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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Novel 3-arm wait-list controlled trial designs together with mixed-effects analysis improve precision of treatment effect estimators

J Biopharm Stat. 2023 Nov 6:1-15. doi: 10.1080/10543406.2023.2275755. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Clinical trialists have long been searching for approaches to increase statistical power without increasing sample size. Conventional wait-list controlled (WLC) trials are limited to two trial arms and two or three repeated measurements per person. These features limit statistical power. Furthermore, their analysis is usually based on analysis of covariance or mixed effects modelling, with a focus on estimating treatment effect at one time-period after initiation of therapy. We propose two 3-arm WLC trial designs together with a mixed-effects analysis framework. The designs require three or four repeated measurements per person. The analytic framework defines up to three treatment effect estimands, representing the effects at one to three time-periods after initiation of therapy. The precision (inverse of variance) of the treatment effect estimators in the new and conventional trial designs are analytically derived and evaluated in simulations. The results are interpreted in the context of a cognitive training trial in older people. The proposed designs and analysis methods increase the precision level of treatment effect estimators as compared to conventional designs and analyses. Given a target level of statistical power, the proposed methods require a smaller number of participants per trial than the conventional methods, without necessarily increasing the number of measurements per trial. Furthermore, the proposed analytic framework sheds light on the treatment effects at different times after initiation of therapy, which is not usually considered in conventional WLC trial analysis. In situations that a WLC trial is appropriate, the 3-arm designs are useful alternatives to existing 2-arm designs.

PMID:37929703 | DOI:10.1080/10543406.2023.2275755

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A pragmatic, multicentre, double-blind, placebo-controlled randomised trial to assess the safety, clinical and cost-effectiveness of mirtazapine and carbamazepine in people with Alzheimer’s disease and agitated behaviours: the HTA-SYMBAD trial

Health Technol Assess. 2023 Oct;27(23):1-108. doi: 10.3310/VPDT7105.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Agitation is common and impacts negatively on people with dementia and carers. Non-drug patient-centred care is first-line treatment, but we need other treatment when this fails. Current evidence is sparse on safer and effective alternatives to antipsychotics.

OBJECTIVES: To assess clinical and cost-effectiveness and safety of mirtazapine and carbamazepine in treating agitation in dementia.

DESIGN: Pragmatic, phase III, multicentre, double-blind, superiority, randomised, placebo-controlled trial of the clinical effectiveness of mirtazapine over 12 weeks (carbamazepine arm discontinued).

SETTING: Twenty-six UK secondary care centres.

PARTICIPANTS: Eligibility: probable or possible Alzheimer’s disease, agitation unresponsive to non-drug treatment, Cohen-Mansfield Agitation Inventory score ≥ 45.

INTERVENTIONS: Mirtazapine (target 45 mg), carbamazepine (target 300 mg) and placebo.

OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary: Cohen-Mansfield Agitation Inventory score 12 weeks post randomisation. Main economic outcome evaluation: incremental cost per six-point difference in Cohen-Mansfield Agitation Inventory score at 12 weeks, from health and social care system perspective. Data from participants and informants at baseline, 6 and 12 weeks. Long-term follow-up Cohen-Mansfield Agitation Inventory data collected by telephone from informants at 6 and 12 months.

RANDOMISATION AND BLINDING: Participants allocated 1 : 1 : 1 ratio (to discontinuation of the carbamazepine arm, 1 : 1 thereafter) to receive placebo or carbamazepine or mirtazapine, with treatment as usual. Random allocation was block stratified by centre and residence type with random block lengths of three or six (after discontinuation of carbamazepine, two or four). Double-blind, with drug and placebo identically encapsulated. Referring clinicians, participants, trial management team and research workers who did assessments were masked to group allocation.

