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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Complex network analysis of volatility spillovers between global financial indicators and G20 stock markets

Empir Econ. 2022 Sep 10:1-21. doi: 10.1007/s00181-022-02290-w. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This paper analyses the dynamic transmission mechanism of volatility spillovers between key global financial indicators and G20 stock markets. To examine volatility spillover relations, we combine a bivariate GARCH-BEKK model with complex network theory. Specifically, we construct a volatility network of international financial markets utilising the spatial connectedness of spillovers (consisting of nodes and edges). The findings show that spillover relations between global variables and G20 markets vary significantly across five identified sub-periods. Notably, networks are much denser in crisis periods compared to non-crisis periods. In comparing two crisis periods, Global Financial Crisis (2008) and COVID-19 Crisis (2020) periods, the network statistics suggest that volatility spillovers in the latter period are more transitive and intense than the former. This suggests that financial volatility spreads more rapidly and directly through key financial indicators to the G20 stock markets. For example, oil and bonds are the largest volatility senders, while the markets of Saudi Arabia, Russia, South Africa, and Brazil are the main volatility receivers. In the former crisis, the source of financial volatility concentrates primarily in the USA, Australia, Canada, and Saudi Arabia, which are the largest volatility senders and receivers. China emerges as generally the least sensitive market to external volatility.

PMID:36106329 | PMC:PMC9463059 | DOI:10.1007/s00181-022-02290-w

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Psoriasis and medical ramifications: A comprehensive analysis based on observational meta-analyses

Front Med (Lausanne). 2022 Aug 29;9:998815. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2022.998815. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Based on a large number of systematic reviews and meta-analyses exploring the relationship between psoriasis and various health outcomes, we conducted an comprehensive analysis to assess the strength and evidence for the association between psoriasis and medical end-point ramifications in patients.

METHODS: We searched related meta-analyses, investigating the links between psoriasis and medical ramifications from three databases. All summary effect sizes, 95% CIs, heterogeneity, and small-study effects in the included meta-analyses were recalculated. We assessed the methodological quality of included articles with the AMSTAR 2 tool and graded the epidemiological evidence. Subgroup analysis based on the severity of psoriasis and study design were also performed.

RESULTS: A total of 38 articles comprising 85 unique meta-analyses were included in this study. Although 69 outcomes were statistically significant, only 8 outcomes (nonvascular dementia, ulcerative colitis, pediatric dyslipidemia, gestational diabetes, gestational hypertension, fracture, multiple sclerosis, and schizophrenia) showed a high quality of epidemiological evidence.

CONCLUSION: We found that psoriasis increased the risk of 69 health outcomes, and 8 outcomes were graded as high-quality evidence. No evidence was found that psoriasis was beneficial for any medical end point. However, to verify our results, more large-sample, multi-center prospective cohort studies are needed.

PMID:36106326 | PMC:PMC9465012 | DOI:10.3389/fmed.2022.998815

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Autoimmune and immunoserological markers of COVID-19 pneumonia: Can they help in the assessment of disease severity

Front Med (Lausanne). 2022 Aug 29;9:934270. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2022.934270. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Immune dysregulation and associated inefficient anti-viral immunity during Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) can cause tissue and organ damage which shares many similarities with pathogenetic processes in systemic autoimmune diseases. In this study, we investigate wide range autoimmune and immunoserological markers in hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

METHODS: Study included 51 patients with confirmed Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 infection and hospitalized due to COVID-19 pneumonia. Wide spectrum autoantibodies associated with different autoimmune inflammatory rheumatic diseases were analyzed and correlated with clinical and laboratory features and pneumonia severity.

RESULTS: Antinuclear antibodies (ANA) positivity was found in 19.6%, anti-cardiolipin IgG antibodies (aCL IgG) in 15.7%, and anti-cardiolipin IgM antibodies (aCL IgM) in 7.8% of patients. Positive atypical x anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (xANCA) were detected in 10.0% (all negative for Proteinase 3 and Myeloperoxidase) and rheumatoid factor was found in 8.2% of patients. None of tested autoantibodies were associated with disease or pneumonia severity, except for aCL IgG being significantly associated with higher pneumonia severity index (p = 0.036). Patients with reduced total serum IgG were more likely to require non-invasive mechanical ventilation (NIMV) (p < 0.0001). Serum concentrations of IgG (p = 0.003) and IgA (p = 0.032) were significantly lower in this group of patients. Higher total serum IgA (p = 0.009) was associated with mortality, with no difference in serum IgG (p = 0.115) or IgM (p = 0.175). Lethal outcome was associated with lower complement C4 (p = 0.013), while there was no difference in complement C3 concentration (p = 0.135).

