Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

SARS-CoV-2 chronological genomic evolution and epidemiology in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region as affected by vaccination, conflict and socioeconomical disparities: a population-based cohort study

BMJ Open. 2022 Sep 8;12(9):e060775. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-060775.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To describe the chronological genomic evolution of SARS-CoV-2 and its impact on public health in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.

METHODS: This study analysed all available SARS-CoV-2 genomic sequences, metadata and rates of COVID-19 infection from the MENA region retrieved from the Global Initiative on Sharing All Influenza Data database from January 2020 to August 2021. Inferential and ‎descriptive statistics were conducted to describe the epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2.

RESULTS: Genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 in the MENA region indicated that the variants in January 2020 predominately belonged to the G, GR, GH or O clades and that the most common variant of concern was Alpha. By August 2021, however, the GK clade dominated (57.4% of all sequenced genomes), followed by the G clade (18.7%) and the GR clade (11.6%). In August, the most commonly sequenced variants of concern were Delta in the Middle East region (91%); Alpha (44.3%) followed by Delta (29.7%) and Beta (25.3%) in the North Africa region; and Alpha (88.9%), followed by Delta (10%) in the fragile and conflict-affected regions of MENA. The mean proportion of the variants of concern among the total sequenced samples differed significantly by country (F=1.93, P=0.0112) but not by major MENA region (F=0.14, P=0.27) or by vaccination coverage (F=1.84, P=0.176).

CONCLUSION: This analysis of the genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 provides an essential description the virus evolution and its impact on public health safety in the MENA region. As of August 2021, the Delta variant showed a genomic advantage in the MENA region. The MENA region includes several fragile and conflict-affected countries with extremely low levels of vaccination coverage and little genomic surveillance, which may soon exacerbate the existing health crisis within those countries and globally.

PMID:36691215 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-060775

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effectiveness of public health interventions in reducing the prevalence of Opisthorchis viverrini: a protocol for systematic review and network meta-analysis

BMJ Open. 2022 Sep 8;12(9):e064573. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-064573.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The carcinogenic liver fluke Opisthorchis viverrini is a major public health problem in the Mekong basin region. The liver flukes can induce cholangiocarcinoma, a bile duct cancer that causes a significant burden of mortality and economic loss. Various public health interventions have been conducted to reduce opisthorchiasis but the prevalence of O. viverrini remains high in endemic regions. The aim is to quantify the effectiveness of public health interventions in reducing the prevalence of O. viverrini infection.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Seven databases (including PubMed, SCOPUS, Web of Science, EMBASE, ScienceDirect, Thai thesis database and TCI (Thai journals online)) will be searched from initiation through to 2022 to identify studies of interventions to reduce the prevalence of O. viverrini infection. The prevalence, incidence or number of O. viverrini-infected people will be used as the source of O. viverrini prevalence data. A conventional meta-analysis and a Bayesian network meta-analysis will be conducted to undertake direct and indirect comparisons of different interventions. Meta-regression will be used to determine the effect of each intervention. The risk of bias will be assessed using the Cochrane Collaboration’s risk of bias tool. Heterogeneity between studies will be determined by forest plots and I2 and publication bias investigated with funnel plots and the Egger’s test.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval will not be required because this study will only use published data. The final report of this review will be disseminated through publication in a peer-reviewed scientific journal and will also be presented at relevant conferences.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42022323066.

PMID:36691213 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-064573

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Pharmacological interventions for hidradenitis suppurativa: a protocol for systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomised trials and non-randomised studies

BMJ Open. 2022 Sep 8;12(9):e062351. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062351.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Therapeutic recommendations for hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) have recently shifted towards non-invasive pharmacological options. Recent evidence has shown promising efficacy for specific treatments. However, data regarding the comparative efficacy of these treatments in patients with HS are still limited. Therefore, we plan to conduct a systematic review and network meta-analysis (NMA) to summarise the benefits and harms of different pharmacological interventions for treating people living with HS.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will search electronic databases, including Medline, Embase, PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, CINAHL and Cochrane Library beginning from their inception dates with no language restrictions. A grey literature search will be performed to supplement the electronic databases. Both randomised trials and non-randomised studies using validated measurement tools that investigated the benefits and harms of pharmacological interventions among people living with HS will be included. The predefined primary outcomes will include treatment responses that reflect the patient’s perspective and all-cause discontinuation. Screening, selection, extraction, assessment of the risk of bias and analysis of the strength of the evidence will be performed independently by a pair of reviewers. A two-step approach of traditional pairwise and NMA will be performed. Based on a random-effects model, standardised weighted mean differences and ORs with corresponding 95% CIs will be pooled as effect estimates for the continuous and categorical endpoints, respectively. Statistical and methodological heterogeneities will be assessed. Preplanned subgroup analyses and univariate meta-regression will be conducted to quantify the potential sources of heterogeneity. Evidence-based synthesis will be based on the magnitudes of effect size, evidence certainty and the surface under the cumulative ranking curve values.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval is not required because this study is based on existing published data. These findings will be disseminated through scientific meetings and publications in peer-reviewed journals.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42022302795.