RESULTS: Two hundred and forty-four participants recruited and randomised (102 mirtazapine, 102 placebo, 40 carbamazepine). The carbamazepine arm was discontinued due to slow overall recruitment; carbamazepine/placebo analyses are therefore statistically underpowered and not detailed in the abstract. Mean difference placebo-mirtazapine (-1.74, 95% confidence interval -7.17 to 3.69; p = 0.53). Harms: The number of controls with adverse events (65/102, 64%) was similar to the mirtazapine group (67/102, 66%). However, there were more deaths in the mirtazapine group (n = 7) by week 16 than in the control group (n = 1). Post hoc analysis suggests this was of marginal statistical significance (p = 0.065); this difference did not persist at 6- and 12-month assessments. At 12 weeks, the costs of unpaid care by the dyadic carer were significantly higher in the mirtazapine than placebo group [difference: £1120 (95% confidence interval £56 to £2184)]. In the cost-effectiveness analyses, mean raw and adjusted outcome scores and costs of the complete cases samples showed no differences between groups.

LIMITATIONS: Our study has four important potential limitations: (1) we dropped the proposed carbamazepine group; (2) the trial was not powered to investigate a mortality difference between the groups; (3) recruitment beyond February 2020, was constrained by the COVID-19 pandemic; and (4) generalisability is limited by recruitment of participants from old-age psychiatry services and care homes.

CONCLUSIONS: The data suggest mirtazapine is not clinically or cost-effective (compared to placebo) for agitation in dementia. There is little reason to recommend mirtazapine for people with dementia with agitation.

FUTURE WORK: Effective and cost-effective management strategies for agitation in dementia are needed where non-pharmacological approaches are unsuccessful.

STUDY REGISTRATION: This trial is registered as ISRCTN17411897/NCT03031184.

FUNDING: This project was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 27, No. 23. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

PMID:37929672 | DOI:10.3310/VPDT7105

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Midterm Survival of Low-Risk Patients Treated With Transcatheter Versus Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement: Meta-Analysis of Reconstructed Time-to-Event Data

J Am Heart Assoc. 2023 Nov 6:e030012. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.123.030012. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Background We performed a meta-analysis of reconstructed time-to-event data from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and propensity-score matched (PSM) studies comparing transcatheter versus surgical aortic valve replacement (TAVR versus SAVR) to evaluate midterm outcomes in patients considered low risk for SAVR. Methods and Results Study-level meta-analysis of reconstructed time-to-event data from Kaplan-Meier curves of RCTs and PSM studies published by December 31, 2022 was conducted. Eight studies (3 RCTs, 5 PSM studies) met our eligibility criteria and included 5444 patients; 2639 patients underwent TAVR, and 2805 patients underwent SAVR. TAVR showed a higher risk of all-cause mortality at 8 years of follow-up (hazard ratio [HR] 1.22, [95% CI, 1.03-1.43], P=0.018). Up to 2 years of follow-up, TAVR was not inferior to SAVR (HR, 1.08 [95% CI, 0.89-1.31], P=0.448); however, we observed a statistically significant difference after 2 years with higher mortality with TAVR (HR, 1.51 [95% CI, 1.14-2.00]; P=0.004). This difference was driven by PSM studies; our sensitivity analysis showed a statistically significant difference between TAVR and SAVR when we included only PSM studies (HR, 1.41 [95% CI, 1.16-1.72], P=0.001) but no statistically significant difference when we included only RCTs (HR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.69-1.16], P=0.398). Conclusions In comparison with TAVR, SAVR appeared to be associated with improved survival beyond 2 years in low-risk patients. However, the survival benefit of SAVR was observed only in PSM studies and not in RCTs. The addition of data from ongoing RCTs as well as longer follow-up in previous RCTs will help to confirm if there is a difference in mid- and long-term survival between TAVR versus SAVR in the low-risk population.

