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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The effects of multi-disciplinary integrated care on healthcare utilization: Evidence from a natural experiment in the UK

Health Econ. 2022 Aug 6. doi: 10.1002/hec.4561. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Better integration is a priority for most international health systems. However, multiple interventions are often implemented simultaneously, making evaluation difficult and providing limited evidence for policy makers about specific interventions. We evaluate a common integrated care intervention, multi-disciplinary group (MDG) meetings for discussion of high-risk patients, introduced in one socio-economically deprived area in the UK in spring 2015. Using data from multiple waves of the national GP Patient Survey and Hospital Episode Statistics, we estimate its effects on primary and secondary care utilization and costs, health status and patient experience. We use triple differences, exploiting the targeting at people aged 65 years and over, parsing effects from other population-level interventions implemented simultaneously. The intervention reduced the probability of visiting a primary care nurse by three percentage points and decreased length of stay by 1 day following emergency care admission. However, since planned care use increased, overall costs were unaffected. MDG meetings are presumably fulfilling public health objectives by decreasing length of stay and detecting previously unmet needs. However, the effect of MDGs on health system cost is uncertain and health remains unchanged. Evaluations of specific integrated care interventions may be more useful to public decision makers facing budget constraints.

PMID:35932257 | DOI:10.1002/hec.4561

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Post-operative steroids in boys with histologically proven balanitis xerotica obliterans reduce the need for subsequent meatal dilatation

J Paediatr Child Health. 2022 Aug 6. doi: 10.1111/jpc.16145. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

AIM: Post-circumcision topical steroids may reduce the number of patients with balanitis xerotica obliterans (BXO) who require subsequent meatal dilatation. However, their use has only been investigated in the presence of an abnormal urethral meatus. The aim of this study is to determine if post-operative topical steroids reduce the need for subsequent meatal dilatation in patients with histologically proven BXO independent of the appearance of the urethral meatus. To determine if post-operative topical steroids reduce the need for subsequent meatal procedures in patients with histologically proven BXO. To determine if the appearance of the meatus at circumcision affects the need for subsequent meatal procedure.

METHODS: We performed a retrospective review of all paediatric patients with histologically confirmed BXO post circumcision. We excluded all those with ‘chronic inflammation’ or ‘early BXO’. Patients were divided into groups based on whether post-operative topical steroids were prescribed. The appearance of the urethral meatus at circumcision was recorded. Primary outcome was progression to subsequent meatal dilatation. Statistical significance was calculated using Fisher’s exact test. A P value < 0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS: One hundred and seventeen patients with histologically confirmed BXO were identified between October 2012 and December 2017. Fifty-nine patients were prescribed post-operative topical steroids (50%). Nine patients required subsequent meatal dilatation procedure (8%) and only one of these had been prescribed post-operative topical steroids (P = 0.0165). Abnormal meatus was noted in 24 (21%) patients. Three patients in this group required subsequent meatal dilatation compared with 6 in the group with a normal meatal appearance (P = 0.385).

CONCLUSIONS: Post-operative topical steroids can reduce the need for subsequent meatal dilatation in boys with BXO. The appearance of the urethral meatus at circumcision does not predict the need for subsequent meatal dilatation.

PMID:35932250 | DOI:10.1111/jpc.16145

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The Impact of a High School-Based Positive Youth Development Program on Sexual Health Outcomes: Results from a Randomized Controlled Trial

J Sch Health. 2022 Aug 6. doi: 10.1111/josh.13216. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Although positive youth development (PYD) programs have demonstrated effectiveness in improving adolescent reproductive health outcomes, there is a lack of evidence on effective school-based interventions designed especially for high school settings. This study examined the efficacy of Peer Group Connection (PGC-HS), a school-based PYD program, in improving sexual health outcomes for high school participants.

METHODS: A total of 1523 ninth-grade students at 18 schools were randomly assigned to be offered PGC-HS or a classes-as-usual control condition during 2016 to 2017 and 2017 to 2018 school years. Impacts were assessed on three confirmatory and 6 exploratory outcomes via self-reported participant questionnaire data collected at the beginning of 10th grade.

RESULTS: Although the offer of PGC-HS had no statistically detectable effect on confirmatory behavioral outcomes (sexual initiation, frequency of sex, and number of sexual partners) at 10th grade follow-up, causal impact estimates indicate that PGC-HS participants were less likely than control participants to ever have had vaginal sex. PGC-HS participants also scored higher on decision-making skills and perceived connection to peer connectedness.

