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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Right atrial strain in a normal adult African population according to age

Cardiovasc J Afr. 2023 Jun 2;34:1-8. doi: 10.5830/CVJA-2023-004. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Right atrial longitudinal strain (RALS) is a useful parameter to define right atrial (RA) subclinical dysfunction prior to changes in RA dimension and volume. We sought to establish normal values for RALS in a sub-Saharan African population.

METHODS: This was a retrospective, cross-sectional study from 2017 to 2019 of 100 normal individuals. All echocardiographic measurements were done as per the standard guidelines.

RESULTS: Mean RALS was 32.7 ± 10.5%. The mean RA volume indexed to body surface area was 19.5 ± 5.7 ml/m2. There was a negative correlation between RALS and age but it was not statistically significant (r = -0.15, p = 0.129). Males had a tendency towards higher RA volume indexed and RALS measurements compared to females (20.8 ± 6.3 and 18.7 ± 5.2 ml/m2, p = 0.07; 34.6 ± 9.6 and 31.4 ± 10.9%, p = 0.141, respectively). Body mass index was an independent predictor of RALS (r = -0.43, p = 0.003).

CONCLUSION: We have provided normative data for RALS in an African population. This study provides a platform for future larger studies on RALS.

PMID:37266978 | DOI:10.5830/CVJA-2023-004

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Empirical examination of interdependent relationship between usage of seatbelt restraint system and driver-injury severity of single-vehicle crashes in Thailand using a joint econometric analysis

Traffic Inj Prev. 2023 Jun 2:1-8. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2023.2218511. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The paper aims to examine the interdependent relationship between the usage of the seatbelt restraint system and severities of the driver-injury in single-vehicle crashes.

METHODS: This paper developed a comprehensive joint econometric structure – a joint random parameters binary probit-binary probit model – that allows for the simultaneous examination of injury severity of the driver in a crash, and taking into account the fact that seat belt use can be endogenous to the outcomes of driver injury. The developed model is tested using data on drivers-injury severities involved in single-vehicle crashes in Thailand from 2012-2017.

RESULTS: In terms of the interdependent relationship between seatbelt use status and driver-injury severities, the findings suggest that drivers who do not use seat belts may demonstrate more dangerous or aggressive driving behaviors (such as speeding), subsequently increasing their likelihood of involvement in severe or fatal crashes. Additionally, the result also shows that drivers who are involved in speeding-related crashes are less likely to wear a seatbelt and have a higher risk of sustaining severe and fatal injuries. The findings also reveal that in crashes, drivers who are young, or operating trucks are less likely to be wearing their seat belts. The study also indicates that severe and fatal crashes are associated with factors such as elderly drivers, alcohol involvement, unbelted drivers, fatigue, depressed medians, and barrier medians. Conversely, a crash in a U-turn area, driving a passenger car, pickup truck, or large truck, or colliding with a guardrail reduces the likelihood of severe and fatal injuries.

CONCLUSIONS: Neglecting the hidden endogenous effect in statistical analyses could result in an overestimation of the impact of seat belt usage on crash-injury outcomes. The findings of this study can provide valuable insights for relevant authorities aiming to improve driver safety.

PMID:37266974 | DOI:10.1080/15389588.2023.2218511

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Error in Statistical Analysis

JAMA Health Forum. 2023 Jun 2;4(6):e231361. doi: 10.1001/jamahealthforum.2023.1361.

NO ABSTRACT

PMID:37266962 | DOI:10.1001/jamahealthforum.2023.1361

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Direct Oral Anticoagulants vs Low-Molecular-Weight Heparin and Recurrent VTE in Patients With Cancer: A Randomized Clinical Trial

JAMA. 2023 Jun 2. doi: 10.1001/jama.2023.7843. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: In patients with cancer who have venous thromboembolism (VTE) events, long-term anticoagulation with low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) is recommended to prevent recurrent VTE. The effectiveness of a direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) compared with LMWH for preventing recurrent VTE in patients with cancer is uncertain.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate DOACs, compared with LMWH, for preventing recurrent VTE and for rates of bleeding in patients with cancer following an initial VTE event.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Unblinded, comparative effectiveness, noninferiority randomized clinical trial conducted at 67 oncology practices in the US that enrolled 671 patients with cancer (any invasive solid tumor, lymphoma, multiple myeloma, or chronic lymphocytic leukemia) who had a new clinical or radiological diagnosis of VTE. Enrollment occurred from December 2016 to April 2020. Final follow-up was in November 2020.