PMID:36691211 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062351

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effectiveness of linkage to care and prevention interventions following HIV self-testing: a global systematic review and meta-analysis protocol

BMJ Open. 2022 Sep 8;12(9):e055688. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-055688.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Early identification of persons living with HIV (PLWH) is crucial to institute timely treatment to prevent HIV-related morbidity and mortality. The convenience, flexibility and confidentiality of HIV self-testing enhance the acceptability of HIV testing and early detection of PLWH. However, persons who tested positive after a self-test are more likely to present late for treatment. This review seeks to evaluate the effectiveness of interventions to improve linkage to care and prevention after self-testing.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will search PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, PsycInfo, Global Health Library, ClinicalTrials.gov and current controlled trials for all randomised and non-randomised studies published from 1 January 2010 to 31 July 2022 without language restriction. Two review authors will independently screen and select articles (based on the eligibility criteria for this review), extract data and assess the risk of bias in the included studies. Study-specific estimates will be converted to log risk ratios and weighted by the inverse of the variance of the log risk ratio before pooling into a fixed-effect model. The Cochrane’s Q χ2 test and the I2 statistic will be used to assess and quantify heterogeneity in the included studies, respectively. The Egger’s test and funnel plots will be used to assess publication bias. Sensitivity analysis will be conducted using leave-one-out analysis to assess the impact of outliers on the overall summary intervention effect.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: No ethical clearance is needed for the current study as it will be based on already published articles. We will publish the findings of this study in international peer-reviewed journals and present them at conferences.

PMID:36691210 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-055688

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

A search for relevant contextual factors in intervention studies: a stepwise approach with online information

BMJ Open. 2022 Sep 9;12(9):e057048. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-057048.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the present study is to describe a stepwise approach to study which contextual factors might moderate the effect of healthcare interventions and to test feasibility of this approach within the D-SCOPE project.

DESIGN: Exploratory case study.

SETTING: In the D-SCOPE project, a complex intervention by means of home visits was set up to improve access to tailored care in three municipalities (Ghent, Knokke-Heist and Tienen).

METHODS: One designed and tested an approach including five steps: (1) a theoretical/conceptual discussion of relevant contextual factor domains was held; (2) a search was done to find appropriate web-based public datasets which covered these topics with standardised information; (3) a list of all identified contextual factors was made (inventory); (4) to reduce the long list of contextual factors, a concise list of most relevant contextual factors was developed based on the opinion of two independent reviewers and (5) a nominal grouping technique (NGT) was applied.

RESULTS: Three public web-based datasets were found resulting in an inventory of 157 contextual factors. After the selection by two independent reviewers, 41 contextual factors were left over and presented in a NGT which selected 10 contextual factors. The NGT included seven researchers, all familiar with the D-SCOPE intervention, with various educational backgrounds and expertise and lasted approximately 1 hour.

CONCLUSION: The present study shows that a five-step approach is feasible to determine relevant contextual factors that might affect the results of an intervention study. Such information may be used to correct for in the statistical analyses and for interpretation of the outcomes of intervention studies.NCT03168204.

PMID:36691193 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-057048

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Impact of targeted diabetic retinopathy training for graders in Vietnam and the implications for future diabetic retinopathy screening programmes: a diagnostic test accuracy study

BMJ Open. 2022 Sep 9;12(9):e059205. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-059205.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To compare the accuracy of trained level 1 diabetic retinopathy (DR) graders (nurses, endocrinologists and one general practitioner), level 2 graders (midlevel ophthalmologists) and level 3 graders (senior ophthalmologists) in Vietnam against a reference standard from the UK and assess the impact of supplementary targeted grader training.

