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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Extraction and generalisation of category-level information during visual statistical learning in autistic people

PLoS One. 2023 Jun 2;18(6):e0286018. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0286018. eCollection 2023.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We examined whether information extracted during a visual statistical learning task could be generalised from specific exemplars to semantically similar ones. We then looked at whether performance in autistic people differed to non-autistic people during a visual statistical learning task and specifically examined whether differences in performance between groups occurred when sequential information was presented at a semantic level. We did this by assessing recall performance using a two-alternative forced choice paradigm after presenting participants with a sequence of naturalistic scene images.

METHODS: 125 adult participants (61 participants with an autism diagnosis and 64 non-autistic controls) were presented with a fast serial presentation sequence of images and given a cover task to avoid attention being explicitly drawn to patterns in the underlying sequences. This was followed by a two-alternative forced choice task to assess participants’ implicit recall. Participants were presented with 1 of 3 unique versions of the task, in which the presentation and assessment of statistical regularities was done at either a low feature-based level or a high semantic-based level.

RESULTS: Participants were able to generalise statistical information from specific exemplars to semantically similar ones. There was an overall significant reduction in visual statistical learning in the autistic group but we were unable to determine whether group differences occurred specifically in conditions where the learning of semantic information was required.

CONCLUSIONS: These results provide evidence that participants are able to extract statistical information that is presented at the level of specific exemplars and generalise it to semantically similar contexts. We also showed a modest but statistically significant reduction in recall performance in the autistic participants relative to the non-autistic participants.

PMID:37267333 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0286018

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Yeast population dynamics in Brazilian bioethanol production

G3 (Bethesda). 2023 Jun 2:jkad104. doi: 10.1093/g3journal/jkad104. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

The large-scale and nonaseptic fermentation of sugarcane feedstocks into fuel ethanol in biorefineries represents a unique ecological niche, in which the yeast Saccharomyces cerevisiae is the predominant organism. Several factors, such as sugarcane variety, process design, and operating and weather conditions, make each of the ∼400 industrial units currently operating in Brazil a unique ecosystem. Here, we track yeast population dynamics in 2 different biorefineries through 2 production seasons (April to November of 2018 and 2019), using a novel statistical framework on a combination of metagenomic and clonal sequencing data. We find that variation from season to season in 1 biorefinery is small compared to the differences between the 2 units. In 1 biorefinery, all lineages present during the entire production period derive from 1 of the starter strains, while in the other, invading lineages took over the population and displaced the starter strain. However, despite the presence of invading lineages and the nonaseptic nature of the process, all yeast clones we isolated are phylogenetically related to other previously sequenced bioethanol yeast strains, indicating a common origin from this industrial niche. Despite the substantial changes observed in yeast populations through time in each biorefinery, key process indicators remained quite stable through both production seasons, suggesting that the process is robust to the details of these population dynamics.

PMID:37267305 | DOI:10.1093/g3journal/jkad104

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Discrimination, stigma and mental health: what’s next?

Int Rev Psychiatry. 2023 May-Jun;35(3-4):242-250. doi: 10.1080/09540261.2023.2186218. Epub 2023 Mar 7.

ABSTRACT

Stigma and discrimination are a major ongoing problem in the field of mental health as these impact on patient outcomes, access to and acceptability of therapeutic interventions, their quality of life, general wellbeing, social inclusion and opportunities. Social stereotypes, culture and prejudices all contribute to continuing discrimination in mental health. Different settings where people function may also be sources of discrimination such as work and educational environments. The lack of knowledge and understanding of mental health/illness by individuals, their families, carers and policymakers as well as the social media reporting also impact on social attitudes to discrimination. It has been also described a relevant impact of stigma among specific social minorities reporting poor mental health such as elderly people, youths, sexual variants, persons with disability. Educational programs, raising awareness trainings and proper public policies may be developed in order to reduce stigma at social level with favourable outcomes for people with mental illness.

