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AI-powered COVID-19 forecasting: a comprehensive comparison of advanced deep learning methods

Osong Public Health Res Perspect. 2024 Mar 28. doi: 10.24171/j.phrp.2023.0287. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic continues to pose significant challenges to the public health sector, including that of the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The objective of this study was to assess the efficiency and accuracy of various deep-learning models in forecasting COVID-19 cases within the UAE, thereby aiding the nation’s public health authorities in informed decision-making.

METHODS: This study utilized a comprehensive dataset encompassing confirmed COVID-19 cases, demographic statistics, and socioeconomic indicators. Several advanced deep learning models, including long short-term memory (LSTM), bidirectional LSTM, convolutional neural network (CNN), CNN-LSTM, multilayer perceptron, and recurrent neural network (RNN) models, were trained and evaluated. Bayesian optimization was also implemented to fine-tune these models.

RESULTS: The evaluation framework revealed that each model exhibited different levels of predictive accuracy and precision. Specifically, the RNN model outperformed the other architectures even without optimization. Comprehensive predictive and perspective analytics were conducted to scrutinize the COVID-19 dataset.

CONCLUSION: This study transcends academic boundaries by offering critical insights that enable public health authorities in the UAE to deploy targeted data-driven interventions. The RNN model, which was identified as the most reliable and accurate for this specific context, can significantly influence public health decisions. Moreover, the broader implications of this research validate the capability of deep learning techniques in handling complex datasets, thus offering the transformative potential for predictive accuracy in the public health and healthcare sectors.

PMID:38621765 | DOI:10.24171/j.phrp.2023.0287

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Pseudomyopia treated with auricular point sticking combined with periocular needle-embedding therapy and prevention of true myopia: a multicenter randomized controlled trial

Zhongguo Zhen Jiu. 2024 Apr 12;44(4):405-410. doi: 10.13703/j.0255-2930.20231122-0004.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To observe the clinical effect and safety of auricular point sticking combined with periocular needle-embedding therapy for pseudomyopia and prevention of true myopia.

METHODS: A total of 269 children with pseudomyopia were randomized into an observation group (134 cases, 2 cases dropped out) and a control group (135 cases, 5 cases dropped out). In the control group, the healthy education was provided. In the observation group, besides the intervention as the control group, the auricular point sticking was delivered at gan (CO12), pi (CO13), xin (CO15) and yan (LO5) on one ear in each treatment, combined with periocular needle-embedding technique at bilateral Cuanzhu (BL 2), Yuyao (EX-HN 4) and Sibai (ST 2). There were 2 weeks of interval after 4 weeks of treatment. One course of treatment was composed of 6 weeks and 2 courses were required. Separately, before treatment, after 6 and 12 weeks of treatment, and after 12 weeks (the 1st follow-up visit) and 24 weeks (the 2nd follow-up visit) of treatment completion, the spherical equivalent (SE), SE progression, axial length (AL) progression, accommodative amplitude (AMP), the score of the TCM symptom and the general symptom were observed in the two groups. The safety and compliance were evaluated in the two groups.

RESULTS: After 6 and 12 weeks of treatment, and in the 1st and 2nd follow-up visits, SE increased when compared with that before treatment in the two groups (P<0.05), and AMP was larger than that before treatment in the observation group (P<0.05). After 12 weeks of treatment, and in the 1st and 2nd follow-up visits, the progression of SE was slower in the observation group compared with that in the control group (P<0.01, P<0.001). After 6 and 12 weeks of treatment, and in the 1st and 2nd follow-up visits, the progression of AL in the observation group was lower than that of the control group (P<0.05, P<0.01, P<0.001); and in the 1st and 2nd follow-up visits, AMP of the observation group was larger when compared with that in the control group (P<0.05, P<0.001). After 6 and 12 weeks of treatment, and in the 1st and 2nd follow-up visits, the total scores of TCM symptom and general symptom were reduced in comparison with those before treatment in the observation group (P<0.05); after 6 and 12 weeks of treatment, the total scores of TCM symptom and general symptom were lower than those before treatment in the control group (P<0.05). In the 1st and 2nd follow-up visits, the difference of the total score of TCM symptom and general symptom in the observation group was larger than that of the control group (P<0.05). In the observation group, compared with the control group, the scores for pale/dark complexion in the 1st and 2nd follow-up visits and that for lassitude in the 2nd follow-up visit were lower (P<0.05), the score for poor concentration after 12 weeks of treatment and that for poor sleep and memory in the 2nd follow-up visit were lower (P<0.05). There were no adverse reactions in the two groups. The compliance was 98.5% in the observation group and was 96.3% in the control group, without statistical difference (P>0.05).