CONCLUSION: Increased autoimmune responses are present in moderate and severe COVID-19. Severe pneumonia is associated with the presence of aCL IgG, suggesting their role in disease pathogenesis. Evaluation of serum immunoglobulins and complement concentration could help assess the risk of non-invasive mechanical ventilation NIMV and poor outcome.

PMID:36106319 | PMC:PMC9464912 | DOI:10.3389/fmed.2022.934270

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Development and validation of models for predicting the overall survival and cancer-specific survival of patients with primary vaginal cancer: A population-based retrospective cohort study

Front Med (Lausanne). 2022 Aug 29;9:919150. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2022.919150. eCollection 2022.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: No models have been developed to predict the survival probability for women with primary vaginal cancer (VC) due to VC’s extreme rareness. We aimed to develop and validate models to predict the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of VC patients.

METHODS: A population-based multicenter retrospective cohort study was carried out using the 2004-2018 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program database in the United States. The final multivariate Cox model was identified using the Brier score and Harrell’s C concordance statistic (C-statistic). The decision curve, calibration plot, and area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were used to evaluate model prediction performance. Multiple imputation followed by bootstrap was performed. Bootstrap validation covered the entire statistic procedure from model selection to baseline survival and coefficient calculation. Nomograms predicting OS and CSS were generated.

RESULTS: Of the 2,417 eligible patients, 1,692 and 725 were randomly allocated to the training and validation cohorts. The median age (Interquartile range) was 66 (56-78) and 65 (55-76) for the two cohorts, respectively. Our models had larger net benefits in predicting the survival of VC patients than the American Joint Committee on Cancer stage, presenting great discrimination ability and excellent agreement between the expected and observed events. The performance metrics of our models were calculated in three cohorts: the training cohort, complete cases of the validation cohort, and the imputed validation cohort. For the OS model in the three cohorts, the C-statistics were 0.761, 0.752, and 0.743. The slopes of the calibration plots were 1.017, 1.005, and 0.959. The 3- and 5-year AUCs were 0.795 and 0.810, 0.768 and 0.771, and 0.770 and 0.767, respectively. For the CSS model in the three cohorts, the C-statistics were 0.775, 0.758, and 0.755. The slopes were 1.021, 0.939, and 0.977. And the 3- and 5-year AUCs were 0.797 and 0.793, 0.786 and 0.788, and 0.757 and 0.757, respectively.

CONCLUSION: We were the first to develop and validate exemplary survival prediction models for VC patients and generate corresponding nomograms that allow for individualized survival prediction and could assist clinicians in performing risk-adapted follow-up and treatment.

PMID:36106318 | PMC:PMC9464817 | DOI:10.3389/fmed.2022.919150

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Improving Patient Satisfaction in the Hispanic American Community

Cureus. 2022 Aug 7;14(8):e27739. doi: 10.7759/cureus.27739. eCollection 2022 Aug.

ABSTRACT

Hispanic Americans are the fastest growing ethnic group in the United States, with an ever-growing gap in the communicative capacity between patients and healthcare providers. This leads to linguistic marginalization and worse healthcare outcomes. There is an increasing need for Spanish literacy in healthcare professionals, including medical students. However, approximately half of medical schools don’t offer a Spanish elective. We performed a scoping review of the literature to assess the relationship between medical Spanish electives, verbal fluency, auditory comprehension, and student comfort. This study was conducted using PubMed and Google Scholar to evaluate articles on Spanish electives in medical schools. Nine articles met inclusion criteria. Almost all studies demonstrated benefit as per outcome measures assessed with statistical significance. The available literature supports the need for Spanish elective courses, with numerous advantages conferred, e.g. increased self-perceived knowledge about specific health issues in the Hispanic American community and reduction in inadvertent communication errors in the patient-provider-interpreter interaction. However, most of the reports analyzed exhibited numerous limitations that warrant future research studies in order to eliminate variables such as bias and issues with generalizability. The authors suggest that more medical schools offer virtual Spanish electives with a focus on empathetic language strategies and patient satisfaction.

