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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Decomposition of longitudinal disparities: an application to the fetal growth-singletons study

Biostatistics. 2024 Dec 31;26(1):kxaf044. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxaf044.

ABSTRACT

Addressing health disparities across demographic groups remains a critical challenge in public health, with significant gaps in understanding how these disparities evolve over time. This paper extends the traditional Peters-Belson decomposition to a longitudinal setting, focusing on the role of a single explanatory variable, referred to as a modifier, that captures complex interactions with other covariates. The proposed method partitions disparities into 3 components: (i) the portion associated with differences in the conditional distribution of covariates, evaluated under a common distribution of the modifier across groups; (ii) the portion arising from differences in the distribution of the modifier and its interactions with other covariates; and (iii) the unexplained disparity not accounted for by observed covariates. Rather than aggregating the first 2 components into one “explained disparity,” the proposed method allows for a separate characterization of temporal patterns in disparities, distinguishing those that are unassociated with the modifier from those that are associated with it. We illustrate the method using a fetal growth study, examining disparities in fetal development trajectories across racial and ethnic groups during pregnancy.

PMID:41388844 | DOI:10.1093/biostatistics/kxaf044

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Plasma placental growth factor as a susceptibility biomarker for longitudinal cognitive change

Alzheimers Dement. 2025 Dec;21(12):e70936. doi: 10.1002/alz.70936.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Current biomarkers used to assess cerebrovascular pathology largely reflect end-stage disease, and more sensitive biomarkers are needed. We examined the role of baseline placental growth factor (PlGF) as a susceptibility biomarker for the progression of white matter injury and longitudinal cognitive decline.

METHODS: A total of 272 functionally intact older adults completed baseline blood draws, with plasma analyzed for PlGF (Meso Scale Discovery), and longitudinal neuroimaging and neuropsychological testing. A subset of 110 participants (n = 110) had banked plasma assayed on a different biomarker platform (NULISAseq) to evaluate replicability.

RESULTS: Higher baseline PlGF was associated with steeper declines in memory and processing speed. Elevated baseline PlGF also associated with greater baseline white matter hyperintensities and lower global fractional anisotropy (FA), but not white matter or FA trajectories.

DISCUSSION: Elevated baseline plasma PlGF associated with faster declines in cognition even among functionally intact older adults across two biomarker platforms. Our findings highlight PlGF as a potential susceptibility/risk biomarker of vascular-related cognitive decline.

HIGHLIGHTS: Higher plasma placental growth factor (PlGF) concentrations relate to greater baseline white matter injury. Elevated baseline plasma PlGF associates with steeper cognitive decline over time. PlGF may represent an upstream biomarker of endothelial-related cognitive decline.

PMID:41388837 | DOI:10.1002/alz.70936

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Falls and fractures in early childhood: anatomical and developmental factors in a southeast European primary care cohort

J Inj Violence Res. 2025 Dec 13;17(2). Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Unintentional injuries are a major contributor to morbidity and healthcare burden in early childhood. While falls and fractures are globally recognized as the most common pediatric injuries, region-specific data from primary care emergency settings in Southeast Europe remain scarce. The objective was to investigate the mechanisms, anatomical distribution, and contextual factors of injuries in children aged 0 to 6 years treated in a primary care pediatric service in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

METHODS: This retrospective study included ninety-nine children aged 0 to 6 years who presented with injuries to a primary care service between September 2019 and December 2024. Data were collected from medical records and included age, sex, mechanism of injury, type of injury, anatomical site, supervision, home safety, and treatment outcome. Descriptive statistics and chi-square tests were used to analyze associations between demographic variables and injury characteristics. Logistic regression was also applied to examine predictors of fracture occurrence, adjusting for age group and sex.

RESULTS: Falls were the leading cause of injury, accounting for 69.7% of all cases, with the highest number recorded in the 13- to 36-month age group. Fractures were the most frequent injury type, of which 74.4% affected the upper limbs, particularly the radius and humerus. Head injuries were more prevalent among infants, while boys experienced a higher overall injury rate. No statistically significant associations were found between injury occurrence and supervision or home safety, largely due to missing data and limited sample size.

CONCLUSIONS: Falls were the predominant cause of injury in early childhood, with upper limb fractures being common, especially among toddlers. While these findings provide important insights for prevention and pediatric emergency care planning in Bosnia and Herzegovina, larger prospective studies are needed to validate and extend these results.