CONCLUSIONS: On the basis of health education, auricular point sticking combined with periocular needle-embedding therapy can effectively prevent from true myopia, control the increase of SE, delay the growth of AL and improve AMP in children with pseudomyopia. This compound therapeutic regimen can relieve the general symptom and comprehensively prevent from myopia through multiple approaches, with high safety and satisfactory compliance.

PMID:38621727 | DOI:10.13703/j.0255-2930.20231122-0004

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Effect of transcutaneous electrical acupoint stimulation on postoperative urinary function in elderly patients undergoing total hip arthroplasty

Zhongguo Zhen Jiu. 2024 Apr 12;44(4):395-399. doi: 10.13703/j.0255-2930.20230302-k0005.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To observe the effect of transcutaneous electrical acupoint stimulation (TEAS) on postoperative urinary function in elderly patients undergoing total hip arthroplasty (THA).

METHODS: One hundred and eighty elderly patients undergoing unilateral THA without indwelling urinary catheters were randomly assigned to a TEAS group (90 cases, 3 cases dropped out, 4 cases were eliminated) and a sham TEAS group (90 cases, 1 case dropped out, 4 cases were eliminated). Both groups received fascia iliac block and subarachnoid block anesthesia under ultrasound guidance. The patients in the TEAS group were treated with TEAS at Zhongji (CV 3), Guanyuan (CV 4), and bilateral Huiyang (BL 35), Ciliao (BL 32) 30 minutes before anesthesia initiation, with dissperse-dense wave, frequency of 2 Hz/100 Hz, until 30 minutes after surgery. The patients in the sham TEAS group underwent the same procedure with the device applied at the same acupoints but without electrical stimulation. The incidence of postoperative urinary retention (POUR), time to first void, voiding threshold, urinary adenosine triphosphate (ATP) level, postoperative abnormal voiding status (bladder residual volume, re-catheterization rate, nocturia occurrence), and postoperative incidence of urinary tract infection (UTI) and prosthetic joint infection (PJI) were observed in both groups.

RESULTS: The incidence of POUR in the TEAS group was lower than that in the sham TEAS group (P<0.05); the time to first void in the TEAS group was shorter than that in the sham TEAS group (P<0.05); the voiding threshold in the TEAS group was lower than that in the sham TEAS group (P<0.05); the urinary ATP level in the TEAS group was higher than that in the sham TEAS group (P<0.05); the bladder residual volume in the TEAS group was lower than that in the sham TEAS group (P<0.05); the nocturia occurrence in the TEAS group was lower than that in the sham TEAS group (P<0.05). However, there was no statistically significant difference in re-catheterization rate, incidence of UTI, and incidence of PJI between the two groups (P>0.05).

CONCLUSIONS: TEAS could effectively reduce the occurrence of postoperative urinary retention and improve the postoperative urinary function in elderly patients undergoing THA, which might be related with increasing the urinary ATP level.

PMID:38621725 | DOI:10.13703/j.0255-2930.20230302-k0005

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Napex acupoint thread-embedding combined with metoprolol tartrate tablet for prophylactic treatment of migraine without aura: a randomized controlled trial

Zhongguo Zhen Jiu. 2024 Apr 12;44(4):389-394. doi: 10.13703/j.0255-2930.20230809-k0002.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To observe the efficacy of napex acupoint thread-embedding combined with metoprolol tartrate tablet for prophylactic treatment of migraine without aura, and to compare its efficacy with simple napex acupoint thread-embedding and simple metoprolol tartrate tablet.

METHODS: A total of 105 patients with migraine without aura were randomized into a combination group (35 cases, 5 cases dropped out), a thread-embedding group (35 cases, 4 cases dropped out) and a western medication group (35 cases, 2 cases dropped out). In the thread-embedding group, napex acupoint thread-embedding was applied at bilateral Fengchi (GB 20) and points of 1.5 cun nearby to the lower edge of spinous process of cervical 2. In the western medication group, metoprolol tartrate tablet was given orally, 12.5 mg a time, twice a day. In the combination group, napex acupoint thread-embedding combined with oral metoprolol tartrate tablet was delivered. The treatment of 8 weeks was required in the 3 groups. The days of headache attacks, frequency of headache attacks, headache severity (visual analogue scale [VAS] score) and the migraine specific quality of life questionnaire version 2.1 (MSQ) score were observed during baseline period (4 weeks before treatment to before treatment), observation period (1-4 weeks and 5-8 weeks in treatment) and follow-up period (1-4 weeks after treatment completion) respectively, the proportions of the days of headache attacks/frequency of headache attacks relieved by 50% were calculated, and the safety was evaluated in the 3 groups.