PMID:37267024 | DOI:10.1080/09540261.2023.2186218

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Public Surveillance of Social Media for Suicide Using Advanced Deep Learning Models in Japan: Time Series Study From 2012 to 2022

J Med Internet Res. 2023 Jun 2;25:e47225. doi: 10.2196/47225.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Social media platforms have been increasingly used to express suicidal thoughts, feelings, and acts, raising public concerns over time. A large body of literature has explored the suicide risks identified by people’s expressions on social media. However, there is not enough evidence to conclude that social media provides public surveillance for suicide without aligning suicide risks detected on social media with actual suicidal behaviors. Corroborating this alignment is a crucial foundation for suicide prevention and intervention through social media and for estimating and predicting suicide in countries with no reliable suicide statistics.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to corroborate whether the suicide risks identified on social media align with actual suicidal behaviors. This aim was achieved by tracking suicide risks detected by 62 million tweets posted in Japan over a 10-year period and assessing the locational and temporal alignment of such suicide risks with actual suicide behaviors recorded in national suicide statistics.

METHODS: This study used a human-in-the-loop approach to identify suicide-risk tweets posted in Japan from January 2013 to December 2022. This approach involved keyword-filtered data mining, data scanning by human efforts, and data refinement via an advanced natural language processing model termed Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers. The tweet-identified suicide risks were then compared with actual suicide records in both temporal and spatial dimensions to validate if they were statistically correlated.

RESULTS: Twitter-identified suicide risks and actual suicide records were temporally correlated by month in the 10 years from 2013 to 2022 (correlation coefficient=0.533; P<.001); this correlation coefficient is higher at 0.652 when we advanced the Twitter-identified suicide risks 1 month earlier to compare with the actual suicide records. These 2 indicators were also spatially correlated by city with a correlation coefficient of 0.699 (P<.001) for the 10-year period. Among the 267 cities with the top quintile of suicide risks identified from both tweets and actual suicide records, 73.5% (n=196) of cities overlapped. In addition, Twitter-identified suicide risks were at a relatively lower level after midnight compared to a higher level in the afternoon, as well as a higher level on Sundays and Saturdays compared to weekdays.

CONCLUSIONS: Social media platforms provide an anonymous space where people express their suicidal thoughts, ideation, and acts. Such expressions can serve as an alternative source to estimating and predicting suicide in countries without reliable suicide statistics. It can also provide real-time tracking of suicide risks, serving as an early warning for suicide. The identification of areas where suicide risks are highly concentrated is crucial for location-based mental health planning, enabling suicide prevention and intervention through social media in a spatially and temporally explicit manner.

PMID:37267022 | DOI:10.2196/47225

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Implications of the positive risk balance on the development of automated driving

Traffic Inj Prev. 2023;24(sup1):S124-S130. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2023.2173521.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Automated driving (AD) from SAE level 3 onwards represents a paradigm change from human driver controlling the vehicle to a technical system controlling it. In this light, different regulatory bodies (European Commission, Germany, etc.) have defined guidelines for the operation of such a system. One core principle of these guidelines is that the automated operation needs to be at least as safe as human driving-often referred to as the “positive risk balance.” However, these guidelines are general and do not provide details on what this means in a practical sense. This article discusses a method to demonstrate how positive risk balance can be addressed in practice.

METHODS: Starting from a detailed analysis of corresponding guidelines and a literature review of possible risk assessment frameworks, a comprehensive approach has been developed to consider ethical requirements for the development of AD. This approach covers different development stages. The PrOACT-URL (Problems, Objectives, Alternatives, Consequences, Trade-offs, Uncertainty, Risk attitudes, and Linked decisions) approach was chosen for reporting of the work.

