Tag: statistics

Eye (Lond). 2024 Apr 13. doi: 10.1038/s41433-024-03067-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: With the popularization of ChatGPT (Open AI, San Francisco, California, United States) in recent months, understanding the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) chatbots in a medical context is important. Our study aims to evaluate Google Gemini and Bard’s (Google, Mountain View, California, United States) knowledge in ophthalmology.

METHODS: In this study, we evaluated Google Gemini and Bard’s performance on EyeQuiz, a platform containing ophthalmology board certification examination practice questions, when used from the United States (US). Accuracy, response length, response time, and provision of explanations were evaluated. Subspecialty-specific performance was noted. A secondary analysis was conducted using Bard from Vietnam, and Gemini from Vietnam, Brazil, and the Netherlands.

RESULTS: Overall, Google Gemini and Bard both had accuracies of 71% across 150 text-based multiple-choice questions. The secondary analysis revealed an accuracy of 67% using Bard from Vietnam, with 32 questions (21%) answered differently than when using Bard from the US. Moreover, the Vietnam version of Gemini achieved an accuracy of 74%, with 23 (15%) answered differently than the US version of Gemini. While the Brazil (68%) and Netherlands (65%) versions of Gemini performed slightly worse than the US version, differences in performance across the various country-specific versions of Bard and Gemini were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION: Google Gemini and Bard had an acceptable performance in responding to ophthalmology board examination practice questions. Subtle variability was noted in the performance of the chatbots across different countries. The chatbots also tended to provide a confident explanation even when providing an incorrect answer.

PMID:38615098 | DOI:10.1038/s41433-024-03067-4

Sci Rep. 2024 Apr 13;14(1):8595. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-58902-1.

ABSTRACT

The COVID-19 pandemic has profoundly reshaped human life. The development of COVID-19 vaccines has offered a semblance of normalcy. However, obstacles to vaccination have led to substantial loss of life and economic burdens. In this study, we analyze data from a prominent health insurance provider in the United States to uncover the underlying reasons behind the inability, refusal, or hesitancy to receive vaccinations. Our research proposes a methodology for pinpointing affected population groups and suggests strategies to mitigate vaccination barriers and hesitations. Furthermore, we estimate potential cost savings resulting from the implementation of these strategies. To achieve our objectives, we employed Bayesian data mining methods to streamline data dimensions and identify significant variables (features) influencing vaccination decisions. Comparative analysis reveals that the Bayesian method outperforms cutting-edge alternatives, demonstrating superior performance.

PMID:38615084 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-024-58902-1

Int Breastfeed J. 2024 Apr 13;19(1):26. doi: 10.1186/s13006-024-00631-2.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Many mothers in high-income countries (HIC) do not breastfeed to the World Health Organisation’s recommendation of two years. This is particularly true for low-income women (LIW). They often face additional socio-structural barriers that encourage early discontinuation and are inadequately supported by current healthcare interventions. Teleinterventions are flexible and widely used following the global pandemic and increase maternal autonomy over intervention delivery. They show promise in improving other maternal conditions in LIW, including postpartum depression. Teleinterventions can increase breastfeeding rates in the wider maternal population, however their efficacy for this underserved population has not yet been systematically assessed. This meta-analysis aimed to identify if teleinterventions increase ‘exclusive’ or ‘any’ breastfeeding by LIW in HIC at 1-, 3-4, and 6-months postpartum.

METHODS: We searched five online databases for randomised controlled trials assessing breastfeeding teleinterventions for LIW in HIC. Risk ratios (RR) were used to calculate the average effect of teleinterventions on ‘any’ and ‘exclusive’ breastfeeding at at 1-, 3-4, and 6-months postpartum using random effects meta-analysis. Study bias was assessed using the Revised Cochrane risk-of-bias tool for randomised trials (RoB2), and outcome quality was evaluated against GRADE criteria.

RESULTS: Nine studies met inclusion criteria: six providing telephone calls, two text messages and one an online support group. All the studies were conducted in the United States, with small sample sizes and a high risk of bias. Pooled results indicate teleinterventions modestly increase ‘any’ and ‘exclusive’ breastfeeding at all time points, with a statistically significant increase in ‘exclusive’ breastfeeding after 3-4 months (RR 1.12, 95% CI [1.00,1.25]). At 3-4 months teleinterventions providing peer support were more effective than educational teleinterventions at promoting any and exclusive breastfeeding. Evidence for all outcomes were rated ‘low’ or ‘very low’ quality using the GRADE tool, mainly due to high attrition and low power.