CONCLUSIONS: Results suggest that by building social and emotional skills and helping students form supportive peer relationships, PGC-HS may encourage students to make healthier choices and avoid risky behaviors during a critical period in high school, thus, reducing the risk of pregnancy.

PMID:35932196 | DOI:10.1111/josh.13216

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Amide Proton Transfer Weighted MR Imaging for Predicting Meningioma Stiffness: A Feasibility Study

J Magn Reson Imaging. 2022 Aug 5. doi: 10.1002/jmri.28379. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Stiffness of meningioma is an important factor affecting the surgical resection and the prognosis of patients.

PURPOSE: To examine the feasibility of APTw-magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in evaluating meningioma stiffness.

STUDY TYPE: Retrospective.

POPULATION: Seventy-one patient with meningiomas, 39 were male and 32 were female; the mean age was 51 ± 10 years.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 3.0T; Turbo-spin-echo T1 -weighted and Gd-T1 -weighted sequence; Turbo-spin-echo T2 -weighted sequence; 2D fat-suppressed, turbo-spin-echo APTw pulse sequence.

ASSESSMENT: The T1 WI signal intensity score, T2 WI signal intensity score, APTwmin , APTwmax , and APTwmean values were compared between soft, medium stiff and stiff meningiomas or non-stiff meningiomas and stiff meningiomas group.

STATISTICAL TESTS: Chi-square test, one-way ANOVA analysis, independent-samples t-test, intra-class correlation coefficient, rank-sum test, receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant in all tests.

RESULTS: APTwmin and APTwmean in the stiff group were significantly lower than that in the non-stiff group (2.79% ± 0.42% vs. 1.90% ± 0.60% and 3.20% ± 0.31% vs. 2.55% ± 0.61%). APTwmin and APTwmean in the stiff group were significantly lower than that in the medium stiff and soft groups (1.90% ± 0.60% vs. 2.69% ± 0.40% and 3.12% ± 0.32%, 2.55% ± 0.61% vs. 3.17% ± 0.33% and 3.39% ± 0.18%), APTwmin in the medium stiff group was significantly lower than in the soft group, there was no significant difference in APTwmean between the medium stiff and soft groups (P = 0.190). APTwmin showed the best diagnostic performance for evaluating meningioma stiffness with an area under the curve of 0.913, when the APTwmin was lower than 2.4%, the meningioma was defined as a stiff tumor, the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 87.1%, 87.5%, and 85.9%, respectively.

DATA CONCLUSION: APTw-MRI could be used to evaluate meningioma stiffness, with APTwmin having the best evaluative efficiency.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 1.

PMID:35932167 | DOI:10.1002/jmri.28379

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Calculating the power to examine treatment-covariate interactions when planning an individual participant data meta-analysis of randomized trials with a binary outcome

Stat Med. 2022 Aug 5. doi: 10.1002/sim.9538. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Before embarking on an individual participant data meta-analysis (IPDMA) project, researchers and funders need assurance it is worth their time and cost. This should include consideration of how many studies are promising their IPD and, given the characteristics of these studies, the power of an IPDMA including them. Here, we show how to estimate the power of a planned IPDMA of randomized trials to examine treatment-covariate interactions at the participant level (ie, treatment effect modifiers). We focus on a binary outcome with binary or continuous covariates, and propose a three-step approach, which assumes the true interaction size is common to all trials. In step one, the user must specify a minimally important interaction size and, for each trial separately (eg, as obtained from trial publications), the following aggregate data: the number of participants and events in control and treatment groups, the mean and SD for each continuous covariate, and the proportion of participants in each category for each binary covariate. This allows the variance of the interaction estimate to be calculated for each trial, using an analytic solution for Fisher’s information matrix from a logistic regression model. Step 2 calculates the variance of the summary interaction estimate from the planned IPDMA (equal to the inverse of the sum of the inverse trial variances from step 1), and step 3 calculates the corresponding power based on a two-sided Wald test. Stata and R code are provided, and two examples given for illustration. Extension to allow for between-study heterogeneity is also considered.

