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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Outcomes of acute meningitis according to immunosuppression status: 15-year retrospective cohort

PLoS One. 2026 Mar 24;21(3):e0344150. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0344150. eCollection 2026.

ABSTRACT

Acute meningitis remains a primary global health concern. Immunosuppressed patients have risks due to atypical clinical presentations and a broader range of causative pathogens. We aimed to describe the outcomes and clinical features of acute meningitis according to immunosuppression status. We performed a retrospective cohort study of adults with acute meningitis from January 2009 to December 2023. Patients with postsurgical meningitis were excluded. Outcomes and demographic, clinical, and laboratory features were compared using non-parametric statistical tests, and mortality was analyzed using multivariate logistic regression. Among 189 patients, 96 (51%) were immunosuppressed. The median age was lower in immunosuppressed patients (36 vs. 50 years, p < 0.01). There were no differences in symptoms; the classical triad was present in only 21% vs. 19%. Immunosuppressed patients had lower CSF glucose levels (59% vs. 39%, p = 0.004). Overall mortality was 20%, with no significant difference by immune status. Independent predictors of death included age over 50 years (OR 2.9), altered mental status (OR 4.7), and bacterial meningitis (OR 2.3). Acute meningitis in immunosuppressed hosts shows attenuated inflammatory CSF profiles and a broader etiologic spectrum. Immunosuppression was not independently associated with in-hospital mortality.

PMID:41875396 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0344150

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The effect of medical therapies for subthreshold abdominal aortic aneurysm growth and mortality: a network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Interdiscip Cardiovasc Thorac Surg. 2026 Mar 24:ivag088. doi: 10.1093/icvts/ivag088. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is often fatal when ruptured and current guidelines suggest surgical management at suprathreshold sizes (50 mm for women or 55 mm for men) or with rapid expansion (>5 mm/year). Many medical therapies have been assessed for reducing subthreshold AAA expansion though the evidence remains inconclusive. This network meta-analysis (NMA) compares AAA growth and mortality amongst medical treatments for AAAs.

METHODS: MEDLINE (via PubMed), Scopus, Web of Science, EBSCO, and Cochrane Library databases were searched for relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs) from database inception to 2024. Outcomes assessed included AAA growth rate, rate of referral for aneurysm surgery, overall mortality, and discontinuation from adverse effects. Data was analyzed using R software, and P-score was used to rank different treatments. The GRADE framework was performed to assess quality of evidence.

RESULTS: Thirteen RCTs comprising 3084 patients were included in this NMA. AAA diameters ranged from 3.1-4.6 cm in the intervention group and 3.5-4.5 cm in the placebo group. Study-level mean annual growth rate ranged from 1.2-2.8 mm/year in the intervention group compared with placebo (1.2-2.6 mm/year). There were no significant differences in AAA growth among the compared groups, (P-score probability in brackets): propranolol (0.73) telmisartan (0.66), antibiotics (0.53), placebo (0.53), ACE inhibitors (0.52), ticagrelor (0.46), and pemirolast (0.06). There were no significant differences among the compared groups in terms of aneurysm surgery referral rates, with propranolol (0.91), antibiotics (0.56), placebo (0.45), and pemirolast (0.08) showing similar outcomes. Similarly, no significant differences were observed in overall mortality rates across the groups, including telmisartan (0.87), antibiotics (0.57), ACE inhibitors (0.51), placebo (0.35), and propranolol (0.17). However, propranolol (OR = 3.14, 95% CI [1.34, 7.35]) and ticagrelor (OR = 5.10, 95% CI [1.12, 23.18]) were associated with a higher rate of discontinuation due to adverse events. Most of the studies analysed demonstrate moderate quality evidence.

CONCLUSIONS: Current evidence highlights ongoing uncertainty regarding the efficacy of medical therapies in reducing subthreshold AAA growth rates, rates of referral for surgical repair, or overall mortality. The absence of statistically significant benefit may reflect underpowered datasets rather than definitive treatment inefficacy. Future large-scale, appropriately powered randomized controlled trials evaluating emerging medical treatments are required to accurately assess their clinical potential.

PMID:41875387 | DOI:10.1093/icvts/ivag088

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Abnormal Cholesterol in Children and Adolescents: United States, August 2021-August 2023

NCHS Data Brief. 2026 Mar;(552). doi: 10.15620/cdc/174648.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: This report provides the most recent prevalence estimates of abnormal blood cholesterol in children and adolescents ages 6-19 and describes changes in prevalences over time.