CONCLUSIONS: Despite insufficient high-quality research into breastfeeding teleinterventions for LIW, our results suggest teleinterventions may improve exclusive and any breastfeeding. Given breastfeeding is particularly low in LIW population from HIC, our findings are promising and require further exploration by larger, methodologically sound trials in other HIC.

PMID:38615079 | DOI:10.1186/s13006-024-00631-2

J Orthop Surg Res. 2024 Apr 13;19(1):238. doi: 10.1186/s13018-024-04722-y.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Our study aimed to assess the effectiveness of the simplified S1 vertebral bone quality (VBQ) score in predicting the incidence of proximal junctional kyphosis (PJK) after surgery for degenerative lumbar scoliosis (DLS).

METHODS: We reviewed 122 patients with DLS who underwent posterior lumbar decompression and long-segment fusion surgery in our hospital from January 2016 to December 2020. The patients were classified into PJK group and non-PJK group. S1 VBQ scores are determined by signal intensity measurements taken from the mid-sagittal plane of T1-weighted non-contrast MRI. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with PJK. Receiver-operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was used to evaluate the value of S1 VBQ score in predicting pedicle PJK after DLS.

RESULTS: 122 DLS patients (90 females and 32 males) met the inclusion criteria. In addition, 27 patients (22.13%) had PJK at the time of last follow-up. VBQ was higher in PJK patients than non-PJK patients (3.58 ± 0.67 vs. 3.08 ± 0.54, p < 0.001). Preoperatively, patients in the PJK group had a greater TLK than those in the non-PJK group (20.00 ± 6.22 vs. 16.86 ± 5.38, p = 0.011). After surgery, patients in the PJK group had greater TLK (p < 0.001) and PJA (p < 0.001) compared with the non-PJK group. At final FU, patients in the PJK group had greater TK (p = 0.002), TLK (p < 0.001), SVA (p < 0.001), and PJA (p < 0.001) than patients in the non-PJK group (Table 4). In multivariate logistic regression analysis, higher VBQ score (OR 4.565, 95% CI 1.43-14.568, p = 0.010), advanced age (OR 1.119, 95% CI 1.021-1.227, p = 0.016), and larger TLK (OR 1.191, 95% CI 1.041-1.362, p = 0.011) were significant predictors of postoperative PJK in patients with DLS (Table 6). A statistically significant positive correlation existed between VBQ score and PJA change (r = 0.370, p < 0.001). We created ROC curves for VBQ scores as predictors of PJK with a diagnostic accuracy of 72.1% (95% CI 60.15-82.9%.The ideal limit for the VBQ score was 3.205 (sensitivity: 77.8%, specificity: 81.4%).

CONCLUSION: To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to evaluate the effectiveness of the S1 VBQ score in predicting postoperative PJK in DLS. Our study included major risk factors and found that S1 VBQ score was a significant predictor of PJK in patients undergoing DLS surgery. The higher the S1 VBQ score, the higher the probability of PJK.

PMID:38615068 | DOI:10.1186/s13018-024-04722-y

Cost Eff Resour Alloc. 2024 Apr 13;22(1):29. doi: 10.1186/s12962-024-00535-2.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Integrated care, in particular the ‘Blended Collaborative Care (BCC)’ strategy, may have the potential to improve health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in multimorbid patients with heart failure (HF) and psychosocial burden at no or low additional cost. The ESCAPE trial is a randomised controlled trial for the evaluation of a BCC approach in five European countries. For the economic evaluation of alongside this trial, the four main objectives were: (i) to document the costs of delivering the intervention, (ii) to assess the running costs across study sites, (iii) to evaluate short-term cost-effectiveness and cost-utility compared to providers’ usual care, and (iv) to examine the budgetary implications.

METHODS: The trial-based economic analyses will include cross-country cost-effectiveness and cost-utility assessments from a payer perspective. The cost-utility analysis will calculate quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) using the EQ-5D-5L and national value sets. Cost-effectiveness will include the cost per hospital admission avoided and the cost per depression-free days (DFD). Resource use will be measured from different sources, including electronic medical health records, standardised questionnaires, patient receipts and a care manager survey. Uncertainty will be addressed using bootstrapping.

DISCUSSION: The various methods and approaches used for data acquisition should provide insights into the potential benefits and cost-effectiveness of a BCC intervention. Providing the economic evaluation of ESCAPE will contribute to a country-based structural and organisational planning of BCC (e.g., the number of patients that may benefit, how many care managers are needed). Improved care is expected to enhance health-related quality of life at little or no extra cost.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study follows CHEERS2022 and is registered at the German Clinical Trials Register (DRKS00025120).

