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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Development and Validation of The Sickle Cell Stress Scale-Adult

Eur J Haematol. 2022 May 18. doi: 10.1111/ejh.13789. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Disease-specific stress can partly explain Sickle Cell Disease (SCD) healthcare utilization. We developed and validated two measures of adult SCD-specific stress for research and clinical care. A large cohort of adults with SCD completed both a three-item Likert-scale adapted from a previous disease stress measure and a 10-item Likert-scale questionnaire drafted specifically to measure SCD stress. They concurrently completed a psychosocial and health-related quality of life scale battery, then subsequently daily pain diaries. Diaires measured: daily intensity, distress and interference of pain; self-defined vaso-occlusive crises (VOC), opioid use, and types of health care utilization for up to 24 weeks. Analyses tested Cronbach’s alpha, correlation of the three-item and 10-item stress scales with the concurrent battery, with percentages of pain days, VOC days, opioid use days, and healthcare utilization days, and correlation of baseline stress and 6-month stress for the 10-item scale. Cronbach’s alpha was high for both the 3-item (0.73) and 10-item (0.83) SCD stress scales , test-retest correlation of 0.55, expected correlation with the concurrent battery, and correlation with diary-measured healthcare utilization over 6 months. The correlations with the 3-item scale were stronger, but only statistically significant for depression-anxiety. The correlation between the two stress scales was 0.59. Both the 3-item and the 10-item stress scales exhibited good face, construct, concurrent, and predictive validity as well as moderate test-retest reliability. Further scale validation should determine population norms and response to interventions.

PMID:35585659 | DOI:10.1111/ejh.13789

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

White matter microstructural and morphometric alterations in autism: implications for intellectual capabilities

Mol Autism. 2022 May 18;13(1):21. doi: 10.1186/s13229-022-00499-1.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Neuroimage literature of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) has a moderate-to-high risk of bias, partially because those combined with intellectual impairment (II) and/or minimally verbal (MV) status are generally ignored. We aimed to provide more comprehensive insights into white matter alterations of ASD, inclusive of individuals with II (ASD-II-Only) or MV expression (ASD-MV).

METHODS: Sixty-five participants with ASD (ASD-Whole; 16.6 ± 5.9 years; comprising 34 intellectually able youth, ASD-IA, and 31 intellectually impaired youth, ASD-II, including 24 ASD-II-Only plus 7 ASD-MV) and 38 demographic-matched typically developing controls (TDC; 17.3 ± 5.6 years) were scanned in accelerated diffusion-weighted MRI. Fixel-based analysis was undertaken to investigate the categorical differences in fiber density (FD), fiber cross section (FC), and a combined index (FDC), and brain symptom/cognition associations.

RESULTS: ASD-Whole had reduced FD in the anterior and posterior corpus callosum and left cerebellum Crus I, and smaller FDC in right cerebellum Crus II, compared to TDC. ASD-IA, relative to TDC, had no significant discrepancies, while ASD-II showed almost identical alterations to those from ASD-Whole vs. TDC. ASD-II-Only had greater FD/FDC in the isthmus splenium of callosum than ASD-MV. Autistic severity negatively correlated with FC in right Crus I. Nonverbal full-scale IQ positively correlated with FC/FDC in cerebellum VI. FD/FDC of the right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex showed a diagnosis-by-executive function interaction.

LIMITATIONS: We could not preclude the potential effects of age and sex from the ASD cohort, although statistical tests suggested that these factors were not influential. Our results could be confounded by variable psychiatric comorbidities and psychotropic medication uses in our ASD participants recruited from outpatient clinics, which is nevertheless closer to a real-world presentation of ASD. The outcomes related to ASD-MV were considered preliminaries due to the small sample size within this subgroup. Finally, our study design did not include intellectual impairment-only participants without ASD to disentangle the mixture of autistic and intellectual symptoms.

CONCLUSIONS: ASD-associated white matter alterations appear driven by individuals with II and potentially further by MV. Results suggest that changes in the corpus callosum and cerebellum are key for psychopathology and cognition associated with ASD. Our work highlights an essential to include understudied subpopulations on the spectrum in research.