RESULTS: The article will present the approach developed by BMW to ensure that a positive risk balance is achieved for an AD system. The approach is presented per development stage (concept phase, AD development phase, verification and validation phase, post-start of production phase). In the concept phase, the scope is to define how good a human driver is and how good an AD needs to be. In the AD development phase, first the relevant system requirements need to be derived. Monte Carlo experiments in combination with Bayesian networks are applied. The fulfillment of these requirements is checked in the verification phase through simulations and test track and real-world tests. For validation of the risk balance, the impact of AD in terms of traffic safety is derived by means of simulation. In the post-start of production phase, field observation is used.

CONCLUSION: The safety of AD is paramount when it comes to its operation and ensuring trust in this technology. The described approach contributes directly to building this trust by considering the principle of a positive risk balance throughout the development in addition to existing safety standards for advance driver assistance systems, such as ISO 26262, ISO21434 or ISO 21488.

PMID:37267019 | DOI:10.1080/15389588.2023.2173521

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Effects on crash risk of automatic emergency braking systems for pedestrians and bicyclists

Traffic Inj Prev. 2023;24(sup1):S111-S115. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2022.2131403.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The first automatic emergency braking (AEB) system was presented in 2003 and aimed to mitigate or reduce rear-end crashes. Since then, several AEB systems aimed to reduce other collision types have been introduced and studies have shown that they reduce crash risks. The aim with this study was to evaluate crash reductions of cars fitted with AEB systems with pedestrian detection and those with bicyclist detection.

METHODS: The study is based on the Swedish Traffic Accident Data Acquisition that includes road traffic accidents reported by the police and by emergency hospitals. Crashes occurring between 2015 and 2020 and with cars from model years 2015 to 2020 were included. The statistical analysis used odds ratio calculations with an induced exposure approach where the outcomes of sensitive and nonsensitive crashes were studied. The sensitive crashes were hit pedestrians and bicyclists, respectively. The nonsensitive crash type in both comparisons was struck vehicles in rear-end crashes. Evaluations were also made for different light and weather conditions and for high and low speed roads.

RESULTS: Seven hundred and twelve hit pedestrians and 1,105 hit bicyclists were included, and the nonsensitive crashes consisted of 1,978 vehicles. The overall reduction on crash risk for AEB with pedestrian detection was 8% (±15%; ns) and for AEB with bicyclist detection it was 21% (±17%). When separating for light conditions, no reduction in crash risk for AEB with pedestrian detection nor for AEB with bicyclist detection could be seen in darkness. However, in daylight and twilight conditions, AEB with pedestrian detection reduced pedestrian crash risk by 18% (±19%; ns) and AEB with bicyclist detection reduced bicyclist crash risk by 23% (±19%). No significant reductions could be seen when separating for weather conditions except for a 53% (±31%) reduction for bicyclists in rain, fog, and snowfall. A larger reduction on high-speed roads (50-120 km/h) compared with low-speed roads (10-40 km/h) was also found.

CONCLUSIONS: AEB systems with bicyclist detection were found to reduce the numbers of hit bicyclists, especially in daylight and twilight conditions. In darkness, no reduction for hit pedestrians or bicyclists was found.

PMID:37267014 | DOI:10.1080/15389588.2022.2131403

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Response of small female and midsize male models with active musculature in pre-crash maneuvers and low-speed impacts

Traffic Inj Prev. 2023;24(sup1):S9-S15. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2022.2157209.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The objectives of this study were to evaluate computationally efficient small female (54.1 kg, 149.9 cm) and midsize male (78.4 kg, 174.9 cm) models with active muscles using volunteer sled test data in a frontal-oblique loading direction and check their response in crash mitigating maneuvers using field test data.

METHODS: The Global Human Body Models Consortium small female (F05-OS+Active) and midsize male (M50-OS+Active) simplified occupant models with active musculature were used in this study. The data from a total of 48 previously published sled test experiments were used to simulate a total of 16 simulations. The experimental study recorded occupant responses of six small female and six midsize male volunteers (n = 12 total) in two muscle conditions (relaxed and braced) at two acceleration pulses representing pre-crash braking (1.0 g) and a low-speed impact (2.5 g). Each model’s kinematics and reaction forces were compared with experimental data. Along with sled test simulations, both of these models were simulated in abrupt braking, lane change, and turn and brake events using literature data. A total of 36 field test simulations were carried out. A CORA analysis was carried out using reaction load and displacement time-history data for sled test simulations and head CG displacement time-history was used for field test simulations.