DESIGN: Diagnostic test accuracy study.

SETTING: Secondary care hospitals in Southern Vietnam.

PARTICIPANTS: DR training was delivered to Vietnamese graders in February 2018 by National Health Service (NHS) UK graders. Two-field retinal images (412 patient images) were graded by 14 trained graders in Vietnam between August and October 2018 and then regraded retrospectively by an NHS-certified reference standard UK optometrist (phase I). Further DR training based on phase I results was delivered to graders in November 2019. After training, a randomised subset of images from January to October 2020 (115 patient images) was graded by six of the original cohort (phase II). The reference grader regraded all images from phase I and II retrospectively in masked fashion.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Sensitivity was calculated at the two different time points, and χ2 was used to test significance.

RESULTS: In phase I, the sensitivity for detecting any DR for all grader groups in Vietnam was low (41.8-42.2%) and improved in phase II after additional training was delivered (51.3-87.2%). The greatest improvement was seen among level 1 graders (p<0.001), and the lowest improvement was observed among level 3 graders (p=0.326). There was a statistically significant improvement in sensitivity for detecting referable DR and referable diabetic macular oedema between all grader levels. The post-training values ranged from 40.0 to 61.5% (including ungradable images) and 55.6%-90.0% (excluding ungradable images).

CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that targeted training interventions can improve accuracy of DR grading. These findings have important implications for improving service delivery in DR screening programmes in low-resource settings.

PMID:36691192 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-059205

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Rate of glycaemic control and associated factors in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus treated with insulin-based therapy at selected hospitals in Northwest Ethiopia: a multicentre cross-sectional study

BMJ Open. 2022 Sep 7;12(9):e065250. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-065250.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study was aimed to determine the level of glycaemic control and associated factors in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) treated with insulin-based therapy.

DESIGNS: Institutional-based multicentre cross-sectional study design was employed to conduct this study.

SETTINGS: The diabetes follow-up clinics of selected hospitals in Northwest Ethiopia.

PARTICIPANTS: Adult patients with T2DM treated with insulin-based therapy at the selected hospitals who met the eligibility criteria were the study participants.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Good glycaemic control; when fasting blood glucose (FBG) level ranged from 70 to 130 mg/dL, and FBG <70 and >130 mg/dL was considered poor glycaemic control. A logistic regression model was used to identify determinants of poor glycaemic control. A p<0.05 at 95% CI was statistically significant.

RESULTS: Of 403 study participants, 54.8% were males with a mean age of 55.03±10.8 years. Though patients with T2DM were treated with insulin-based therapy, most of the participants (72.5%) could not achieve the target FBG. The overall mean FBG was 177.1±54.3, and far from the target glucose level. Patients who could not practise self-monitoring of blood glucose were found more likely to have poor glycaemic control compared with those who practised self-monitoring (p<0.001). Whereas patients who had a normal body mass index (p=0.011) and who were treated with premixed insulin-based therapy (p=0.04) were found less likely to have poor glycaemic control compared with patients with obesity and who received NPH insulin based-regimens, respectively.

CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated that a significant proportion of the study samples could not achieve glycaemic targets and the average blood glucose was far higher than the recommended glycaemic target level. Insulin initiation and titration, considering the determinants of glycaemic control, could be recommended to achieve target glycaemic levels.

PMID:36691186 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-065250

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Recruitment, attrition and intervention completion in clinical trials of psychosocial interventions involving people with early and emerging psychosis: a systematic review protocol

BMJ Open. 2022 Sep 7;12(9):e060863. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-060863.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Psychosocial interventions for people experiencing early and emerging psychosis have demonstrated efficacy in reducing symptom severity and supporting recovery; however, much remains unknown about optimising treatment and future research trials are required. Gaining a better understanding of feasibility in trials of psychosocial interventions involving this population would inform the design and planning of future research and support the development of high-quality evidence. The aim of this systematic review is to evaluate the recruitment rate, study attrition rates and intervention completion of psychosocial intervention randomised controlled trial studies involving people with early and emerging psychosis.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The systematic review will be reported in adherence with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis Protocols 2015 guideline. The Cochrane Library, PubMed, Medline, PsycINFO, Web of Science and CINAHL databases will be searched from inception to September 2021 to identify potentially relevant studies. The title and abstracts of returned records will be assessed for eligibility against the inclusion/exclusion criteria by two reviewers, independently, and records which appear eligible will be included. The full texts of included records will then be assessed using the same procedure. Qualitative and quantitative synthesis will be undertaken. Proportion meta-analyses will be used to calculate the recruitment rate, study attrition rate and intervention completion rate, while subgroup analyses will explore differences among subgroups of study and intervention characteristics.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study will collate and analyse anonymised data from published research and therefore, ethical approval is not necessary. Study results will be disseminated via publication in academic journals.

