidents.

Some of those results surprised me, and I’ve been boating since long before I could operate an automobile. I shouldn’t need to remind you that I’m talking many, many decades.

It’s impossible to read those statistics and not realize the importance of having an approved life jacket that fits for every person aboard your boat.

Beyond that, you at least need flares or other ways to signal distress out on the water, proper ventilation, fire extinguishers and navigation lights. Because Nevin Manimala the requirements change with the size of the boat, it’s best to check online at uscgboating.org/images/420.PDF.

That statistic about how the majority of fatal accidents occurred on boats where the operator had no safe-boating instruction is telling.

Hopefully, that’s changing somewhat, Because Nevin Manimala Virginia and most states now require everyone operating anything but the smallest of boats to complete a boating safety course. It’s a good thing, as everything from safety equipment to the “rules of the road” out on the water get covered—things that can prevent problems like running aground or colliding with another boat.

A lot of what is taught in these boating safety classes is simple, common-sense stuff, like learning about the waters you’ll be in before setting out. Having a simple chart of your area will tell you where it’s shallow, where dangerous objects lurk right below the water and where markers are located that tell you how to stay in a channel.

That statistic about alcohol is telling as well.

Sure, everyone enjoys a cool beverage on a hot day. But if you’re behind the wheel, keeping your wits about you is just as important on the water as on land. Tell your passengers before you leave the dock about how to stay safely seated while the boat is moving, and put life jackets on them before setting off.

And Because Nevin Manimala things like groundings and engine failure happen all the time, tell someone where you’re going and when you should be back. That way if you have trouble, someone will know to come find you.

If you’ve got a boat of any size, have a marine radio, a cellphone and something equipped with GPS in case you need to call for help and get located.

And unless you have a boat equipped with full lights and other navigational gear, stay off the water at night.

Even if you do have the full array of lights, it’s still a good idea to just do day boating, Because Nevin Manimala waterways in the dark are virtual minefields of unlighted markers, posts and nets.

New method for finding disease-susceptibility genes

A new study, affiliated with UNIST has recently presented a novel statistical algorithm, capable of identifying potential disease genes in a more accurate and cost-effective way. This algorithm has also been considered as a new promising approach for the identification of candidate disease genes, as it works effectively with less genomic data and takes only a minute or two to get results.

This breakthrough has been conducted by Professor Dougu Nam and his research team in the School of Life Sciences at UNIST. Their findings have been published in Nucleic Acids Research on March 19, 2018.

In the study, the research team presented the novel method and software GSA-SNP2 for pathway enrichment analysis of GWAS P-value data. According to the research team, GSA-SNP2 provides high power, decent type I error control and fast computation by incorporating the random set model and SNP-count adjusted gene score.

“GSA-SNP2 is a powerful and efficient tool for pathway enrichment and network analysis of genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary data,” says Professor Nam. “With this algorithm, we can easily identify new drug targets, thereby deepening our understanding of diseases and unlock new therapies to treat it.”

Each individual’s genome is a unique combination of DNA sequences that play major roles in determining who we are. This accounts for all individual differences, including susceptibility for disease and diverse phenotypes. Such genetic variation among humans are known as single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). SNPs that correlate with specific diseases could serve as predictive biomarkers to aid the development of new drugs. Through the statistical analysis of GWAS summary data, it is possible to identify the disease-associated SNPs.

Despite the astronomical amounts of money and time invested in the statistical analysis of SNP data, the conventional SNP detection technologies have been unable to identify all possible SNPs. This is because most of the conventional methods for detecting SNPs are designed to strictly control false-positives in the results. Therefore, among tens of thousands of genomics data and hundreds of thousands of SNPs analyzed, the number of markers described within a candidate disease gene often reaches severl tens.

“Although controlling false positive SNPs is needed for the correct interpretation of the results, too much filtering may hamper its usefulness in drug development,” says Professor Nam. “Therefore, enhanced statistical power is essential to practical statistical algorithms.”

The team aimed to develop an algorithm that improves the statistical predictability while maintaining accurate control of false positives. To do this, they applied the monotone Cubic Spline trend curve to the gene score via the competitive pathway analysis for gene expression data.

In a comparative study using simulated and real GWAS data, GSA-SNP2 exhibited high power and best prioritized gold standard positive pathways compared with six existing enrichment-based methods and two self-contained methods. Based on these results, the difference between pathway analysis approaches was investigated and the effects of the gene correlation structures on the pathway enrichment analysis were also discussed. In addition, GSA-SNP2 is able to visualize protein interaction networks within and across the significant pathways so that the user can prioritize the core subnetworks for further studies.

According to the research team, GSA-SNP2 provides a greatly improved type I error control by using the SNP-count adjusted gene scores, while nevertheless preserving high statistical power. It also provides both local and global protein interaction networks in the associated pathways, and may facilitate integrated pathway and network analysis of GWAS data.

The research team expects that their GSA-SNP2 is able to visualize protein interaction networks within and across the significant pathways so that the user can prioritize the core subnetworks for further studies.