PMID:41388830

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The relationship between suicidal ideation and psychological distress in medical students: a descriptive-analytical study

J Inj Violence Res. 2025 Dec 7;17(2). Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Suicide remains a critical global health crisis that disproportionately targets young adults, and medical students consistently display higher prevalence rates than their non-medical peers. The main aim of this study was investigation of the mediating roles of three intrapersonal factors-perfectionism, difficulties in emotion regulation, and self-disgust-in the relationship between psychological distress and suicidal ideation within in medical students.

METHODS: The present study utilized correlational research design with path analysis. A convenience sample of 404 medical students from Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences (KUMS), Iran was selected in the latter half of the 2024-2025 academic year. Data were collected using structured questionnaires, including the Psychological Distress Scale (PDS), Beck Scale for Suicidal Ideation (BSSI), Difficulties in Emotion Regulation Scale (DERS), Frost Multidimensional Perfectionism Scale (FROST-MPS), and Multidimensional Self-Disgust Scale (MSDS). SPSS software version 26 handled descriptive statistics and assumption checks, whereas Amos software performed the structural modeling.

RESULTS: The study found that psychological distress significantly predicted difficulties in emotion regulation (β = 0.370, P less than 0.001), perfectionism (β = 0.426, P less than 0.001), and self-disgust (β = 0.348, P less than 0.001). These variables mediated the relationship between psychological distress and suicidal ideation, with significant indirect effects through perfectionism (indirect effect = 0.094, p less than 0.001), difficulties in emotion regulation (indirect effect = 0.119, P less than 0.001), and self-disgust (indirect effect = 0.096, P less than 0.001). Among the total sample, 148 students (36.6%) were at high risk and 200 (49.5%) at very high risk of suicidal ideation.

CONCLUSIONS: There is a strong correlation between suicidal ideation and psychological distress among medical students. The findings highlight the roles of perfectionism, difficulties in emotion regulation, and self-disgust in this relationship. Universities should enhance mental health support and offer interventions targeting these factors to reduce suicide risk.

PMID:41388829

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Predicting All-Cause Mortality Using Two Claims-Based Measures in Medicare Beneficiaries With Dementia

Med Care Res Rev. 2025 Dec 13:10775587251396723. doi: 10.1177/10775587251396723. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

To compare the performance of the Chronic Conditions Warehouse (CCW) and the 38-condition Elixhauser Comorbidity Index in predicting all-cause mortality among Medicare beneficiaries with dementia, we used a national sample of 1,566,359 community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries (age ≥65) with dementia, identified in 2018 claims data. Using elastic net logistic regression, we applied 30 CCW conditions and 38 Elixhauser comorbidities from 2018 to predict mortality at 30, 60, 180 days, and 1 year through December 31, 2019. Mortality rates were 2.42% (30 days), 4.27% (60 days), 10.77% (180 days), and 19.0% (1 year). All models demonstrated good discrimination (C-statistics: 0.696-0.731) and calibration, with no meaningful performance differences between the two measures. Elastic net models produced parsimonious predictors with performance comparable to traditional logistic regression. Both CCW and Elixhauser measures predicted all-cause mortality in dementia with similar accuracy. Elastic net offers a robust approach to claims-based mortality prediction.

PMID:41388825 | DOI:10.1177/10775587251396723

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Influence of Facial Features on Ideal Buccal Corridor Width: Implications for Personalised Orthodontic Treatment

Orthod Craniofac Res. 2025 Dec 13. doi: 10.1111/ocr.70070. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of seven key facial features on the perceived attractiveness of varying buccal corridor (BC) widths, aiming to inform personalied orthodontic treatment planning for enhanced smile aesthetics.

METHODS: A cross-sectional design was employed, using image manipulation software to alter BC widths (10%, 15%, 20%, and 25%) and modify seven key facial features: vertical facial type, upper and lower facial width, interpupillary distance, eye fissure width, ala nasi width and maxillary central incisor (MCI) width. Online questionnaires were used to assess aesthetic preferences for each BC width. Statistical analysis was performed using chi-square tests and multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS: A total of 511 valid questionnaires were collected, BC widths of 15% and 20% were consistently rated as the most attractive, while extremely narrow or wide BCs were less preferred. Aesthetic suitability varied by age, gender, and facial features: slightly wider BCs were perceived as more harmonious for middle-aged individuals and dolichofacial males, especially when upper facial width was narrow. In contrast, broader ala nasi suited smaller BCs, while variations in interpupillary distance, eye fissure width, and MCI width had limited impact.