PMID:35585645 | DOI:10.1186/s13229-022-00499-1

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The effects of exercise on circulating endocannabinoid levels-a protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis

Syst Rev. 2022 May 18;11(1):98. doi: 10.1186/s13643-022-01980-x.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Increased circulating endocannabinoids levels are typically associated with aerobic exercise. This phenomenon is associated with a “runner’s high,” a state of euphoria and well-being experienced after a long exercise. We will provide in this review a transparent and standardized methodology following the PRISMA-P and Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions for conducting a systematic review and meta-analysis for synthesizing the available evidence about the effects of physical activity on the circulating levels of AEA and 2-AG endocannabinoids in healthy subjects.

METHODS: A multi-disciplinary team with basic and clinical expertise in exercise science developed this protocol. PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, CINAHL, SPORTDiscus, and Scopus will be the databases. A health sciences librarian was consulted in the development of the research. Search strategies will combine MeSH terms and free text words, including “exercise,” “exercise, physical,” “exercise training,” “physical activity,” “endocannabinoids,” “2-arachidonoyl-glycerol,” “glyceryl 2-arachidonate,” “2-AG,” “anandamide,” “AEA,” “n-arachidonoylethanolamide,” “adult,” “young adult,” and “middle-aged.” We will select experimental or quasi-experimental studies published through December 2021. The selection of studies, data extraction, assessment of the risk of bias, and the quality of evidence will be carried out in a paired and independent manner, and the consistency will be assessed using the statistics of Cohen Kappa. Methodological quality will be assessed using the Revised Cochrane risk of bias tool for randomized trials (RoB 2) and the Risk Of Bias In Nonrandomized Studies of Interventions (ROBINS-I) risk tool. We will use the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation to assess the quality of the evidence, χ2 and I2 tests for heterogeneity, funnel plots, and the Egger test for publication bias. A meta-analysis for each data comparison will be performed whenever possible to determine the effect of physical activity on endocannabinoids’ circulating levels.

DISCUSSION: This systematic review and meta-analysis will provide an overview of the evidence about physical activity over AEA and 2-AG endocannabinoids, including comparability of variables between studies, critical interpretation of results, and use of accurate statistical techniques. The endocannabinoid is molecules by which muscles communicate with other tissues and organs, mediating the beneficial effects of exercise on health and performance, including increased glucose uptake, improved insulin action, and mitochondrial biogenesis. They are essential to exercise. Thus, this study will review the acute effect of physical exercise on circulating levels of endocannabinoids in healthy individuals. The results of this study will potentially be transferred to doctors, health professionals, and legislators to guide their decision making, as well as will improve future research.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42020202886 .

PMID:35585640 | DOI:10.1186/s13643-022-01980-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Resting state EEG power spectrum and functional connectivity in autism: a cross-sectional analysis

Mol Autism. 2022 May 18;13(1):22. doi: 10.1186/s13229-022-00500-x.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Understanding the development of the neuronal circuitry underlying autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is critical to shed light into its etiology and for the development of treatment options. Resting state EEG provides a window into spontaneous local and long-range neuronal synchronization and has been investigated in many ASD studies, but results are inconsistent. Unbiased investigation in large and comprehensive samples focusing on replicability is needed.

METHODS: We quantified resting state EEG alpha peak metrics, power spectrum (PS, 2-32 Hz) and functional connectivity (FC) in 411 children, adolescents and adults (n = 212 ASD, n = 199 neurotypicals [NT], all with IQ > 75). We performed analyses in source-space using individual head models derived from the participants’ MRIs. We tested for differences in mean and variance between the ASD and NT groups for both PS and FC using linear mixed effects models accounting for age, sex, IQ and site effects. Then, we used machine learning to assess whether a multivariate combination of EEG features could better separate ASD and NT participants. All analyses were embedded within a train-validation approach (70%-30% split).