PMID:36106297 | PMC:PMC9445777 | DOI:10.7759/cureus.27739

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Translation and Validation of the Ureteral Stent Symptoms Questionnaire in Urdu

Cureus. 2022 Aug 8;14(8):e27764. doi: 10.7759/cureus.27764. eCollection 2022 Aug.

ABSTRACT

Introduction In endourology, ureteric stenting is a common procedure, and stent placement is not without adverse health consequences. A ureteric stent symptoms questionnaire (USSQ) was devised to objectively evaluate the symptoms related to it. The original questionnaire is in English and translated into various languages worldwide. We translated the questionnaire into Urdu and validated it in an Urdu-speaking population with a stent in situ. Materials and methods The English version of USSQ was translated and back-translated by experts in both languages. Content validity was checked by sending Urdu version to five experts, and their scores were used to calculate the content validity index. The final version was filled by patients with stents on three different occasions, two with stents in situ at one and two weeks post stent placement, and a third time two weeks after stent removal. Discriminant validity was checked by filling of USSQ by 64 healthy individuals. Statistical analysis was done with mean and standard deviation, Cronbach’s alpha, Spearman’s coefficient, and paired sample t-test. Results A total of 64 patients filled the complete questionnaire at all times with mean age of 35.31 ± 8.853. All subdomains of USSQ have significant drop in scores with stent in situ in comparison to post stent removal. Reliability was checked by Cronbach’s alpha in all subdomains (71.5-91.1) and test-retest reliability by Spearman’s coefficient (80.5-94.7). Symptoms change in stent in situ with post stent removal checked with paired sample t-test with a p-value of <0.005 in all domains, except body pain. Discriminant validity was checked with healthy controls, and a p-value of <0.005 was found in all subdomains of USSQ, except pain. Conclusion The Urdu version of the USSQ is a reliable and valid instrument that can be used in clinical practice and future research in an Urdu-speaking population.

PMID:36106281 | PMC:PMC9449251 | DOI:10.7759/cureus.27764

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Autologous Conditioned Plasma and Hyaluronic Acid Injection for Isolated Grade 4 Osteochondral Lesions of the Knee in Young Active Adults

Cureus. 2022 Aug 8;14(8):e27787. doi: 10.7759/cureus.27787. eCollection 2022 Aug.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To compare the short-term benefits and results of autologous conditioned plasma (ACP) and hyaluronic acid (HA) injection in osteochondral defects in the knee of young adults. The effectiveness of intra-articular platelet-rich plasma (PRP) injections has been evaluated in osteoarthritis. However, few studies investigated its efficacy in knee osteochondral defects.

METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data. A matched cohort of 30 patients in each group was studied. Group 1 received three HA injections at weekly intervals, and group 2 received three ACP injections at two weekly intervals. We measured Kujala, Lysholm, Oxford, and visual analog scale (VAS) scores at baseline, six, 12, and 36 months to assess function and pain.

RESULTS: Most lesions were in the medial femoral condyles in both groups, followed by lateral femoral condyle and patellofemoral regions. In group 1 (HA), the mean pre-injection scores for Kujala, Lysholm, and Oxford improved significantly at six and 12 months. The scores decreased at 36 months, however, they remained significantly better than the baselines (P < 0.05). The pre-injection VAS scores continued to improve significantly from 6.06±0.785 to 3.40±0.912 at 36 weeks. In group 2 (ACP), VAS and the outcome scores showed a consistent and statistically significant improvement from pre-injection to 36 months. Conclusions: Our study confirms the short-term clinical benefits of using ACP for symptomatic osteochondral defects of the knee. Further high-quality comparative studies with longer follow-ups are needed to ascertain whether ACP is beneficial in the long term.

PMID:36106279 | PMC:PMC9449309 | DOI:10.7759/cureus.27787

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Is Oral Testosterone the New Frontier of Testosterone Replacement Therapy?

Cureus. 2022 Aug 8;14(8):e27796. doi: 10.7759/cureus.27796. eCollection 2022 Aug.