PMID:35932153 | DOI:10.1002/sim.9538

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Use of copula to model within-study association in bivariate meta-analysis of binomial data at the aggregate level: A Bayesian approach and application to surrogate endpoint evaluation

Stat Med. 2022 Aug 5. doi: 10.1002/sim.9547. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Bivariate meta-analysis provides a useful framework for combining information across related studies and has been utilized to combine evidence from clinical studies to evaluate treatment efficacy on two outcomes. It has also been used to investigate surrogacy patterns between treatment effects on the surrogate endpoint and the final outcome. Surrogate endpoints play an important role in drug development when they can be used to measure treatment effect early compared to the final outcome and to predict clinical benefit or harm. The standard bivariate meta-analytic approach models the observed treatment effects on the surrogate and the final outcome outcomes jointly, at both the within-study and between-studies levels, using a bivariate normal distribution. For binomial data, a normal approximation on log odds ratio scale can be used. However, this method may lead to biased results when the proportions of events are close to one or zero, affecting the validation of surrogate endpoints. In this article, we explore modeling the two outcomes on the original binomial scale. First, we present a method that uses independent binomial likelihoods to model the within-study variability avoiding to approximate the observed treatment effects. However, the method ignores the within-study association. To overcome this issue, we propose a method using a bivariate copula with binomial marginals, which allows the model to account for the within-study association. We applied the methods to an illustrative example in chronic myeloid leukemia to investigate the surrogate relationship between complete cytogenetic response and event-free-survival.

PMID:35932152 | DOI:10.1002/sim.9547

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comparison of HIV-related Ocular Involvement in HAART-naive and HAART-treated Patients

J Coll Physicians Surg Pak. 2022 Aug;32(8):1033-1036. doi: 10.29271/jcpsp.2022.08.1033.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To compare the HIV-related ocular manifestations between HAART-naïve (Highly active antiretroviral therapy) and HAART-treated patients.

STUDY DESIGN: Observational (comparative) Study. Place and Duration of the Study: Department of Ophthalmology and Family Care Centre of Hayatabad Medical Complex, Peshawar, Pakistan, from October 2019 to July 2021.

METHODOLOGY: HIV-infected patients, who were receiving HAART treatment as well as HAART-naïve, were recruited. A complete ocular examination was performed to check for HIV-related ocular manifestations. Anterior and posterior segment findings were recorded and compared between the two groups.

RESULTS: Of the 80 participants (40 in each group), 62 (77.5%) were males and 18 (22.5) were females with no significant difference between the groups for either gender (p=1.0). A significant difference, between the two groups, was found in the mean duration (838.64 + 908.16 days) of HIV infection at the time of recruitment (p<0.001). HIV-related ocular manifestations were found in 6 (7.5%) with no statistically significant difference between the two groups (p=1.0). Similarly, the involvement of systemic co-infections was found in 6 (7.5%) with no statistically significant difference between the groups (p=0.675).

CONCLUSION: There was no difference in both groups when analysed for HIV-related ocular manifestations or systemic co-infections. The authors’ finding contradict with some of the previously published data. Therefore, it is recommended that further research should be carried out to reach definite conclusion.

KEY WORDS: HIV, Eye manifestations, Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome, Highly active antiretroviral therapy, HIV-related opportunistic infections, Pakistan.

PMID:35932128 | DOI:10.29271/jcpsp.2022.08.1033

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Vasogenic Edema Pattern in Brain Metastasis

J Coll Physicians Surg Pak. 2022 Aug;32(8):1020-1025. doi: 10.29271/jcpsp.2022.08.1020.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine the relationship of the presence and amount of vasogenic edema with origin, type, and grade of primary cancer.

STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional study.

PLACE AND DURATION OF STUDY: Dr. Abdurrahman Yurtaslan Ankara Oncology Training and Research Hospital, Radiology Clinic, Ankara, Turkey, from July 2017 to October 2021.

METHODOLOGY: Brain MRI scans of 292 patients were retrospectively evaluated. Age, gender, origin, type, and grade of primary cancer were determined. Metastasis type, and presence of vasogenic edema accompanying metastatic lesion were questioned. In cases of vasogenic edema accompanying metastatic lesions, the largest diameter of the vasogenic edema mass complex was measured in T2 sequences. In the contrast-enhanced series, the largest diameter of the metastatic lesion was measured, and the edema-mass ratio (EMR) was calculated by proportioning the diameter of the edema mass complex to the diameter of the mass.

RESULTS: The frequency of vasogenic edema was found higher in patients with lung cancer compared to other primaries. The EMR was found statistically significantly higher in patients with primary lung cancer (p=0.001). This was particularly evident in the adenocarcinoma group. In the patient group with primary breast cancer, EMR was found significantly lower in patients with invasive ductal carcinoma. (IDC→1.95±0.66 vs. Other→2.48±0.52, Z=-2.301, p=0.021).