RESULTS: In the training dataset, we found an interaction between age and group for the reactivity to eye opening (p = .042 uncorrected), and a significant but weak multivariate ASD vs. NT classification performance for PS and FC (sensitivity 0.52-0.62, specificity 0.59-0.73). None of these findings replicated significantly in the validation dataset, although the effect size in the validation dataset overlapped with the prediction interval from the training dataset.

LIMITATIONS: The statistical power to detect weak effects-of the magnitude of those found in the training dataset-in the validation dataset is small, and we cannot fully conclude on the reproducibility of the training dataset’s effects.

CONCLUSIONS: This suggests that PS and FC values in ASD and NT have a strong overlap, and that differences between both groups (in both mean and variance) have, at best, a small effect size. Larger studies would be needed to investigate and replicate such potential effects.

PMID:35585637 | DOI:10.1186/s13229-022-00500-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Certificate-of-need laws and substance use treatment

Subst Abuse Treat Prev Policy. 2022 May 18;17(1):38. doi: 10.1186/s13011-022-00469-z.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Certificate-of-need (CON) laws in place in most US states require healthcare providers to prove to a state board that their proposed services are necessary in order to be allowed to open or expand. While CON laws most commonly target hospital and nursing home beds, many states require CONs for other types of healthcare providers and services. As of 2020, 23 states retain CON laws specifically for substance use treatment, requiring providers to prove their “economic necessity” before opening or expanding. In contrast to the extensive academic literature on how hospital and nursing home CON laws affect costs and access, substance use CON laws are essentially unstudied.

METHODS: Using 2002-19 data on substance use treatment facilities from the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration’s National Survey of Substance Abuse Treatment Services, we measure the effect of CON laws on access to substance use treatment. Using fixed-effects analysis of states enacting and repealing substance use CON laws, we measure how CON laws affect the number of substance use treament facilities and beds per capita in a state.

RESULTS: We find that CON laws have no statistically significant effect on the number of facilities, beds, or clients and no significant effect on the acceptance of Medicare. However, they reduce the acceptance of private insurance by a statistically significant 6.0%.

CONCLUSIONS: Policy makers may wish to reconsider whether substance use CON laws are promoting their goals.

PMID:35585635 | DOI:10.1186/s13011-022-00469-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Predictors of health-related quality of life after cardiac surgery: a systematic review

Health Qual Life Outcomes. 2022 May 18;20(1):79. doi: 10.1186/s12955-022-01980-4.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is important in determining surgical success, particularly from the patients’ perspective.

AIMS: To identify predictors for HRQoL outcome after cardiac surgery in order to identify potentially modifiable factors where interventions to improve patient outcomes could be targeted.

METHODS: Electronic databases (including MEDLINE, CINAHL, Embase) were searched between January 2001 and December 2020 for studies determining predictors of HRQoL (using a recognised and validated tool) in adult patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Data extraction and quality assessments were undertaken and data was summarised using descriptive statistics and narrative synthesis, as appropriate.

RESULTS: Overall, 3924 papers were screened with 41 papers included in the review. Considerable methodological heterogeneity between studies was observed. Most were single-centre (75.6%) prospective observational studies (73.2%) conducted in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) (n = 51.2%) using a version of the SF-36 (n = 63.4%). Overall, 103 independent predictors (62 pre-operative, five intra-operative and 36 post-operative) were identified, where 34 (33.0%) were reported in more than one study. Potential pre-operative modifiable predictors include alcohol use, BMI/weight, depression, pre-operative quality of life and smoking while in the post-operative period pain and strategies to reduce post-operative complications and intensive care and hospital length of stay are potential therapeutic targets.

CONCLUSION: Despite a lack of consistency across studies, several potentially modifiable predictors were identified that could be targeted in interventions to improve patient or treatment outcomes. This may contribute to delivering more person-centred care involving shared decision-making to improve patient HRQoL after cardiac surgery.