METHODS: Cholesterol, anthropometry, and demographics data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) for 2013-2014 through August 2021-August 2023 were used for these analyses. Phlebotomy sample weights were used to estimate prevalence, and confidence intervals were estimated using Taylor series linearization. Statistically significant differences in prevalence estimates by age, sex, and weight status were tested using a t statistic at the p < 0.05 level, and trends were evaluated using linear regression models.

KEY FINDINGS: During August 2021-August 2023, 16.5% of children and adolescents had at least one measure of abnormal cholesterol (high total cholesterol, low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol [HDL-C], or high non-HDL-C). The prevalence of at least one abnormal cholesterol measure was lower in girls (13.6%) than in boys (19.2%) and lower in those with underweight or normal weight (10.3%) or overweight (11.5%) than in those with obesity (35.8%). The prevalence of at least one abnormal cholesterol measure decreased between 2013-2014 (21.3%) and August 2021-August 2023 (16.5%).

PMID:41875385 | DOI:10.15620/cdc/174648

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A model for background selection in non-equilibrium populations

Genetics. 2026 Mar 24:iyag081. doi: 10.1093/genetics/iyag081. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

In many taxa, levels of genetic diversity vary along their genomes. The framework of background selection models this variation in terms of linkage to constrained sites, and recent applications have been able to explain a large portion of the variation in human genomes. However, these studies have also yielded conflicting results, stemming from two key limitations. First, existing models are inaccurate in a critical region of parameter space (Nes ∼ -1), where the local reduction in diversity is sharpest. Second, they assume a constant population size over time. Here, we develop predictions for diversity under background selection based on the Hill-Robertson system of two-locus statistics, which allows for population size changes. We treat the joint effect of multiple selected loci independently, but we show that interference among them is well captured through local rescaling of mutation, recombination and selection in an iterative procedure that converges quickly. We further accommodate existing background selection theory to non-equilibrium demography, bridging the gap between weak and strong selection. Simulations show that our predictions are accurate across the entire range of selection coefficients. We characterize the temporal dynamics of linked selection under population size changes and demonstrate that patterns of diversity can be misinterpreted by other models. Specifically, biases due to the incorrect assumption of equilibrium carry over to downstream inferences of the distribution of fitness effects and deleterious mutation rate. Jointly modeling demography and linked selection therefore improves our understanding of the genomic landscape of diversity, which will help refine inferences of linked selection in humans and other species.

PMID:41875378 | DOI:10.1093/genetics/iyag081

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Help on Demand, a Self-Directed Mobile App Intervention for Gambling Problems: Development and Usability Study

JMIR Form Res. 2026 Mar 24;10:e83430. doi: 10.2196/83430.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Compared with other mental health problems, self-directed interventions for gambling problems lack in quantity, accessibility, and in some cases, evidence base. Moreover, engagement with these interventions remains modest. Mobile apps may be a viable format to deliver self-directed interventions that enhance user engagement.

OBJECTIVE: The aims of this study were to develop a self-directed mobile app intervention for gambling problems and to conduct initial feasibility and acceptability testing with a small sample of Canadian adults with past or present gambling problems (n=30).

METHODS: Participants were invited via email from a list of people who had previously volunteered in similar research in our laboratory. Theory and content of the mobile app intervention were primarily based on a self-directed workbook that has been evaluated in paperback and static web-based formats. The current app prototype included daily gambling diaries, recommended activities based on diary responses, and psychoeducation. It was available for 2 weeks, after which users provided feedback via surveys (n=30) and a virtual focus group (n=8). Quantitative and qualitative feedback, as well as app usage data, were analyzed to provide descriptive statistics and summaries.

RESULTS: Regarding feasibility, median completion time for activities ranged from 48 (IQR 35-90) to 137 (IQR 93-328) seconds. Daily diary completion rate was 51%. One-third of activities were accessed via prompt, and two-thirds on demand. Many participants repeated at least 1 activity, and all activities were repeated by at least 1 participant. Results also indicated favorable user reviews, particularly regarding the app’s credibility, ease of use, and potential impact. The feedback on some app features was highly variable, such as the perceived utility of daily diaries. Specific recommendations for improvement were provided, such as the inclusion of information on concurrent substance use and more interactive psychoeducation.

CONCLUSIONS: Overall, the app met or exceeded heuristic thresholds for feasibility and acceptability testing. These results will inform improvements and subsequent effectiveness testing. The variability in user feedback underscores the demand for further personalization.

PMID:41875357 | DOI:10.2196/83430

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Evaluating Late-Season Reminder-Recall for Influenza Vaccine Uptake Among Older Adults in Louisiana

J Public Health Manag Pract. 2026 May-Jun 01;32(3):414-419. doi: 10.1097/PHH.0000000000002285. Epub 2025 Nov 24.