PMID:37929669 | DOI:10.1161/JAHA.123.030012

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Real-world outcomes with immunosuppressive therapy for aplastic anemia in patients treated at the University of Michigan

Eur J Haematol. 2023 Nov 6. doi: 10.1111/ejh.14131. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Aplastic anemia (AA) is a rare bone marrow failure disorder that is treated with either allogeneic stem cell transplant or immunosuppressive therapy (IST) consisting of antithymocyte globulin (ATG), cyclosporine (CSA), and eltrombopag. While outcomes are favorable in younger patients, older patients (>60) have significantly worse long-term survival. The dose of ATG is often reduced in older patients and those with multiple comorbidities given concerns for tolerability. The efficacy and safety of dose-attenuated IST in this population is largely undescribed. We performed a retrospective review of patients with AA treated with IST. Our analysis was confounded by changes in practice patterns and the introduction of eltrombopag. We identified 53 patients >60 years old, of which, 20 received dose-attenuated IST, with no statistically significant difference in overall survival between full and attenuated dose cohorts. Overall response rates in both cohorts were similar at 6 months at 71% and 68%. There were more documented infectious complications in the full dose cohort (13 vs. 3). This supports the consideration of dose-attenuated IST in older patients with concerns about tolerance of IST. Lastly, our data confirmed favorable outcomes of younger patients receiving IST, especially in combination with eltrombopag.

PMID:37929654 | DOI:10.1111/ejh.14131

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Family adaptation in families of individuals with Down syndrome from 12 countries

Am J Med Genet C Semin Med Genet. 2023 Nov 6:e32075. doi: 10.1002/ajmg.c.32075. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Our current understanding of adaptation in families of individuals with Down syndrome (DS) is based primarily on findings from studies focused on participants from a single country. Guided by the Resiliency Model of Family Stress, Adjustment, and Adaptation, the purpose of this cross-country investigation, which is part of a larger, mixed methods study, was twofold: (1) to compare family adaptation in 12 countries, and (2) to examine the relationships between family variables and family adaptation. The focus of this study is data collected in the 12 countries where at least 30 parents completed the survey. Descriptive statistics were generated, and mean family adaptation was modeled in terms of each predictor independently, controlling for an effect on covariates. A parsimonious composite model for mean family adaptation was adaptively generated. While there were cross-country differences, standardized family adaptation mean scores fell within the average range for all 12 countries. Key components of the guiding framework (i.e., family demands, family appraisal, family resources, and family problem-solving communication) were important predictors of family adaptation. More cross-country studies, as well as longitudinal studies, are needed to fully understand how culture and social determinants of health influence family adaptation in families of individuals with DS.

PMID:37929633 | DOI:10.1002/ajmg.c.32075

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Fibromyalgia and risk of all-cause, specific mortality: A meta-analysis of observational studies

Int J Rheum Dis. 2023 Nov 6. doi: 10.1111/1756-185X.14905. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the risk of all-cause, specific mortality among patients with fibromyalgia, which is a controversial topic.

METHODS: We conducted a thorough search for cohort studies across the PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Embase databases, from their inception to 1 March 2023, using medical subject headings and relevant keywords. All data were meticulously analyzed using Stata statistical software version 16.0. The protocol was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42023402337).

RESULTS: After analyzing seven cohort studies involving 152 933 individuals published between 2001 and 2020, we found no clear evidence linking fibromyalgia or widespread pain to all-cause mortality risk (odds ratio [OR] 1.11, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.81-1.53; I2 = 82.6%, p = .505). However, our subgroup analysis revealed that the risk of suicide was significantly higher in fibromyalgia patients compared with non-fibromyalgia patients (OR 5.39, 95% CI 2.16-13.43; I2 = 69.9%, p < .05).

CONCLUSIONS: Our research did not discover any proof indicating a link between fibromyalgia or widespread pain and all-cause mortality. However, it is worth noting that there may be a potential correlation between individuals with fibromyalgia or widespread pain and a higher likelihood of suicide. As we had a limited number of participants in our study, further research is necessary to thoroughly investigate the relationship between these factors.

PMID:37929630 | DOI:10.1111/1756-185X.14905

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Patient experience of telehealth appointments in head and neck cancer services during the COVID-19 pandemic

Int J Lang Commun Disord. 2023 Nov 6. doi: 10.1111/1460-6984.12974. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in rapid changes to head and neck cancer (HNC) services. Multidisciplinary team (MDT) face-to-face appointments were converted to telehealth appointments (telephone and video-call) to reduce the risk of COVID-19 transmission. The literature exploring HNC patient experience of these appointment types is limited.