PMID:35585633 | DOI:10.1186/s12955-022-01980-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Determinants of modern contraceptive utilization among married women in sub-Saharan Africa: multilevel analysis using recent demographic and health survey

BMC Womens Health. 2022 May 18;22(1):181. doi: 10.1186/s12905-022-01769-z.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Family planning is a low-cost, high-impact public health and development strategy to improve child and maternal health. However, there is a lack of evidence on modern contraceptive use and determinants in sub-Saharan Africa. Hence, this study aimed at determining the pooled prevalence and determinants of modern contraceptive utilization among married women of sub-Saharan Africa.

METHODS: Thirty-six sub-Saharan African countries’ demographic and health survey (DHS) data were used for pooled analysis. A total weighted sample of 322,525 married women was included. Cross tabulations and summary statistics were done using STATA version 14 software. The pooled prevalence of modern contraceptive utilization with a 95% Confidence Interval (CI) was reported. Multilevel regression analysis was used to identify the determinants of modern contraceptive use among married women. Four models were fitted to select the best-fitted model using the Likelihood Ratio (LLR) and Deviance test. Finally, the model with the highest LLR and the smallest deviance was selected as the best-fitted model.

RESULTS: The pooled estimate of modern contraception use in sub-Saharan African countries was 18.36% [95% CI: 18.24, 18.48], with highest in Lesotho (59.79%) and the lowest in Chad (5.04%). The odds of modern contraception utilization were high among women living in East Africa [AOR = 1.47 (1.40, 1.54)], urban areas [AOR = 1.18 (1.14, 1.24)], and women with primary [AOR = 1.49 (1.44, 1.55)] and secondary and above educational level [AOR = 1.66 (1.58, 1.74)]. Moreover, husbands with primary educational level [AOR = 1.38 (1.33, 1.42)], middle [AOR = 1.17, (1.14, 1.21)], rich wealth status [AOR = 1.29 (1.25, 1.34)], media exposure [AOR = 1.25 (1.22, 1.29)], and postnatal care (PNC) utilization [AOR = 1.25 (1.22, 1.29)] had higher odds of modern contraceptive utilization compared with their counter parts. Furthermore, deliver at health facility [AOR = 1.74 (1.69, 1.79)] and birth order 2-4 [AOR = 1.36 (1.31, 1.41)] had higher odds of modern contraceptive utilization. On the other hand, women living in Central [AOR = 0.23 (0.22, 0.24)], Western regions [AOR = 0.46 (0.40, 0.54)], women who decided with husband [AOR = 0.90 (0.87, 0.93)], and decisions by husband alone [AOR = 0.73 (0.71, 0.75)] decreased the odds of modern contraceptive utilization.

CONCLUSION: The uptake of modern contraception in sub-Saharan Africa is low. Modern contraceptive utilization is affected by different factors. More attention needs to be given to rural residents, illiterate women, and communities with low wealth status.

PMID:35585626 | DOI:10.1186/s12905-022-01769-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Prediction of acute kidney injury risk after cardiac surgery: using a hybrid machine learning algorithm

BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2022 May 18;22(1):137. doi: 10.1186/s12911-022-01859-w.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a serious complication after cardiac surgery. We derived and internally validated a Machine Learning preoperative model to predict cardiac surgery-associated AKI of any severity and compared its performance with parametric statistical models.

METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study of adult patients who underwent major cardiac surgery requiring cardiopulmonary bypass between November 1st, 2009 and March 31st, 2015. AKI was defined according to the KDIGO criteria as stage 1 or greater, within 7 days of surgery. We randomly split the cohort into derivation and validation datasets. We developed three AKI risk models: (1) a hybrid machine learning (ML) algorithm, using Random Forests for variable selection, followed by high performance logistic regression; (2) a traditional logistic regression model and (3) an enhanced logistic regression model with 500 bootstraps, with backward variable selection. For each model, we assigned risk scores to each of the retained covariate and assessed model discrimination (C statistic) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test) in the validation datasets.

RESULTS: Of 6522 included patients, 1760 (27.0%) developed AKI. The best performance was achieved by the hybrid ML algorithm to predict AKI of any severity. The ML and enhanced statistical models remained robust after internal validation (C statistic = 0.75; Hosmer-Lemeshow p = 0.804, and AUC = 0.74, Hosmer-Lemeshow p = 0.347, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated that a hybrid ML model provides higher accuracy without sacrificing parsimony, computational efficiency, or interpretability, when compared with parametric statistical models. This score-based model can easily be used at the bedside to identify high-risk patients who may benefit from intensive perioperative monitoring and personalized management strategies.