ABSTRACT

The 2019-2020 and 2023-2024 flu seasons had unusually active influenza activity late in the season. As vaccines can be a cost-effective way of avoiding severe illness with the flu resulting in hospitalizations or mortality, the Louisiana Department of Health mailed reminder-recall postcards to adults aged 65 to 70 years to raise awareness about respiratory vaccines, including those for flu. In the 2 weeks following the distribution of reminder-recall mailers (n = 47 587 in February 2020 and n = 42 364 in January 2024), an additional 1017 and 1093 flu shots were administered in 2020 and 2024, respectively. These doses comprised 1% of all flu shots administered in their respective seasons and 2% of people who received the mailers. Together, the results suggest potentially limited value of flu reminder-recall mailers for this population without further research on timing, frequency, and cost-effectiveness of the same.

PMID:41875352 | DOI:10.1097/PHH.0000000000002285

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Development and Validation of a Self-Efficacy Scale for Patients With Colorectal Cancer Surgery

Gastroenterol Nurs. 2026 Mar-Apr 01;49(2):74-85. doi: 10.1097/SGA.0000000000000948. Epub 2026 Mar 23.

ABSTRACT

Self-efficacy in coping with cancer surgery is a key concept for planning and organizing nursing care. However, there is no validated measurement tool that can be used to assess self-efficacy in patients with colorectal cancer surgery. This cross-sectional study, with a multi-phase design, was conducted with 170 patients to describe the development and validation of the Self-Efficacy Scale for Patients with Colorectal Cancer Surgery (SES-CRCS). Phase 1 addressed the development procedures of the scale. In Phase 2, a 3-step validation process was conducted: (a) assessing the content validity, (b) evaluating construct validity with exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis, and (c) assessing internal consistency reliability with Cronbach’s α coefficient, test-retest, and item-total correlation methods. Exploratory factor analysis suggested a 16-item single-factor structure. The factor loadings of the 16 items were above .40, and various indices used to examine the consistency of the scale indicated a good model fit. The Cronbach’s α value was .838, the item-total correlations for all items were positive, and there was a strong correlation between the test-retest measurements (r = .933; p < .05). As a result, the SES-CRCS was found to be a valid and reliable measurement tool in assessing self-efficacy among patients with colorectal cancer surgery.

PMID:41875333 | DOI:10.1097/SGA.0000000000000948

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The Impact of Evaluation Strategy on Sepsis Prediction Model Performance Metrics in Intensive Care Data: Retrospective Cohort Study

J Med Internet Res. 2026 Mar 24;28:e72083. doi: 10.2196/72083.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The prediction of the onset of sepsis, a life-threatening condition resulting from a dysregulated response to an infection, is one of the most common prediction tasks in intensive care-related machine learning research. To assess the performance of such models, different evaluation strategies, including fixed horizon (a single prediction at a set time before onset), peak score (a single prediction using the maximum predicted risk across time), and continuous evaluation (multiple predictions assessed continuously across time), are commonly implemented, but there is no clear consensus on which approach should be used in order to provide clinically meaningful performance evaluation.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess different evaluation approaches of sepsis prediction models trained on a public intensive care dataset applied to German intensive care data.

METHODS: In this retrospective, observational cohort study, we assessed the efficacy of machine learning models, pretrained on the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV dataset, when applied to BerlinICU, a multisite German intensive care dataset. To understand the real-world impact of implementing these models, we examined the performance variability across various evaluation strategies.

RESULTS: The BerlinICU dataset includes 40,132 intensive care admissions spanning 10 years (2012-2021). Using the latest Sepsis-3 definition, we identified 4134 septic admissions (10.3% prevalence). Application of a temporal convolutional network model to BerlinICU yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.67 (95% CI 0.66-0.68) for continuous evaluation with a 6-hour prediction horizon, compared with 0.84 (95% CI 0.83-0.85) on the test set of Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV. On BerlinICU, peak score evaluation showed a similar AUROC compared with continuous evaluation, while fixed horizon evaluation showed a reduced AUROC of 0.61 (95% CI 0.60-0.62). Onset matching had minimal impact on performance estimates using continuous evaluation or fixed horizon evaluation, but increased estimates for peak score evaluation. Performance metrics improved with shorter prediction horizons across all strategies.

CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate that the choice of evaluation strategy has a significant impact on the performance metrics of intensive care prediction models. The same model applied to the same dataset yields markedly different performance metrics depending on the evaluation approach. Therefore, careful selection of the evaluation approach is essential to ensure that the interpretation of performance metrics aligns with clinical intentions and enables meaningful comparisons between studies. In our view, the continuous evaluation approach best reflects the continual monitoring of patients that is performed in real-world clinical practice. In contrast, fixed-horizon and peak score evaluation approaches may produce skewed results when not properly matching the length of stay distributions between sepsis cases and control cases. Especially for peak score evaluation, longer visits tend to produce higher maximum scores because sampling from more values increases the likelihood of capturing higher values purely by chance.