ABSTRACT

Male hypogonadism is a condition in which the body does not produce enough testosterone, resulting in symptoms such as depressed mood, decreased sex drive, decreased skeletal muscle, and increased fat mass. Male hypogonadism can be readily treated with many available treatments when clinically indicated. The advent of readily available testosterone therapy has increased the importance of finding the most efficacious and cost-efficient treatment modality to approach these patients. Testosterone is typically administered through intramuscular or subcutaneous injections, topical gels, and oral tablets. The efficacy of testosterone therapy on hypogonadal men has been widely studied. However, there has been little research done comparing each modality against each other. This paper seeks to compare the various modalities of testosterone replacement therapy using various parameters such as the beneficial effects on bone mineral density, skeletal muscle mass, fat mass, and libido while simultaneously weighing the distinct undesirable side effects of each form of administration. Our investigation analyzes the methodology and results of the existing research within this field. It aims to draw a nuanced conclusion about the current standard of care for testosterone replacement therapy. According to our research and statistical analyses, we have concluded that oral administration has shown to be as advantageous as other modalities for male hypogonadism. Currently, injectables are the modality of choice, but with the right improvements, oral administration can potentially overtake injectables and transdermal testosterone as the treatment of choice.

PMID:36106278 | PMC:PMC9452423 | DOI:10.7759/cureus.27796

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Opioid Knowledge and Prescribing Habits at a Large Tertiary Care Academic Center

Cureus. 2022 Aug 10;14(8):e27843. doi: 10.7759/cureus.27843. eCollection 2022 Aug.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Opioids are commonly prescribed medications for pain management with high risks associated with chronic use. The inherent risk associated with opioids is worsened by variable prescribing practices used by prescribers. In the midst of the “opioid epidemic,” perceptions of opioid prescription among healthcare practitioners have not been widely investigated.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to explore the opinions, experiences, and habits of prescribers as well as other healthcare personnel involved in the administration of opioids at an academic medical center.

METHODS: Questions were shared through an online survey format, answerable in Likert scale scores from 1 to 5, and categorized into three domains; prescribing habits/management, education, and risk stratification.

RESULTS: A total of 638 survey responses were collected comprising 130 physicians (21%), 44 residents and fellows (6.9%), 53 physician assistants and nurse practitioners (8.31%), 18 pharmacists (2.82%), 85 medical students (13.32%), and 308 nurses (48.28%). Collected responses revealed a weak consensus on prescribing practices and a lack of evidence-based opioid management such as low utilization of multidisciplinary clinics and unfamiliarity with the WHO analgesic ladder across all specialties. The survey also indicated a lack of education regarding the prescribing of opioids across all specialties although pharmacists reported obtaining the most. Lastly, the use of risk stratification tools such as prescription drug monitoring programs and urine drug testing were underutilized amongst practitioners.

CONCLUSION: Strengthening practitioners’ opioid management abilities with evidence-based interventions for each aforementioned domain may aid in the fight against the opioid epidemic.

PMID:36106268 | PMC:PMC9460958 | DOI:10.7759/cureus.27843

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

How do people use and view infographics that summarise health and medical research? A cross-sectional survey

BMC Med Educ. 2022 Sep 14;22(1):677. doi: 10.1186/s12909-022-03744-6.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Understanding how people use infographics and their opinion on them has important implications for the design of infographics but has not been investigated. The aim of this study was to describe people’s use of and opinions about infographics summarising health and medical research, preferences for information to include in infographics, and barriers to reading full-text articles.

METHODS: We conducted an online cross-sectional survey of consumers of infographics that summarise health or medical research. Demographic and outcome data were collected and summarised using descriptive statistics. A sensitivity analysis explored whether being a researcher/academic influenced the findings.

RESULTS: Two hundred fifty-four participants completed the survey (88% completion rate). Participants included health professionals (66%), researchers (34%), academics (24%), and patients/the public (13%). Most used Twitter (67%) and smartphones (89%) to access and view infographics, and thought infographics were useful tools to communicate research (92%) and increase the attention research receives (95%). Although most participants were somewhat/extremely likely (76%) to read the full-text article after viewing an infographic, some used infographics as a substitute for the full text at least half of the time (41%), thought infographics should be detailed enough so they do not have to read the full text (55%), and viewed infographics as tools to reduce the time burden of reading the full text (64%). Researchers/academics were less likely to report behaviours/beliefs suggesting infographics can reduce the need to read the full-text article.

CONCLUSIONS: Given many people use infographics as a substitute for reading the full-text article and want infographics to be detailed enough so they don’t have to read the full text, a checklist to facilitate clear, transparent, and sufficiently detailed infographics summarising some types of health and medical research may be useful.

PMID:36104815 | DOI:10.1186/s12909-022-03744-6