AIMS: To explore patient experience of telehealth appointments at one UK centre during the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the variables that may influence patient preference for virtual or face-to-face appointments.

METHODS & PROCEDURES: A survey-based study design was used, with closed questions and open text options to capture the views of the participants. Quantitative data were analysed using descriptive statistics. Open text data was used to add depth to the findings.

OUTCOMES & RESULTS: A total of 23 participant surveys were returned. Six categories were identified: Usability; Information receiving & giving; Satisfaction; Emotions and comfort; Rapport; and Travel time and cost. Overall, participants gave positive responses to each category and indicated that telehealth appointments met their needs. Areas for clinical consideration are highlighted. Variables such as age, travel distance from hospital site, fear of COVID-19 and information technology (IT) access did not appear to influence patient preference for appointment type.

CONCLUSIONS & IMPLICATIONS: Going forward, telehealth may be considered for use in combination with face-to-face appointments in the HNC pathway. Areas for further development include a ‘telehealth screening tool’ that may help to identify those patients most appropriate for these appointment types, or who require support to access them.

WHAT THIS PAPER ADDS: What is already known on this subject The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in major disruption to HNC centres across the world. Services adapted to meet the needs of patients with many implementing telehealth into pathways. Studies exploring telehealth in speech and language therapy (SLT) services with the HNC population indicate positive results. It is clear telehealth has a role in modern healthcare and should not be viewed as a temporary solution to the pandemic. It is, however, recognized that embedding telehealth into pathways is not straightforward and requires ongoing review and evaluation, which includes patient and clinician perceptions. What this study adds to the existing knowledge The service evaluation gives insight into HNC patient experience of telehealth appointments for MDT clinics (led by SLT, dietician and clinical nurse specialist) during the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, patients report a positive experience of telehealth in the HNC pathway and are willing to accept this platform into their healthcare. Areas for clinical consideration are highlighted. What are the actual and clinical implications of this work? This findings of this service evaluation can be used to support the co-design of HNC pathways which embed telehealth as an option for patients. Areas that were important to the participants are highlighted; this includes the timing of telehealth appointments in the pathway, the need to meet the MDT face to face and the positive benefit of cost savings. The authors suggest a telehealth appointment screening tool as an area for future development.

PMID:37929624 | DOI:10.1111/1460-6984.12974

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Designing remote synchronous auditory comprehension assessment for severely impaired individuals with aphasia

Int J Lang Commun Disord. 2023 Nov 6. doi: 10.1111/1460-6984.12972. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The use of telepractice in aphasia research and therapy is increasing in frequency. Teleassessment in aphasia has been demonstrated to be reliable. However, neuropsychological and clinical language comprehension assessments are not always readily translatable to an online environment and people with severe language comprehension or cognitive impairments have sometimes been considered to be unsuitable for teleassessment.

AIM: This project aimed to produce a battery of language comprehension teleassessments at the single word, sentence and discourse level suitable for individuals with moderate-severe language comprehension impairments.

METHODS: Assessment development prioritised response consistency and clinical flexibility during testing. Teleassessments were delivered in PowerPoint over Zoom using screen sharing and remote control functions. The assessments were evaluated in 14 people with aphasia and 9 neurotypical control participants. Modifiable assessment templates are available here: https://osf.io/r6wfm/.

MAIN CONTRIBUTIONS: People with aphasia were able to engage in language comprehension teleassessment with limited carer support. Only one assessment could not be completed for technical reasons. Statistical analysis revealed above chance performance in 141/151 completed assessments.

CONCLUSIONS: People with aphasia, including people with moderate-severe comprehension impairments, are able to engage with teleassessment. Successful teleassessment can be supported by retaining clinical flexibility and maintaining consistent task demands.