PMID:38615050 | DOI:10.1186/s12962-024-00535-2

Alzheimers Res Ther. 2024 Apr 13;16(1):83. doi: 10.1186/s13195-024-01452-5.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The worldwide trend of demographic aging highlights the progress made in healthcare, albeit with health challenges like Alzheimer’s Disease (AD), prevalent in individuals aged 65 and above. Its early detection at the mild cognitive impairment (MCI) stage is crucial. Event-related potentials (ERPs) obtained by averaging EEG segments responded to repeated events are vital for cognitive impairment research. Consequently, examining intra-trial ERP variability is vital for comprehending fluctuations within psychophysiological processes of interest. This study aimed to investigate cognitive deficiencies and instability in MCI using ERP variability and its asymmetry from a prefrontal two-channel EEG device.

METHODS: In this study, ERP variability for both target and non-target responses was examined using the response variance curve (RVC) in a sample comprising 481 participants with MCI and 1,043 age-matched healthy individuals. The participants engaged in auditory selective attention tasks. Cognitive decline was assessed using the Seoul Neuropsychological Screening Battery (SNSB) and the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE). The research employed various statistical methods, including independent t-tests, and univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses. These analyses were conducted to investigate group differences and explore the relationships between neuropsychological test results, ERP variability and its asymmetry measures, and the prevalence of MCI.

RESULTS: Our results showed that patients with MCI exhibited unstable cognitive processing, characterized by increased ERP variability compared to cognitively normal (CN) adults. Multiple logistic regression analyses confirmed the association between ERP variability in the target and non-target responses with MCI prevalence, independent of demographic and neuropsychological factors.

DISCUSSION: The unstable cognitive processing in the MCI group compared to the CN individuals implies abnormal neurological changes and reduced and (or) unstable attentional maintenance during cognitive processing. Consequently, utilizing ERP variability measures from a portable EEG device could serve as a valuable addition to the conventional ERP measures of latency and amplitude. This approach holds significant promise for identifying mild cognitive deficits and neural alterations in individuals with MCI.

PMID:38615028 | DOI:10.1186/s13195-024-01452-5

Sci Rep. 2024 Apr 13;14(1):8600. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-58022-w.

ABSTRACT

In this study, we employed two multiple criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods, namely the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) and the Analytic Hierarchic Process (AHP), to determine the best management choice for the cultivation of wheat with a regime of conservation agriculture (CA) practices. By combining alternative tillage approaches, such as reduced tillage and zero tillage, with the quantity of crop residues and fertilizer application, we were able to develop the regime of CA practices. The performance of the regimes compared to the conventional ones was then evaluated using conflicting parameters relating to energy use, economics, agronomy, plant protection, and soil science. TOPSIS assigned a grade to each alternative based on how close it was to the ideal solution and how far away it was from the negative ideal solution. However, employing AHP, we determined the weights of each of the main and sub-parameters used for this study using pairwise comparison. With TOPSIS, we found ZERO1 (0% residue + 100% NPK) followed by ZERO4 (50%residue + 100% NPK), and ZERO2 (100% residue + 50% NPK) were the best performing tillage-based alternatives. To best optimize the performance of wheat crops under various CA regimes, TOPSIS assisted the decision-makers in distinguishing the effects of the parameters on the outcome and identifying the potential for maneuvering the weak links. The outcomes of this investigation could be used to improve management techniques for wheat production with CA practices for upscaling among the farmers.

PMID:38615024 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-024-58022-w

Lipids Health Dis. 2024 Apr 13;23(1):102. doi: 10.1186/s12944-024-02089-x.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The relationship between the NHHR and kidney stone risk remains unknown. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between adult NHHR and kidney stone occurrence in USA.

METHODS: This study used a variety of statistical techniques such as threshold effects, subgroup analysis, smooth curve fitting, multivariate logistic regression, and data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2007 to 2014. We aimed to clarify the relationship between the NHHR and kidney stone risk.