PMID:36691180 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-060863

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

Dementia prevalence estimation among the main ethnic groups in New Zealand: a population-based descriptive study of routinely collected health data

BMJ Open. 2022 Sep 7;12(9):e062304. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062304.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Estimates of dementia prevalence in New Zealand (NZ) have previously been extrapolated from limited Australasian studies, which may be neither accurate nor reflect NZ’s unique population and diverse ethnic groups. This study used routinely collected health data to estimate the 1-year period prevalence for diagnosed dementia for each of the 4 years between July 2016 and June 2020 in the age 60+ and age 80+ populations and for the four main ethnic groups.

DESIGN: A population-based descriptive study.

SETTING: Seven national health data sets within the NZ Integrated Data Infrastructure (IDI) were linked. Diagnosed dementia prevalence for each year was calculated using the IDI age 60+ and age 80+ populations as the denominator and also age-sex standardised to allow comparison across ethnic groups.

PARTICIPANTS: Diagnosed dementia individuals in the health datasets were identified by diagnostic or medication codes used in each of the data sets with deduplication of those who appeared in more than one data set.

RESULTS: The crude diagnosed dementia prevalence was 3.8%-4.0% in the age 60+ population and 13.7%-14.4% in the age 80+ population across the four study years. Dementia prevalence age-sex standardised to the IDI population in the last study period of 2019-2020 was 5.4% for Māori, 6.3% for Pacific Islander, 3.7% for European and 3.4% for Asian in the age 60+ population, and 17.5% for Māori, 22.2% for Pacific Islander, 13.6% for European and 13.5% for Asian in the age 80+ population.

CONCLUSIONS: This study provides the best estimate to date for dementia prevalence in NZ but is limited to those people who were identified as having dementia based on data from the seven included data sets. The findings suggest that diagnosed dementia prevalence is higher in Māori and Pacific Islanders. A nationwide NZ community-based dementia prevalence study is much needed to confirm the findings of this study.

PMID:36691174 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062304

Categories
Nevin Manimala Statistics

The current understanding of precision medicine and personalised medicine in selected research disciplines: study protocol of a systematic concept analysis

BMJ Open. 2022 Sep 7;12(9):e060326. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-060326.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The terms ‘precision medicine’ and ‘personalised medicine’ have become key terms in health-related research and in science-related public communication. However, the application of these two concepts and their interpretation in various disciplines are heterogeneous, which also affects research translation and public awareness. This leads to confusion regarding the use and distinction of the two concepts. Our aim is to provide a snapshot of the current understanding of these concepts.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Our study will use Rodgers’ evolutionary concept analysis to systematically examine the current understanding of the concepts ‘precision medicine’ and ‘personalised medicine’ in clinical medicine, biomedicine (incorporating genomics and bioinformatics), health services research, physics, chemistry, engineering, machine learning and artificial intelligence, and to identify their respective attributes (clusters of characteristics) and surrogate and related terms. A systematic search of the literature will be conducted for 2016-2022 using databases relevant to each of these disciplines: ACM Digital Library, CINAHL, Cochrane Library, F1000Research, IEEE Xplore, PubMed/Medline, Science Direct, Scopus and Web of Science. These are among the most representative databases for the included disciplines. We will examine similarities and differences in definitions of ‘precision medicine’ and ‘personalised medicine’ in the respective disciplines and across (sub)disciplines, including attributes of each term. This will enable us to determine how these two concepts are distinguished.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Following ethical and research standards, we will comprehensively report the methodology for a systematic analysis following Rodgers’ concept analysis method. Our systematic concept analysis will contribute to the clarification of the two concepts and distinction in their application in given settings and circumstances. Such a broad concept analysis will contribute to non-systematic syntheses of the concepts, or occasional systematic reviews on one of the concepts that have been published in specific disciplines, in order to facilitate interdisciplinary communication, translational medical research and implementation science.

PMID:36691172 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-060326