RESULTS: The occupant peak forward and lateral excursion results of both active models reasonably matched the volunteer data in the low-speed sled test simulations for both pulse severities. The differences between the active and control models were statistically significant (p-value < 0.05) based on the results of Wilcoxon signed-rank tests using peak forward and lateral excursion data. The average CORA scores calculated for the sled test (sled test: M50-OS+Active= 0.543, male control= 0.471, F05-OS+Active= 0.621, female control= 0.505) and field test (M50-OS+Active= 0.836, male control= 0.466, F05-OS+Active= 0.832, female control= 0.787) simulations were higher for active models than control.

CONCLUSIONS: The responses of the F05-OS+Active and M50-OS+Active models were better than control models based on overall CORA scores calculated using both sled and field tests. The results highlight their ability to predict occupant kinematics in crash-mitigating maneuvers and low-speed impacts in the frontal, lateral and frontal-oblique directions.

PMID:37267011 | DOI:10.1080/15389588.2022.2157209

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Assessing Health Care Professionals’ Mindset in Adopting Telemedicine Post COVID-19: Pilot Questionnaire Study

JMIR Form Res. 2023 Jun 2;7:e44806. doi: 10.2196/44806.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Amidst the COVID-19 pandemic, the traditional health care model has evolved toward a more patient-centric model. In relation to this trend, digital health services have seen an acceleration, which may have significant implications for the health care model. Due to the impact of COVID-19 on health care facilities, it is important to explore health professionals’ willingness to adopt a patient-centric digital health delivery model for medicine and health care.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to pilot a survey that assesses the impact and implementation of telehealth in view of health care providers prior to and post COVID-19.

METHODS: A total of 26 volunteer health care professionals participated in the pilot study, of which 19/26 (73%) completed the general demographics portion. Among these respondents, 9/26 (35%) completed the entirety of the survey. The questionnaire included questions relating to general demographics, accessibility and benefits, usability, and engagements with telemedicine. Participants were randomly assigned to 1 of the 4 questionnaire designs (A-D) based on their expertise in telehealth. Of the 9 total participants who completed their randomly assigned questionnaire, 1 (11%) was randomly assigned to A, 3 (33%) were randomly assigned to B, 2 (22%) were randomly assigned to C, and 3 (33%) were randomly assigned to D.

RESULTS: Responses and data from the study questionnaire were collected from Qualtrics. Microsoft Excel was used for data organization. Due to limited responses and data, no advanced statistical software was implemented. From the 9 participants who completed the entirety of the survey, responses from those with telehealth experience (n=4) showed that telehealth was preferred for follow-ups, lab results, and consultations, and that with telehealth, there was greater flexibility with appointment times and a decrease in the number of patients seen. Among the 4 health care providers with telehealth experience, all of them believed it improved accessibility and reduced physical barriers; health care professionals believed telehealth reduced translational barriers with patients. Among health care professionals without telehealth experience (n=5), 60% (3/5) reported a decrease in appointments for in-office visits post COVID-19 and strongly agreed or agreed that telehealth could influence the quality of care for patients. All 5 participants also reported no general concerns about telehealth prior to the pandemic and agreed that it would provide accessibility for patients.

CONCLUSIONS: Preliminary findings of our pilot study showed initial support of a dynamical shift within the health care model due to the rise in the use of telehealth services between health care providers and patients but no statistically significant results. Further research and investigation with a larger sample size is warranted to better understand the mindset of health care professionals in adopting telemedicine post COVID-19.