CONCLUSION: The amount and presence of vasogenic edema in patients with brain metastases may differ according to the origin and type of primary tumour.

KEY WORDS: Brain edema, Metastatic disease, Magnetic resonance imaging.

PMID:35932126 | DOI:10.29271/jcpsp.2022.08.1020

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Flowcytometric Ratios of Immune Cells in the Prognosis and Staging of Acute Biliary Pancreatitis

J Coll Physicians Surg Pak. 2022 Aug;32(8):1004-1008. doi: 10.29271/jcpsp.2022.08.1004.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate several lymphocyte subtypes with various parameters that can be applied easily and give fast results for their roles in evaluating the stage and prognosis of acute biliary pancreatitis.

STUDY DESIGN: Case-control study.

PLACE AND DURATION OF STUDY: The Emergency Department of Istanbul Training and Research Hospital, and Gaziosmanpasa Research and Training Hospital, Turkey, between June 2020 and April 2021.

METHODOLOGY: Patients, who admitted to the Emergency Department with acute pancreatitis and treated after hospitalisation, were included in the study. The patients were divided into three groups; mild, moderately severe and severe, according to the 2012 revised Atlanta classification. Hematocrit, creatinine, potassium, sodium values, and flow cytometry ratios of lymphocyte, monocyte, CD4+, CD8+, and regulatory T cells were measured and the difference between the groups were evaluated. Their results were compared with healthy volunteers.

RESULTS: A total of 53 persons including 40 with acute pancreatitis (14 mild, 14 moderately severe, and 12 in the severe pancreatitis groups) and 13 healthy volunteers, were included in the study. The average age of the studied participants was 50.9 ±13.42 years, 43.3% males and 56.7% females. Leukocyte values, lymphocyte rates, hematocrit rates, age, hospital staying duration, creatinine, potassium values, CD4+, and CD3+ lymphocyte rates were found to be different at a statistically significant level between the groups.

CONCLUSION: High leukocyte, low lymphocyte, high hematocrit, advanced age, elevated creatinine, elevated potassium, low CD4+ T lymphocyte, low CD3+ T lymphocyte, and low lymphocyte/monocyte ratio were identified as poor prognostic indicators.

KEY WORDS: Acute pancreatitis, Flow cytometry, Regulatory T cell, Atlanta.

PMID:35932123 | DOI:10.29271/jcpsp.2022.08.1004

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Systemic Immune Inflammation Index as a Key Marker of Survival and Immune-related Adverse Events in Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Therapy

J Coll Physicians Surg Pak. 2022 Aug;32(8):996-1003. doi: 10.29271/jcpsp.2022.08.996.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prognostic significance of the new index designed by formulating neutrophil, lymphocyte, and platelet counts in patients with metastatic disease receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) and its effect on the immune-related adverse events (irAEs).

STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study.

PLACE AND DURATION OF STUDY: Department of Medical Oncology, University of Manisa Celal Bayar, University of Aydin Adnan Menderes, and University of Ege, and Izmir Kent Hospital, Turkey, from January 2016 to April 2020.

METHODOLOGY: Patients with metastatic disease receiving ICI sufficient follow-up data were included. Patients, who had received treatment for a minimum of 3 months, were evaluated for the response. Systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) was calculated as neutrophil (/L) × (lymphocyte (/L) / platelet (/L). The cut-off value was determined by examining the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the SII value. The endpoints of this study included overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS: A total of 168, patients who received ICI in the metastatic stage, were evaluated. The OS of the patients with low SII scores was 110.8 months (95% CI, 88.2-133.5), while patients with high SII scores were 36.0 months (95% CI, 28.4-43.6) and reached statistical significance (p <0.001). The results of univariate (HR=3.376, 95% CI, 1.986-5.739, p<0.001 and multivariate (HR=2.792, 95% CI, 1.495-5.215, p=0.011) analyses were statistically significant as well.

CONCLUSION: The SII score in patients with metastatic disease receiving ICI was closely related to the prognosis. Patients with a high SII score are associated with a worse prognosis, these patients develop fewer irAEs.

KEY WORDS: Systemic immune inflammation index, Overall survival, Progression-free survival, İmmune checkpoint inhibitor, Pembrolizumab, Nivolumab.

PMID:35932122 | DOI:10.29271/jcpsp.2022.08.996