RESULTS: The average age of the 21,058 individuals in this research was 49.70 ± 17.64 years. The mean NHHR was 3.00 ± 1.47, and the overall prevalence of kidney stone occurrence was 9.05%. The prevalence within the quartile ranges (Q1-Q4) was 7.01%, 8.71%, 9.98%, and 10.49%, respectively. The overall average recurrence rate of kidney stones was 3.05%, demonstrating a significant increase with increasing NHHR (Q1: 1.92%, Q2: 2.92%, Q3: 3.35%, Q4: 4.00%, P < 0.01). The occurrence of kidney stones increased by 4% (95% CI: 1.00-1.08, P = 0.0373) and the chance of recurrence increased by 9% (95% CI: 1.03-1.14, P < 0.01) with each unit increase in NHHR. The interaction analysis results demonstrated that the relationship between the NHHR and the risk of kidney stones was not significantly impacted by the following factors: sex, body mass index, poverty income ratio, diabetes, or hypertension. Curve fitting and threshold effect analysis also demonstrated a non-linear association, with a breakpoint found at 3.17, between the NHHR and the risk of kidney stones.

CONCLUSIONS: In adults in the USA, there is a substantial correlation between elevated NHHR levels and a higher probability of kidney stones developing and recurring. Timely intervention and management of NHHR may effectively mitigate the occurrence and recurrence of kidney stones.

PMID:38615008 | DOI:10.1186/s12944-024-02089-x

BMC Womens Health. 2024 Apr 13;24(1):237. doi: 10.1186/s12905-024-03038-7.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The occurrence of pregnancy in the postpartum period poses a risk to women and their infants, and it also has increased risks of adverse health outcomes if a pregnancy happens less than two years after the preceding birth. Utilization of immediate postpartum family planning is a possible and simple way to reduce these unfavourable outcomes. However, only a small proportion of mothers use the service; but the reasons appear unclear. Thus, this study aimed to determine the level and factors associated with the utilization of immediate postpartum family planning in Bole sub-city, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

METHODS: A facility-based cross-sectional study was carried out from August 15 to September 15, 2022, among mothers who gave birth one year before the data collection period. A total of 425 mothers were selected with a systematic random sampling technique. A pretested and structured questionnaire was administered to collect data. Data entry and analysis were done by Statistical Package for Social Sciences 25. Chi-square, multicollinearity and Hosmer-Lemshaw model fitness tests were tested. The level of utilization was determined by descriptive statistics and the associated factors were determined by a binary logistic regression model, and presented with the adjusted odds ratios (AOR) with their respective 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). All statistical tests were conducted at a 5% level of significance.

RESULTS: Utilization of family planning method immediately after birth was 12.9% (95% CI = 11.3-14.5%), and it was statistically significantly associated with ages between 25 and 34 years (AOR = 5; 95% CI [1.38-18.41]) and 35 years and above (AOR = 6[1.47-25.70]), unfavourable attitude (AOR = 0.2[0.11-0.31]) and no counselling about immediate postpartum family planning during antenatal care visit (AOR = 0.43[0.20-0.89]).

CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS: The level of utilization of immediate postpartum family planning is low in the study area. To improve it, dealing with younger women, working to achieve a positive attitude amongst women towards immediate postpartum family planning, and incorporating counselling about postpartum family planning methods during antenatal care visits are all recommended.

PMID:38615004 | DOI:10.1186/s12905-024-03038-7

BMC Public Health. 2024 Apr 13;24(1):1032. doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-18440-x.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) signals a recurring risk in Eurasia in recent years owing to its continued rise in case notifications and the extension of geographical distribution. This study was undertaken to investigate the spatiotemporal drivers and incidence heterogeneity of HFRS transmission in Shandong Province.

METHODS: The epidemiological data for HFRS, meteorological data and socioeconomic data were obtained from China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention, China Meteorological Data Sharing Service System, and Shandong Statistical Yearbook, respectively. The spatial-temporal multicomponent model was employed to analyze the values of spatial-temporal components and the heterogeneity of HFRS transmission across distinct regions.

RESULTS: The total effect values of the autoregressive, epidemic, and endemic components were 0.451, 0.187, and 0.033, respectively, exhibiting significant heterogeneity across various cities. This suggested a pivotal role of the autoregressive component in propelling HFRS transmission in Shandong Province. The epidemic component of Qingdao, Weifang, Yantai, Weihai, and Jining declined sharply at the onset of 2020. The random effect identified distinct incidence levels associated with Qingdao and Weifang, signifying regional variations in HFRS occurrence.

CONCLUSIONS: The autoregressive component emerged as a significant driver in the transmission of HFRS in Shandong Province. Targeted preventive measures should be strategically implemented across various regions, taking into account the predominant component influencing the epidemic.

PMID:38615002 | DOI:10.1186/s12889-024-18440-x