INTERVENTION: Participants were randomized in a 1:1 ratio to either a DOAC (n = 335) or LMWH (n = 336) and were followed up for 6 months or until death. Physicians and patients selected any DOAC or any LMWH (or fondaparinux) and physicians selected drug doses.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was the recurrent VTE rate at 6 months. Noninferiority of anticoagulation with a DOAC vs LMWH was defined by the upper limit of the 1-sided 95% CI for the difference of a DOAC relative to LMWH of less than 3% in the randomized cohort that received at least 1 dose of assigned treatment. The 6 prespecified secondary outcomes included major bleeding, which was assessed using a 2.5% noninferiority margin.

RESULTS: Between December 2016 and April 2020, 671 participants were randomized and 638 (95%) completed the trial (median age, 64 years; 353 women [55%]). Among those randomized to a DOAC, 330 received at least 1 dose. Among those randomized to LMWH, 308 received at least 1 dose. Rates of recurrent VTE were 6.1% in the DOAC group and 8.8% in the LMWH group (difference, -2.7%; 1-sided 95% CI, -100% to 0.7%) consistent with the prespecified noninferiority criterion. Of 6 prespecified secondary outcomes, none were statistically significant. Major bleeding occurred in 5.2% of participants in the DOAC group and 5.6% in the LMWH group (difference, -0.4%; 1-sided 95% CI, -100% to 2.5%) and did not meet the noninferiority criterion. Severe adverse events occurred in 33.8% of participants in the DOAC group and 35.1% in the LMWH group. The most common serious adverse events were anemia and death.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among adults with cancer and VTE, DOACs were noninferior to LMWH for preventing recurrent VTE over 6-month follow-up. These findings support use of a DOAC to prevent recurrent VTE in patients with cancer.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02744092.

PMID:37266947 | DOI:10.1001/jama.2023.7843

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Reversing Synchronized Brain Circuits Using Targeted Auditory-Somatosensory Stimulation to Treat Phantom Percepts: A Randomized Clinical Trial

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Jun 1;6(6):e2315914. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.15914.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Animal models have shown altered dorsal cochlear nucleus circuitry in animals that develop tinnitus; however, precise treatment using bisensory (auditory and somatosensory) stimuli can reverse altered neural patterns and lessen tinnitus.

OBJECTIVE: To confirm and extend the findings of a pilot study, which suggested an increased efficacy of bisensory stimulation, to a clinical trial with a greater duration and greater number of participants.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This double-blind, crossover, single-center randomized clinical trial was conducted from March 2019, with a 3-month follow-up per participant ending in July 2022. Eligible adults were recruited from the University of Michigan Health System in Ann Arbor, Michigan. Eligibility criteria included bothersome tinnitus (Tinnitus Functional Index [TFI] score, ≥17 points), somatic tinnitus, normal to moderate hearing loss, and no other tinnitus treatments in the 6 months prior to the trial. Included participants were randomized to either treatment group 1, which received active (bisensory) treatment, or group 2, which received the control (auditory-only) treatment. Results were analyzed using intent-to-treat (ITT) and per protocol (PP) populations.

INTERVENTION: Precisely timed bisensory (combined auditory and somatosensory) treatment was delivered through a portable, custom, take-home device that was provided to each participant for daily, at-home treatments. Group 1 participants received 30 minutes per day of the bisensory treatment for 6 weeks, followed by a 6-week washout phase, and then 30 minutes per day of the auditory-only treatment followed by a second 6-week washout phase. Group 2 participants received the auditory-only treatment first, followed by a washout phase, and then the bisensory treatment followed by a second washout phase.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Primary end points were changes in TFI score and tinnitus loudness level from baseline through week 6 and week 12.