PMID:37266997 | DOI:10.2196/44806

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

US Medical Students’ Attitudes, Subjective Norms, and Perceived Behavioral Control Regarding Social Media and Online Professionalism: A Single Institution Study

Teach Learn Med. 2023 Jun 2:1-11. doi: 10.1080/10401334.2023.2211967. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Phenomenon: In 2011, the American Medical Association added a section on professionalism and social media (i.e., e-professionalism) to the Code of Medical Ethics. Given the constantly evolving nature of social media use, research is needed to explore the attitudes and behaviors of current medical students, for most of whom social media has been a central facet of interpersonal communication and society since they were born. The goal of the current study is to examine students’ social media use and attitudes related to online professionalism. Approach: Two-hundred-twenty-two medical students completed a mixed-methods cross-sectional online survey assessing perceptions of professionalism on social media. The survey was informed using the theory of planned behavior and included validated measures of attitudes, norms, and perceived behavioral control related to social media use and online professionalism. We analyzed data using thematic analysis and descriptive statistics and t-tests were conducted using SPSS 26. Qualitative and quantitative data were integrated during the data interpretation phase. Findings: Quantitative results revealed that students had a positive attitude toward having a social media presence as medical students and future physicians. Students reported: positive attitudes toward sharing positive thoughts, posting photos with family members, and posting photos in white coats or scrubs; neutral attitudes toward posting personal and political opinions; negative attitudes toward posting photos with alcohol, commenting about colleagues or the workplace, using profanity, connecting with patients, and commenting about patients. T-tests revealed significant differences between what students consider to be professional online behaviors for themselves as medical students versus what they believe society will expect of them as a physician. Students reported strong perceived behavioral control regarding professional social media behavior. While students reported they would face some difficulty “cleaning up” some previous content, students strongly disagreed that people’s opinions of their online professional image were beyond their control. The qualitative analysis revealed students’ perceptions of (a) what it means to demonstrate “online professionalism,” (b) the challenges they face related to social media, and (c) training and standards related to social media use. Insights: Overall, our study confirms that students would benefit from e-professionalism training that is not merely disciplinary, but offers them evidence-based recommendations for maintaining medical professionalism while also embracing their personal identity and the benefits of social media as a (future) physician. Policies, guidelines, and training programs should constantly evolve as social norms regarding online communication and online identities evolve.

PMID:37266994 | DOI:10.1080/10401334.2023.2211967

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A panoramic view of the genomic landscape of the genus Streptomyces

Microb Genom. 2023 Jun;9(6). doi: 10.1099/mgen.0.001028.

ABSTRACT

We delineate the evolutionary plasticity of the ecologically and biotechnologically important genus Streptomyces, by analysing the genomes of 213 species. Streptomycetes genomes demonstrate high levels of internal homology, whereas the genome of their last common ancestor was already complex. Importantly, we identify the species-specific fingerprint proteins that characterize each species. Even among closely related species, we observed high interspecies variability of chromosomal protein-coding genes, species-level core genes, accessory genes and fingerprints. Notably, secondary metabolite biosynthetic gene clusters (smBGCs), carbohydrate-active enzymes (CAZymes) and protein-coding genes bearing the rare TTA codon demonstrate high intraspecies and interspecies variability, which emphasizes the need for strain-specific genomic mining. Highly conserved genes, such as those specifying genus-level core proteins, tend to occur in the central region of the chromosome, whereas those encoding proteins with evolutionarily volatile species-level fingerprints, smBGCs, CAZymes and TTA-codon-bearing genes are often found towards the ends of the linear chromosome. Thus, the chromosomal arms emerge as the part of the genome that is mainly responsible for rapid adaptation at the species and strain level. Finally, we observed a moderate, but statistically significant, correlation between the total number of CAZymes and three categories of smBGCs (siderophores, e-Polylysin and type III lanthipeptides) that are related to competition among bacteria.

PMID:37266990 | DOI:10.1099/mgen.0.001028