CONCLUSIONS: Aesthetic preferences for BC are influenced by both demographic and facial soft tissue characteristics. These findings offer clinical guidance for personalised orthodontic treatment planning to enhance smile aesthetics.

PMID:41388805 | DOI:10.1111/ocr.70070

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Intensive blood pressure reduction but an increased risk of peripheral arterial disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Ann Med. 2025 Dec;57(1):2600747. doi: 10.1080/07853890.2025.2600747. Epub 2025 Dec 12.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between the blood pressure (BP) reduction mediated by BP-lowering agents and the risks of peripheral arterial disease (PAD) in patients with cardiometabolic risk factors.

METHODS: PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Centre Register of Controlled Trials for Studies, the Scopus, Web of Science and Clinicaltrial.gov were searched from January 1980 to October 2023. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with statistically significant BP reduction in intensive BP-lowering treatments group compared with control treatment group, reporting the incidence of PAD were included. Regular and dose-response meta-analyses were both conducted.

RESULTS: In all, 15 RCTs involving 94482 participants were included. The standardized analysis based on systolic blood pressure (SBP) reduction revealed that each 10 mmHg reduction in SBP mediated by BP-lowering agents was associated with a 37% increase in the risk of PAD in patients with cardiometabolic risk factors (RR = 1.37, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.74). The difference of the SBP reduction from baseline between the intensive anti-hypertensive treatment group and the control group was associated with the increased risk of PAD (β=-0.1107, 95%CI, -0.219 to -0.002, p = 0.047). Dose-response analysis further confirmed a linear association between SBP reduction and the risk of PAD in patients with cardiometabolic risk factors, with a 3.22% increase in risk for every 1 mmHg decrease in SBP (RR = 1.032, 95% CI 1.008 to 1.057, p = 0.009).

CONCLUSION: Our meta-analysis revealed that intensive reductions in SBP mediated by BP-lowering agents conferred increase the risk of PAD in patients with cardiometabolic risk factors. A gradual and moderate BP reduction as well as regular BP monitoring should be recommended for patients at high risk of PAD.

PMID:41388746 | DOI:10.1080/07853890.2025.2600747

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Use of Psychoactive Substances Before Incarceration Among Prison Inmates With Drug Abuse or Dependence: Data From the OPPIDUM Program

Fundam Clin Pharmacol. 2026 Jan;40(1):e70058. doi: 10.1111/fcp.70058.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to assess the prevalence of dependence and abuse of psychoactive substances (PAS) among prison inmates, using data from the OPPIDUM program between 2013 and 2022.

METHODS: OPPIDUM is an annual, cross-sectional national program, conducted among users consulting in specialised addiction centres. Prison inmates were questioned about their PAS use during the week preceding their incarceration. Two groups of participants were compared: prison inmates who reported simple use of PAS and those with abuse/dependence problems.

RESULTS: A total of 2626 individuals responded to the program (men, 91.6%; mean age, 34.4 ± 9.30 years), reporting 5352 PAS. The main PAS consumed were cannabis (52.8%), cocaine/crack (28.6%), benzodiazepines (23.1%) and heroin (14.8%). Opioid substitution treatment (OST) was reported by 54.9% of participants. Several variables were associated with a significantly increased odds of abuse/dependence: intravenous use (OR, 4.608; 95% CI, 1.44-14.69; p = 0.01), PAS illegal acquisition (OR, 3.79; 95% CI, 2.19-6.58; p < 0.0001), heroin/speedball use (OR, 4.24; 95% CI, 1.16-15.48; p = 0.029) and cocaine/crack use (OR, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.47-7.39; p = 0.004). Conversely, being on OST protocol was associated with a lower odds of abuse/dependence (OR, 0.511; 95% CI, 0.28-0.93; p = 0.028).