RESULTS: Of 337 screened individuals, 99 (mean [SD] age, 47 [12.7] years; 59 males [60%]; 85 with non-Hispanic White [86%] race and ethnicity) were enrolled into the study and randomized to treatment group 1 (n = 49) or group 2 (n = 50). The active but not the control treatment resulted in clinically significant decreases in TFI scores at week 6 of phase 1 (ITT population: -12.0 [95% CI, -16.9 to -7.9] points; P < .001; PP population: -13.2 [95% CI, -16.0 to -10.5] points; P < .001). Decreases in tinnitus loudness level were greater than 6 dB sensation level (SL; >half as loud) at week 6 for the bisensory treatment group, with little effect for the auditory-only treatment control group at week 6 of phase 1 (ITT population: -5.8 [95% CI, -9.5 to -2.2] dB; P = .08; PP population: -7.2 [95% CI, -11.4 to -3.1] dB; P = .03), and up to 11 dB SL at week 12 of phase 2 (ITT population: -10.9 [95% CI, -15.2 to -6.5] dB; P = .001; PP population: -14.1 [95% CI, -18.4 to -9.8] dB; P < .001). Decreased tinnitus loudness level and TFI scores extended into the washout phase, indicating a prolonged treatment effect.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This trial found that precisely timed bisensory treatment using stimuli and timing developed in a validated animal model was effective for adults with somatic tinnitus. Prolonged reduction in tinnitus symptoms can result from using an extended treatment duration.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03621735.

PMID:37266943 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.15914

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Long-term Outcomes of Bevacizumab and Chemoradiation for Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Nonrandomized Controlled Trial

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Jun 1;6(6):e2316094. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.16094.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: The long-term outcomes associated with adding bevacizumab, a vascular endothelial growth factor inhibitor, to standard chemoradiation have continued to be favorable for a group of patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

OBJECTIVE: To assess long-term toxic effects and clinical outcomes associated with chemotherapy, radiation therapy (RT), and bevacizumab for NPC.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This single-arm phase II nonrandomized controlled trial was conducted by the National Cancer Trials Network group and NRG Oncology (formerly Radiation Therapy Oncology Group), with accrual from December 13, 2006, to February 5, 2009, and data analysis from June 26 to July 1, 2019. The study was conducted at 19 cancer centers with a median (IQR) follow-up of 9.0 (7.7-9.3) years. Included patients were adults (aged ≥18 years) with NPC that was World Health Organization (WHO) histologic grade I to IIb or III, American Joint Committee on Cancer stage IIB or greater, and with or without lymph node involvement.

INTERVENTIONS: Patients received 3 cycles of bevacizumab (15 mg/kg) concurrently with standard cisplatin (100 mg/m2) and RT (69.96 Gy) followed by 3 cycles of adjuvant bevacizumab (15 mg/kg) given concurrently with cisplatin (80 mg/m2) and fluorouracil (1000 mg/m2/d).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary end point was grade 4 hemorrhage or grade 5 adverse events in the first year. Secondary end points were locoregional progression-free (LRPF) interval, distant metastasis-free (DMF) interval, progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and other adverse events. Long-term toxic effects and clinical outcomes were reported due to the limited follow-up in the initial report for this trial and the importance of long-term outcomes when combining bevacizumab with chemoradiation.

RESULTS: Among 46 patients with NPC who were enrolled, 44 patients were analyzed (29 males [65.9%]; 23 Asian [52.3%], 2 Black [4.5%], and 16 White [36.4%]; 38 not Hispanic [86.4%]; median [IQR] age, 48.5 [39.0-56.0] years). There were 33 patients with a Zubrod performance status of 0, indicating that they were fully functional and asymptomatic (75.0%); 32 patients with a WHO histologic grade of IIb or III (72.7%); and 39 patients with stage III or IVB disease (88.6%). Among analyzed patients, 42 individuals received radiation therapy of 69.96 Gy or greater (95.5%; dose range, 65.72-70.00 Gy); 30 patients received 3 cycles of cisplatin (68.2%) with RT, and 31 patients received 3 cycles of bevacizumab with RT (70.5%); this was followed by 3 cycles of adjuvant cisplatin in 21 patients (47.7%), fluorouracil in 24 patients (54.5%), and bevacizumab in 23 patients (52.3%). No grade 4 hemorrhage or grade 5 AEs were reported in the first year or thereafter. Late grade 3 AEs occurred in 16 patients (36.4%), including 7 patients with dysphagia (15.9%), 6 patients with hearing impairment (13.6%), and 2 patients with dry mouth (4.5%). The 1- and 5-year rates of feeding tube use were 5 of 41 patients (12.2%) and 0 of 27 patients, respectively. There were 19 patients (43.2%) who progressed or died without disease progression (6 patients with locoregional progression [13.6%], 8 patients with distant progression [18.2%], and 5 patients who died without progression [11.4%]). The 5- and 7-year rates were 79.5% (95% CI, 67.6%-91.5%) and 69.7% (95% CI, 55.9%-83.5%) for OS, 61.2% (95% CI, 46.8%-75.6%) and 56.3% (95% CI, 41.5%-71.1%) for PFS, 74.9% (95% CI, 61.4%-86.6%) and 72.3% (95% CI, 58.4%-84.7%) for LRPF interval, and 79.5% (95% CI,66.4%-90.0%) for both times for DMF interval. Among 13 patients who died, death was due to disease in 8 patients (61.5%).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this nonrandomized controlled trial, no grade 4 hemorrhage or grade 5 AEs were reported in the first year or thereafter among patients with NPC receiving bevacizumab combined with chemoradiation. The rate of distant metastasis was low although 89% of patients had stage III to IVB disease, suggesting that further investigation may be warranted.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00408694.