RESULTS: During the observation period and the follow-up period, the days of headache attacks, frequency of headache attacks and headache VAS scores in the 3 groups were reduced compared with those of the baseline period (P<0.05). During the observation period and the follow-up period, the days of headache attacks and the frequency of headache attacks in the combination group were lower than those in the thread-embedding group and the western medication group (P<0.05); during the observation period (1-4 weeks in treatment), the headache VAS scores in the combination group and the thread-embedding group were lower than that in the western medication group (P<0.05); during the observation period (5-8 weeks in treatment) and the follow-up period, the headache VAS scores in the combination group were lower than those in the thread-embedding group and the western medication group (P<0.05). During the observation period and the follow-up period, the scores of role restriction, role prevention and emotion function of MSQ in the combination group were increased compared with those of the baseline period (P<0.05); during the observation period (5-8 weeks in treatment) and the follow-up period, the role prevention scores of MSQ in the thread-embedding group and the western medication group were increased compared with those of the baseline period (P<0.05); during the follow-up period, the emotion function scores of MSQ in the thread-embedding group and the western medication group were increased compared with those of the baseline period (P<0.05). During the observation period and the follow-up period, the scores of role restriction, role prevention and emotion function of MSQ in the combination group were higher than those in the thread-embedding group and the western medication group (P<0.05). There was no statistical difference in the proportions of the days of headache attacks/frequency of headache attacks relieved by 50% among the 3 groups (P>0.05), and there were no serious adverse reactions in the 3 groups.

CONCLUSIONS: Napex acupoint thread-embedding combined with metoprolol tartrate tablet, simple napex acupoint thread-embedding and simple metoprolol tartrate tablet all can reduce the days of headache attacks and the frequency of headache attacks, relieve headache severity and improve the quality of life in patients with migraine without aura. Napex acupoint thread-embedding combined with metoprolol tartrate tablet has a better effect.

PMID:38621724 | DOI:10.13703/j.0255-2930.20230809-k0002

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Blood Cell Count Ratios at Baseline are Associated with Initial Clinical Response to Clozapine in Treatment-Resistant, Clozapine-Naïve, Schizophrenia-Spectrum Disorder

Pharmacopsychiatry. 2024 Apr 15. doi: 10.1055/a-2290-6386. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Clozapine is the recommended treatment for managing treatment-resistant schizophrenia (TRS), and immunological mechanisms may be involved in its unique antipsychotic efficacy. This study investigated whether baseline immune abnormalities measured with blood cell count ratios can predict the clinical response after initiating treatment with clozapine in patients with clozapine naïve TRS.

METHODS: A longitudinal design was developed, involving 32 patients diagnosed with treatment-resistant, clozapine-naïve schizophrenia-spectrum disorder. Patients were evaluated at baseline before clozapine starting and 8 weeks of follow-up. Psychopathological status and immune abnormalities (blood cell count ratios: neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio [NLR], monocyte-lymphocyte ratio [MLR], platelet-lymphocyte ratio [PLR] and basophil-lymphocyte ratio [BLR]) were evaluated in each visit.

RESULTS: Baseline NLR (b=- 0.364; p=0.041) and MLR (b =- 0.400; p=0.023) predicted the change in positive symptoms over the 8-week period. Patients who exhibited a clinical response showed higher baseline NLR (2.38±0.96 vs. 1.75±0.83; p=0.040) and MLR (0.21±0.06 vs. 0.17±0.02; p=0.044) compared to non-responders. In the ROC analysis, the threshold points to distinguish between responders and non-responders were approximately 1.62 for NLR and 0.144 for MLR, yielding AUC values of 0.714 and 0.712, respectively. No statistically significant differences were observed in the blood cell count ratios from baseline to the 8-week follow-up.

CONCLUSION: Our study emphasizes the potential clinical significance of baseline NLR and MLR levels as predictors of initial clozapine treatment response in patients with TRS. Future studies with larger sample sizes and longer follow-up periods should replicate our findings.