LIMITATIONS AND CONCLUSION: The main limitations of the study include self-reported PAS use without objective diagnoses, sometimes incomplete data on PAS use and incarceration and a sample biased toward inmates linked to substance abuse services, which likely overestimates the prevalence of PAS use. However, these results highlight the importance of assessing factors associated with substance abuse and dependence for appropriate prevention and management among prison inmates.

PMID:41388738 | DOI:10.1111/fcp.70058

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Deciphering the Patterns and Drivers of Tardigrade Diversity Along Altitudinal Gradients

Mol Ecol. 2025 Dec 12:e70196. doi: 10.1111/mec.70196. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Altitudinal gradients offer a unique opportunity to understand the drivers of species richness, as mountain regions cover vast areas and contribute disproportionately to global terrestrial biodiversity. However, such gradients are often studied without considering the role of microhabitats, which introduce fine-scale heterogeneity within coarse macroenvironmental conditions. This heterogeneity may be especially important for microscopic animals, whose distributions and interactions are largely confined to the microhabitat scale. In our study, we investigated altitudinal patterns of microscopic invertebrates (Tardigrada), testing the hypothesis that microhabitat characteristics modulate the effects of macroenvironmental gradients on diversity and community structure. We compiled an extensive inventory of tardigrade taxa inhabiting bryophytes across the Western Alps (Northern Italy) and analysed 546 bryophyte samples collected along a broad altitudinal gradient using DNA metabarcoding to characterise tardigrade communities. For each taxon, we gathered functional trait data to assess how species characteristics influence distribution. We then evaluated the effects of macroenvironmental variables (altitude, vegetation type, slope exposition) and microhabitat-level traits (bryophyte biological and structural features) using spatially explicit statistical modelling. We found that species richness decreased with altitude, whereas standardised phylogenetic and functional diversity increased, indicating higher redundancy at lower elevations. Our results reveal that tardigrade communities in bryophyte microhabitats are highly heterogeneous, with strong species turnover and prevalent phylogenetic and functional underdispersion. Despite the influence of stochastic processes in shaping their distributions, we show that macroenvironmental variables such as altitude and geographic location drive species turnover, while microhabitat traits govern trait-based community structure. These findings support the view that microhabitats act as fine-scale filters modulating the broader effects of altitude on diversity, highlighting the importance of incorporating microhabitat heterogeneity when studying organismal diversity along altitudinal gradients.

PMID:41388713 | DOI:10.1111/mec.70196

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Evaluating Age-Friendly Community Environments: Model Development and Application in Guangzhou, China

Public Health Nurs. 2025 Dec 12. doi: 10.1111/phn.70057. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Against the dual backdrop of China’s rapid urbanization and deep population aging, a profound mismatch has emerged between the physical environments of old urban neighborhoods and the growing aspirations of older adults for a better quality of life. Developing a scientific evaluation system for age-friendly community environments has therefore become a task of both theoretical value and pressing practical significance. Using Guangzhou-a prototypical high-density metropolis-as a case study, this research constructs and empirically validates an evaluation model for age-friendly community environments, composed of four dimensions (“road systems,” “social spaces,” “landscape configuration,” and “public facilities”) and 26 specific indicators. Taking the Huaqiao Garden Community in Yuexiu District as an empirical case, the study employs questionnaire surveys and statistical analysis to yield three key findings. First, the community road system is the most critical predictor of overall satisfaction among older adults (β = 0.294), exerting a significantly greater influence than “public facilities,” “social spaces,” or “landscape configuration.” This confirms that an accessible, safe, and continuous circulation environment constitutes the essential foundation for seniors’ autonomy within the community. Second, the study identifies strong heterogeneity in environmental needs across different elderly groups, highlighting the ineffectiveness of “one-size-fits-all” construction models. Third, a pronounced “expectation-perception gap” is revealed: seniors’ expectations for age-friendly community environments consistently exceed their actual experiences, particularly in terms of health and safety facilities. The study concludes that future age-friendly community retrofitting must adopt a “road-rights-first” principle as its core philosophy, thereby promoting precise and differentiated renewal strategies. These findings not only provide empirical evidence from a major Chinese metropolis for environmental gerontology but also offer a rigorous decision-making framework and practical guidance for urban managers seeking to optimize resource allocation and enhance the aging-support capacity of older urban communities.

PMID:41388691 | DOI:10.1111/phn.70057