WHAT THIS PAPER ADDS: What is already known on the subject Teleassessment for aphasia is reliable but assessment of auditory comprehension is difficult to adapt to the online environment. There has been limited evaluation of the ability of people with severe aphasia to engage in auditory comprehension teleassessment. What this paper adds to existing knowledge Auditory comprehension assessment can be adapted for videoconferencing administration while maintaining clinical flexibility to support people with severe aphasia. What are the potential or actual clinical implications of this work? Teleassessment is time and cost effective and can be designed to support inclusion of severely impaired individuals.

PMID:37929612 | DOI:10.1111/1460-6984.12972

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Awake craniotomy in epilepsy surgery includes previously inoperable patients with preserved efficiency and safety

Int J Neurosci. 2023 Nov 6:1-11. doi: 10.1080/00207454.2023.2279498. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Whilst awake craniotomy has been widely used historically in epilepsy surgery, the safety and efficacy of this approach in epilepsy surgery has been sparsely investigated in controlled studies. The objective of this study is to investigate the safety and efficacy of awake resection in epilepsy surgery and focuses on the possibility to widen surgical indications with awake surgery.

METHODS: Fifteen patients operated with awake epilepsy surgery were compared to 30 matched controls undergoing conventional/asleep epilepsy surgery. The groups were compared with regard to neurological complications, seizure control and location of resection.

RESULTS: Regarding seizure control, 86% of patients in the awake group reached Engel grade 1-2 compared to 73% in the control group, operated with conventional/asleep surgery, not a statistically significant difference. Neither was there a statistical significant difference regarding postoperative neurological complications. However, there was a significant difference in location of the resection when comparing the two groups. Of the 15 patients operated with awake intraoperative mapping, four had previously been considered as non-operable by epilepsy surgery centres, due to vicinity to eloquent brain regions and predicted risk of post-operative neurological deficits.

DISCUSSION: The results show that awake epilepsy surgery yields similar level of seizure control when compared to conventional asleep surgery, with maintained safety in regard to neurological complications. Furthermore, the results indicate that awake craniotomy in epilepsy surgery is feasible and possible in patients otherwise regarded as inoperable with epileptigenic zone in proximity to eloquent brain structures.

PMID:37929598 | DOI:10.1080/00207454.2023.2279498

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The clinical impact of a crisis resolution home treatment team

Ir J Psychol Med. 2023 Nov 6:1-8. doi: 10.1017/ipm.2023.45. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the impact of treatment provided by a Crisis Resolution Home Treatment Team (CRHTT) in terms of preventing hospital admission, impact on service user’s symptoms and overall functioning, as well as service user’s satisfaction with the service. Secondary objectives were to evaluate the patient characteristics of those attending the CRHTT.

METHODS: All the service users treated by the CRHTT between 2016 and 2020 were included. Service users completed the Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale (BPRS), the Health of the Nation Outcome Scale (HoNOS), and the Client Satisfaction Questionnaire-version 8 (CSQ-8) before and after treatment by the CRHTT. Admission rates were compared between areas served by the CRHTT and control, before and after the introduction of the CRHTT, using two-way ANOVA.

RESULTS: Between 2016 and 2020, 1041 service users were treated by the service. Inpatient admissions in the areas served by the CRHTT fell by 38.5% after its introduction. There was a statistically significant interaction between CRHTT availability and time on admission rate, F (1,28) = 8.4, p = .007. BPRS scores were reduced significantly (p < .001), from a mean score of 32.01 before treatment to 24.64 after treatment. Mean HoNOS scores were 13.6 before and 9.1 after treatment (p < .001). Of the 1041 service users receiving the CSQ-8, only 180 returned it (17.3%). Service users’ median responses were “very positive” to all eight items on the CSQ-8.

CONCLUSIONS: Although our study design has limitations this paper provides some support that CRHTT might be effective for the prevention of inpatient admission. The study also supports that CRHTT might be an effective option for the treatment of acute mental illness and crisis, although further research is needed in this area.

PMID:37929580 | DOI:10.1017/ipm.2023.45