PMID:37266942 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.16094

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Effect of a Continuous Bedside Pressure Mapping System for Reducing Interface Pressures: A Randomized Clinical Trial

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Jun 1;6(6):e2316480. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.16480.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Continuous bedside pressure mapping (CBPM) technology can assist in detecting skin areas with excessive interface pressure and inform efficient patient repositioning to prevent the development of pressure injuries (PI).

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficacy of CBPM technology in reducing interface pressure and the incidence of PIs.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This parallel, 2-group randomized clinical trial was performed at a tertiary acute care center. The study started to enroll participants in December 2014 and was completed in May 2018. Participants included adults partially or completely dependent for bed mobility. Statistical analysis was performed from September 2018 to December 2022.

INTERVENTION: Nursing staff using visual feedback from CBPM technology for 72 hours.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Absolute number of sensing points with pressure readings greater than 40 mm Hg, mean interface pressure across all sensing points under a patient’s body, proportion of participants who had pressure readings greater than 40 mm Hg, and pressure-related skin and soft tissue changes.

RESULTS: There were 678 patients recruited. After attrition, 260 allocated to the control group (151 [58.1%] male; mean [SD] age, 61.9 [18.5] years) and 247 in the intervention group (147 [59.5%] male; mean [SD] age, 63.6 [18.1] years) were included in analyses. The absolute number of sensing points with pressures greater than 40 mm Hg were 11 033 in the control group vs 9314 in the intervention group (P = .16). The mean (SD) interface pressure was 6.80 (1.63) mm Hg in the control group vs 6.62 (1.51) mm Hg in the intervention group (P = .18). The proportion of participants who had pressure readings greater than 40 mm Hg was 99.6% in both the control and intervention groups.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this randomized clinical trial to evaluate the efficacy of CBPM technology in the reduction of interface pressure and the incidence of PIs in a tertiary acute care center, no statistically significant benefit was seen for any of the primary outcomes. These results suggest that longer duration of monitoring and adequately powered studies where CBPM feedback is integrated into a multifaceted intervention to prevent PI are needed.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02325388.

PMID:37266939 | DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.16480

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Zooming in on style: Exploring style perception using details of paintings

J Vis. 2023 Jun 1;23(6):2. doi: 10.1167/jov.23.6.2.

ABSTRACT

Most studies on the perception of style have used whole scenes/entire paintings; in our study, we isolated a single motif (an apple) to reduce or even eliminate the influence of composition, iconography, and other contextual information. In this article, we empirically address two fundamental questions of the existence (Experiment 1) and description (Experiment 2) of style. We chose 48 cut-outs of mostly Western European paintings (15th to 21st century) that showed apples. In Experiment 1, 415 unique participants completed online triplet similarity tasks. Multidimensional scaling (MDS) reached a nonrandom three-dimensional (3D) embedding, showing that participants are able to judge stylistic differences in a systematic way. We also found a strong correlation between creation year and embedding, both a linear correlation with Dimension 2, and a rotational correlation in the first two dimensions. To interpret the embedding further, in Experiment 2, we fitted three color statistics and nine attribute ratings (glossiness, three-dimensionality, convincingness, brush coarseness, etc.) to the 3D perceptual style space. Results showed that Dimension 1 is associated with spatial attributes (Smoothness, Brushstroke coarseness) and Convincingness, Dimension 2 is related to Hue, and Dimension 3 is related to Chroma. The results suggest that texture and color are two important variables for style perception. By isolating the motifs, we could exclude higher levels of information such as composition and context. Interestingly, the results reinforce previous findings using whole scenes, suggesting that style can already be perceived in sometimes very small fragments of paintings.