PMID:38621701 | DOI:10.1055/a-2290-6386

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Treatment of Acute Coronary Syndromes

Dtsch Med Wochenschr. 2024 Apr;149(9):502-507. doi: 10.1055/a-2173-2638. Epub 2024 Apr 15.

ABSTRACT

Despite significant advances in the detection and rapid management of acute coronary syndromes (ACS), it continues to lead the cause of death statistics and they continuously represent the leading cause of death and living with disabilities, globally. Since ACS combine a spectrum of different diagnoses, a high degree of variability in possible clinical presentation and relevant gender differences, Individualised treatment is not always easy and is constantly changing due to novel evidence from research studies. Therefore, the aim of this article is therefore to explain relevant treatment options and to present the current state of science in the context of clinical patient treatment.

PMID:38621684 | DOI:10.1055/a-2173-2638

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Integration of the geriatric palliative care in oncological care of elderly patient with cancer

Palliat Support Care. 2024 Apr 15:1-9. doi: 10.1017/S1478951524000294. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this article is to describe the profile of the population attended to by the palliative geriatrics clinic and to evaluate the symptomatic control derived from the care provided.

METHODS: During 2017 a model based on a holistic approach was implemented, in this model the team geriatric palliative care plays a fundamental role by being part of the palliative care team and functioning as a liaison with the oncology team and other required services. We outlined the profile of 100 patients aged 70 and older seen between 2017 and 2019 at our geriatric palliative care clinic. Descriptive statistics were used. In addition, the symptoms and the care clinic model effect on the symptomatic control were analyzed, as well as the complexity of patients in palliative care with IDC-Pal.

RESULTS: The patients median age was 83.5 years. Patients were classified by type of management: 47% within the supportive care group and 53% with palliative care only; 58% had metastatic disease and 84% presented at least 1 comorbidity. Frailty was observed in 78% and a Karnofsky scale of 60 or less was observed in 59% of the overall population.

SIGNIFICANCE OF RESULTS: Elderly cancer patients have a complex profile and may have multiple needs. Integrating geriatric palliative care can help to provide better and personalized care along with symptomatic control. Further studies are required to establish the ideal care model for these patients. Importantly, a personalized treatment with a geriatric palliative care specialist is a key element.

PMID:38621672 | DOI:10.1017/S1478951524000294

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Accelerometer-Based Estimates of Physical Activity and Sedentary Time Among Samoan Adults

J Phys Act Health. 2024 Apr 15:1-9. doi: 10.1123/jpah.2023-0590. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of obesity-related cardiometabolic disease in Samoa is among the highest globally. While physical activity is a modifiable risk factor for obesity-related disease, little is known about physical activity levels among adult Samoans. Using wrist-worn accelerometer-based devices, this study aimed to characterize physical activity among Samoan adults.

METHODS: Samoan adults (n = 385; 55% female, mean [SD] age 52 [10] y) wore Actigraph GT3X+ devices for 7 to 10 days. General linear models were used to examine mean daily minutes of sedentary time, light physical activity, and moderate to vigorous physical activity by various participant characteristics.

RESULTS: Time spent in moderate to vigorous physical activity did not differ statistically between men (88 [5] min; 95% confidence interval [CI], 80-97) and women (78 [4] min; 95% CI, 70-86; P = .08). Women, however, spent more time than men in light physical activity: 380 (7) minutes (95% CI, 367-393) versus 344 (7) minutes (95% CI, 329-358; P < .001). While there were no differences in physical activity by census region, education, or occupation among women, men in urban areas spent significantly less time in moderate to vigorous physical activity than those in peri-urban and rural areas (P = .015). Women with class II/III obesity spent more time in sedentary activities than those with healthy weight or overweight/class I obesity (P = .048).

CONCLUSIONS: This study characterizes physical activity among Samoan adults and highlights variation by sex, urbanicity, and weight status. In providing initial device-measured estimates of physical activity in Samoa, this analysis establishes a baseline from which the success of future attempts to intervene on physical activity may be assessed.

PMID:38621669 | DOI:10.1123/jpah.2023-0590

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Evaluating Stromal Vascular Fraction As a Treatment for Peripheral Nerve Regeneration: A Scoping Review

J Oral Maxillofac Surg. 2024 Mar 28:S0278-2391(24)00206-4. doi: 10.1016/j.joms.2024.03.024. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: This study aims to investigate the potential of stromal vascular fraction (SVF) for peripheral nerve regeneration.