PMID:41874553 | DOI:10.2196/72083

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Combination of time series forecasting models with a microscopic and stochastic approach to predict road traffic noise

J Acoust Soc Am. 2026 Mar 1;159(3):2754-2778. doi: 10.1121/10.0043155.

ABSTRACT

Road traffic noise represents a major source of environmental pollution, and its prediction remains a critical task. This challenge particularly emerges when traffic data are not available, such as during the design phases of new infrastructures, where it becomes necessary to predict the noise exposure affecting nearby residents, even in the absence of measurement data. To address this issue, this work augments a previously developed microscopic and stochastic-core traffic noise model, integrating it with forecasting time series models for traffic flows and average vehicle speeds. This integration produces a hybrid model that enables the estimation of hourly traffic noise levels based solely on historical traffic patterns, even in the absence of direct traffic observations for the period under investigation. The methodology has been evaluated through a statistical analysis of simulated noise levels, with a focus on error distribution and conventional error metrics. The mean error of 0.43 dBA and the mean absolute error of 1.30 dBA confirm the accuracy of the proposed approach for estimating road traffic noise in data-scarce scenarios. A comparison with the CNOSSOS-EU model’s performance highlights the possibility of using such methodology in early-stage infrastructure design and planning.

PMID:41874545 | DOI:10.1121/10.0043155

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Determinants and Health Outcomes of Digital Health Literacy in Patients With Cardiovascular Disease: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

J Med Internet Res. 2026 Mar 24;28:e89102. doi: 10.2196/89102.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: With expansion of technology-enabled care, digital health literacy (DHL) has become integral to effective cardiovascular disease (CVD) management. However, quantitative evidence regarding determinants and health outcomes of DHL in CVD remains limited and heterogeneous, necessitating comprehensive evidence synthesis.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to (1) estimate DHL levels, (2) synthesize DHL-associated factors, and (3) examine DHL-related health outcomes in CVD.

METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis of DHL in adults with CVD was conducted per PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) 2020 guidelines. PubMed, Embase, Cochrane CENTRAL, CINAHL, Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar were searched for peer-reviewed studies published between 2006 and January 31, 2026. Quantitative studies enrolling adults with CVD, which reported a measure of DHL were included. Studies focusing exclusively on primary cerebrovascular disease and non-peer-reviewed articles were excluded. Risk of bias (ROB) was assessed using the Appraisal Tool for Cross-Sectional Studies tool, the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, the Revised Cochrane Risk-of-Bias Tool for Randomized Trials, and the Risk of Bias in Nonrandomized Studies of Interventions. Certainty of evidence was evaluated using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation approach. Pooled mean eHealth Literacy Scale (eHEALS) scores were synthesized using a random-effects meta-analysis. Heterogeneity was quantified using the I2 statistic and 95% prediction intervals.

RESULTS: Twenty studies involving 8581 adults with CVD were included. The overall pooled mean eHEALS score was 24.26 (95% CI 21.19-27.32), with substantial heterogeneity (I2=98.4%; τ2=15.55; τ=3.94) and a wide 95% prediction interval (14.66-33.85). Lower DHL was consistently associated with older age, lower educational attainment, female sex, limited social support, and less experience with digital technologies. Higher DHL was associated with more favorable health-related outcomes, including health behaviors, better quality of life, and greater use and acceptance of digital health technologies. Subgroup analyses showed no statistically significant differences in DHL by region, disease type, or age group. The certainty of evidence was rated as low to very low, and substantial heterogeneity persisted across analyses.

CONCLUSIONS: Our findings underscore DHL as a foundational capability for digitally supported self-management in CVD care and reveal disparities associated with age and socioeconomic factors. By integrating evidence on DHL levels, associated factors, and DHL-related health outcomes in CVD populations, this review provides a more comprehensive, clinically relevant understanding of DHL beyond studies relying on a single instrument (eg, eHEALS) or examining isolated domains. DHL appears to be a context-dependent competency shaped by broader structural and social determinants. From a clinical and health system perspective, digital health interventions should be accompanied by structured digital inclusion strategies, including routine assessment of DHL and care delivery to patients’ digital capacities. Further longitudinal and interventional studies are warranted to clarify the causal pathways linking DHL to health outcomes in adults with CVD and to incorporate provider- and system-level perspectives beyond individual-level assessments.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews CRD420251068000; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/view/CRD420251068000.

PMID:41874540 | DOI:10.2196/89102