PMID:37266933 | DOI:10.1167/jov.23.6.2

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Sustained Decline of Direct General Practitioner Reporting of Adverse Drug Reactions in Australia and Paucity in Details of Australian Reports in Safety Advisories

Drug Saf. 2023 Jun 2. doi: 10.1007/s40264-023-01321-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: There have been substantial changes in the nature of reporting pathways and review of suspected adverse drug reactions (ADRs) in Australia since the establishment of the now defunct Advisory Committee on Safety of Medicines early in 2010.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to (1) examine the reporting in Australia of suspected ADRs from various sources, including general practitioners (GPs), since 1990; (2) compare the reporting of Australian GPs with that in two other countries (New Zealand and the United Kingdom [UK]) with comparable safety monitoring programmes for the period 2007-2019; and (3) explore the extent to which Australian reporting of suspected adverse reactions has motivated communication to healthcare professionals in the period 1995-2019.

METHODS: Annual reporting of sources of ADRs in Australia were obtained from Government reports, the Australian Statistics in Medicines and Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA) websites. Details of the annual reporting by GPs in the UK were obtained from published sources and have been provided on request by the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency. Details of the annual reporting by GPs in New Zealand were provided on request from the Centre for Adverse Reaction Monitoring. All issues of the Australian Adverse Drug Reactions Bulletin were accessed from the National Library of Australia, and issues of the Medicines Safety Update from February 1995 to December 2019 were accessed online from the TGA website. Each issue was searched to identify and score safety advisories.

RESULTS: From 1990 to 2002 in Australia, overall reporting gradually increased, and the three major groups of reporters (GPs, hospitals and sponsors) each contributed about 30%. The relative contributions to reporting changed in the period 2002 to 2009. There was then a steep fall in reporting from GPs and the start of a very marked increase in reporting from product sponsors. GP reporting in Australia was lower than the two other comparable countries (New Zealand and the UK), and continues to fall, while in the UK at least, GP reporting is rising. The analysis of safety advisories shows a relatively stable Australian content from 1995 to 2008, followed by a sharp decline, so that by 2019 and 2020 there was barely any Australian reporting-driven content. In 1995 and 1996, Australian reports of suspected adverse reactions were the sole apparent reason for the publication of safety advisories. From 1997 to about 2008, Australian reports of suspected adverse reactions were the major reason for publication, but after this time, Australian reports became less important. During this later period, the apparent motive for publication of the safety advisory shifted to being based primarily on a publication in the medical literature, or publicity, but was sometimes based on an overseas regulator’s advice or action, or action by a product sponsor.

CONCLUSION: It is our contention that the decline in GP reporting in Australia and the current paucity in details of Australian reports in safety advisories are closely linked.

PMID:37266905 | DOI:10.1007/s40264-023-01321-4

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Analysis of a Binary Outcome Dichotomized from an Underlying Continuous Variable in Clinical Trials

Ther Innov Regul Sci. 2023 Jun 2. doi: 10.1007/s43441-023-00538-w. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Binary-valued outcome is often seen in many clinical trials across therapeutic areas. It is not uncommon that such binary endpoints are derived from a continuous variable. For example, in diabetes clinical trials, the proportion of patients with HbA1c< 7% is often investigated as one of the key objectives, where HbA1c is a continuous-valued variable reflecting the averaged blood glucose value from the previous three months. Most of the time, if not all, the mean of those binary endpoints were estimated directly through the binary variable defined by the corresponding cutoff. Alternatively, by the nature of the derivation, that quantity could also be estimated by leveraging the density of the underlying continuous variable and computing the area under the density curve up to a threshold. This paper provides a few methods in relation to density estimation. Extensive simulation studies were conducted based on real clinical trial data to compare these estimation approaches against the direct estimation of the proportions. Simulation results showed that the density estimation approaches in general benefited from a smaller mean squared error in early phase studies where the sample size is limited. The density estimation approach is certainly expected to introduce bias, however, a favorable bias-variance trade-off may make these approaches attractive in early phase studies.

PMID:37266869 | DOI:10.1007/s43441-023-00538-w