METHODS: A scoping review of Scopus and PubMed databases was conducted. Inclusion criteria were human or animal studies exploring the use of SVF for peripheral nerve regeneration. Studies were categorized by assessed outcomes: pain assessment, neural integrity, muscle recovery, and functional recovery. Level of evidence and study quality were assessed.

RESULTS: Nine studies met the inclusion criteria. SVF injection in humans with trigeminal neuropathic pain reduced pain scores from 7.5 ± 1.58 to 4.3 ± 3.28. SVF injection improved sensation in humans with leprosy neuropathy. Repairing transected rat sciatic nerves with SVF-coated nerve autografts improved wet muscle weight ratios (0.65 ± 0.11 vs 0.55 ± 0.06) and sciatic function index (SFI) scores (-68.2 ± 9.2 vs -72.5 ± 8.9). Repairing transected rat sciatic nerves with SVF-coated conduits increased relative gastrocnemius muscle weights (RGMW) (7-10% improvement), myelinated fibers (1,605 ± 806.2 vs 543.6 ± 478.66), and myelin thickness (5-20% increase). Repairing transected rat facial nerves with SVF-coated conduits improved whisker motion (9.22° ± 0.65° vs 1.90° ± 0.84°) and myelin thickness (0.57 μm ± 0.17 vs 0.45 μm ± 0.14 μm). Repairing transected rat sciatic nerves with SVF-coated nerve allografts improved RGMW (85 vs 50%), SFI scores (-20 to -10 vs -40 to -30), and Basso, Beatie, and Bresnahan locomotor scores (18 vs 15). All metrics mentioned above were statistically significant. The human studies were level 4 evidence due to being case series, while animal studies were the lowest level of evidence.

CONCLUSION: Despite initial promising results, the low-level evidence from the included studies warrants further investigation.

PMID:38621666 | DOI:10.1016/j.joms.2024.03.024

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What Is the Relationship Between Maxillofacial Injury Location and Associated Injuries?

J Oral Maxillofac Surg. 2024 Mar 27:S0278-2391(24)00207-6. doi: 10.1016/j.joms.2024.03.025. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Patients sustaining maxillofacial fractures are at risk for associated injuries (AIs) to other body regions. The incidence of AIs is reported to be from 20 to 35%. AIs may be life-threatening and play a key role in considering first-line management at the emergency department, as well as planning the definitive treatment of maxillofacial fractures.

PURPOSE: The study aimed to determine the frequency and risk factors for AIs in patients with maxillofacial fractures.

STUDY DESIGN, SETTING, SAMPLE: The investigators designed and implemented a retrospective cohort study of patients with facial fractures treated at Central Hospital (Lahti, Finland) from January 1, 2009 through December 31, 2019. All adult patients with verified maxillofacial fractures were included. Patients under 18 years of age were excluded from the study.

PREDICTOR VARIABLE: The predictor variable was the location of the maxillofacial fractures grouped into three categories: mandible alone, midface alone, and both midface and mandible.

MAIN OUTCOME VARIABLE(S): The primary outcome variable was associated body region injuries coded as present or absent. The secondary outcome variable was the location of the AI categorized as skull, neck, thorax, pelvis, or extremity injuries.

COVARIATES: Other study variables included demographic data (age, sex, alcohol use), Glasgow Coma Scale, and etiology (fall, traffic- and bicycle accident, assault, pedestrian hit by motor vehicle, work-related, or sports/free-time injuries).

ANALYSES: Continuous variables were analyzed for normal distribution using the Shapiro-Wilks test and compared with categorical variables using the Mann-Whitney test. The univariate analyses of categorical variables were analyzed by the χ2 test (P ≤ .05 was considered statistically significant).

RESULTS: During the study period, 443 adult (≥18) patients had maxillofacial fractures. AIs were present in 88 subjects (20%). The mean age was 47.6 years (range 18-91); 52 years with AIs (range 19-91), and 47 years (range 18-92) without AIs (P = .03). Subjects with midface and mandible + midface fractures had greater risk to AIs compared to mandibular fractures (relative risk 2.0, P = .002, relative risk 2.8, P = .009).

CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE: Every fifth maxillofacial trauma patient had an associated injury. Trauma patients should be evaluated in institutions with trauma protocols and imaging modalities before determining and executing the treatment plan for maxillofacial fractures.

PMID:38621665 | DOI:10.1016/j.joms.2024.03.025