PMID:35585624 | DOI:10.1186/s12911-022-01859-w

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Modeling zero inflation is not necessary for spatial transcriptomics

Genome Biol. 2022 May 18;23(1):118. doi: 10.1186/s13059-022-02684-0.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Spatial transcriptomics are a set of new technologies that profile gene expression on tissues with spatial localization information. With technological advances, recent spatial transcriptomics data are often in the form of sparse counts with an excessive amount of zero values.

RESULTS: We perform a comprehensive analysis on 20 spatial transcriptomics datasets collected from 11 distinct technologies to characterize the distributional properties of the expression count data and understand the statistical nature of the zero values. Across datasets, we show that a substantial fraction of genes displays overdispersion and/or zero inflation that cannot be accounted for by a Poisson model, with genes displaying overdispersion substantially overlapped with genes displaying zero inflation. In addition, we find that either the Poisson or the negative binomial model is sufficient for modeling the majority of genes across most spatial transcriptomics technologies. We further show major sources of overdispersion and zero inflation in spatial transcriptomics including gene expression heterogeneity across tissue locations and spatial distribution of cell types. In particular, when we focus on a relatively homogeneous set of tissue locations or control for cell type compositions, the number of detected overdispersed and/or zero-inflated genes is substantially reduced, and a simple Poisson model is often sufficient to fit the gene expression data there.

CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides the first comprehensive evidence that excessive zeros in spatial transcriptomics are not due to zero inflation, supporting the use of count models without a zero inflation component for modeling spatial transcriptomics.

PMID:35585605 | DOI:10.1186/s13059-022-02684-0

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Association of cord blood asprosin concentration with atherogenic lipid profile and anthropometric indices

Diabetol Metab Syndr. 2022 May 18;14(1):74. doi: 10.1186/s13098-022-00844-7.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Elevated lipids in umbilical cord blood affect fetal programming, leading to a higher risk of developing cardiovascular disease in later life. However, the causes of changes in the lipid profile of umbilical cord blood are not clear yet. This study aimed for the first time to determine the association of asprosin concentration with TAG, TC, HDL-C, LDL-C concentrations and TAG/HDL-C, TC/HDL-C, LDL-C/HDL-C and non-HDL-C/HDL-C ratio in umbilical cord blood as well as newborn anthropometric indices. This cross-sectional study was based on 450 mother- newborn pairs of a birth cohort study in Sabzevar, Iran. Multiple linear regression was used to estimate the association of lipid concentration and lipid ratios as well as birth weight (BW), birth length (BL), head circumference (HC) and chest circumference (CC) with asprosin in cord blood samples controlled for the relevant covariates.

RESULT: In fully adjusted models, each 1 ng/mL increase in asprosin was associated with 0.19 (95% CI 0.06, 0.31, P < 0.01), 0.19 (95% CI 0.10, 0.29, P < 0.01), 0.17 (95% CI 0.09, 0.25, P < 0.01), 0.17 (95% CI 0.09, 0.25, P < 0.01), 0.01 (95% CI 0.00, 0.013, P < 0.01), 0.01 (95% CI 0.01, 0.01, P < 0.01), 0.01 (95% CI 0.01, 0.01, P < 0.01) and 0.01 (95% CI 0.01, 0.01, P < 0.01) increase in TAG, TC, LDL-C, TAG/HDL-C, TC/HDL-C, LDL-C/HDL-C and non-HDL-C/HDL-C ratio respectively. Moreover, higher asprosin levels was positively associated with newborn BW, BL, HC and CC; however, these associations were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION: Overall, our findings support the positive association between cord asprosin concentration and the development of atherogenic lipid profile in newborns. Further studies are needed to confirm the findings of this study in other populations.

PMID:35585615 | DOI:10.1186/s13098-022-00844-7