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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Trends in Mortality From Parkinson Disease in the United States, 1999-2019

Neurology. 2021 Oct 27:10.1212/WNL.0000000000012826. doi: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000012826. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The mortality from Parkinson’s disease (PD) and its long-term trends in the United States remains unknow. This study aimed to describe the trends in PD mortality in the United States from 1999 to 2019.

METHODS: We used data from the National Vital Statistics System, a nationwide, population-based, death registry, to determine national trends in PD mortality, in overall and by age, sex, race/ethnicity, urban-rural classification and geographic location. Analyses focused on the data from 479,059 deaths due to PD from 1999 to 2019. Joinpoint regression was performed to examine temporal trends in age-standardized death rates.

RESULTS: The age-adjusted mortality from PD increased from 5.4 (95% CI, 5.3-5.5) per 100,000 population in 1999 to 8.8 (95% CI, 8.7-8.9) per 100,000 population in 2019, with an average annual percent change of 2.4% (95% CI, 1.8%-3.0%). From 1999 to 2019, PD mortality increased significantly across all age groups, both sexes, various racial/ethnic groups and different urban-rural classifications. The US states and District of Columbia with reported death rates experienced an increase in PD mortality. Significant differences by sex and race/ethnicity were noted. Age-adjusted PD mortality rates were twice as high in men as in women, and were greater in Whites than other racial/ethnic groups.

DISCUSSION: From 1999 to 2019, the mortality from PD in the United States has increased significantly. The increase was regardless of age, sex, race/ethnicity, urban-rural classification and geographic location. A comprehensive evaluation of long-term trends in PD mortality is important for health care priority setting.

PMID:34706971 | DOI:10.1212/WNL.0000000000012826

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Palliative care for people who use substances during communicable disease epidemics and pandemics: a scoping review protocol

BMJ Open. 2021 Oct 27;11(10):e053124. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-053124.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Communicable disease epidemics and pandemics magnify the health inequities experienced by marginalised populations. People who use substances suffer from high rates of morbidity and mortality and should be a priority to receive palliative care, yet they encounter many barriers to palliative care access. Given the pre-existing inequities to palliative care access for people with life-limiting illnesses who use substances, it is important to understand the impact of communicable disease epidemics and pandemics such as COVID-19 on this population.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will conduct a scoping review and report according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews reporting guidelines. We conducted a comprehensive literature search in seven bibliographical databases from the inception of each database to August 2020. We also performed a grey literature search to identify the publications not indexed in the bibliographical databases. All the searches will be rerun in April 2021 to retrieve recently published information because the COVID-19 pandemic is ongoing at the time of this writing. We will extract the quantitative data using a standardised data extraction form and summarise it using descriptive statistics. Additionally, we will conduct thematic qualitative analyses and present our findings as narrative summaries.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethics approval is not required for a scoping review. We will disseminate our findings to healthcare providers and policymakers through professional networks, digital communications through social media platforms, conference presentations and publication in a scientific journal.

PMID:34706961 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-053124

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Overall and COVID-19-specific citation impact of highly visible COVID-19 media experts: bibliometric analysis

BMJ Open. 2021 Oct 27;11(10):e052856. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-052856.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether the COVID-19 experts who appear most frequently in media have high citation impact for their research overall, and for their COVID-19 peer-reviewed publications in particular and to examine the representation of women among such experts.

DESIGN: Cross-linking of data sets of most highly visible COVID-19 media experts with citation data on the impact of their published work (career-long publication record and COVID-19-specific work).

SETTING: Cable news appearance in prime-time programming or overall media appearances.

PARTICIPANTS: Most highly visible COVID-19 media experts in the USA, Switzerland, Greece and Denmark.

INTERVENTIONS: None.

OUTCOME MEASURES: Citation data from Scopus along with discipline-specific ranks of overall career-long and COVID-19-specific impact based on a previously validated composite citation indicator.

RESULTS: We assessed 76 COVID-19 experts who were highly visible in US prime-time cable news, and 50, 12 and 2 highly visible experts in media in Denmark, Greece and Switzerland, respectively. Of those, 23/76, 10/50, 2/12 and 0/2 were among the top 2% of overall citation impact among scientists in the same discipline worldwide. Moreover, 37/76, 15/50, 7/12 and 2/2 had published anything on COVID-19 that was indexed in Scopus as of 30 August 2021. Only 18/76, 6/50, 2/12 and 0/2 of the highly visible COVID-19 media experts were women. 55 scientists in the USA, 5 in Denmark, 64 in Greece and 56 in Switzerland had a higher citation impact for their COVID-19 work than any of the evaluated highly visible media COVID-19 experts in the respective country; 10/55, 2/5, 22/64 and 14/56 of them were women.

CONCLUSIONS: Despite notable exceptions, there is a worrisome disconnect between COVID-19 claimed media expertise and scholarship. Highly cited women COVID-19 experts are rarely included among highly visible media experts.

PMID:34706959 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-052856

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Challenges and solutions: surveying researchers on what type of community engagement and involvement activities are feasible in low and middle income countries during the COVID-19 pandemic

BMJ Open. 2021 Oct 27;11(10):e052135. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-052135.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Measures to limit the spread of infection during the COVID-19 global pandemic have made engaging and involving members of the community in global health research more challenging. This research aimed to explore how global health researchers adapted to the imposed pandemic measures in low and middle income countries (LMICs) and how they overcame challenges to effective community engagement and involvement (CEI).

DESIGN: A qualitative two-stage mixed-methods study involving an online survey and a virtual round table.

SETTING: The survey and round table were completed online.

PARTICIPANTS: Of 53 participants, 43 were LMIC-based or UK-based global health researchers and/or CEI professionals, and 10 worked for the National Institute for Health Research or UK Government’s Department of Health and Social Care.

OUTCOME MEASURES: This study aimed to capture data on: the number of CEI activities halted and adapted because of the COVID-19 pandemic; where CEI is possible; how it has been adapted; what the challenges and successes were; and the potential impact of adapted or halted CEI on global health research.

RESULTS: Pandemic control measures forced the majority of researchers to stop or amend their planned CEI activities. Most face-to-face CEI activities were replaced with remote methods, such as online communication. Virtual engagement enabled researchers to maintain already established relationships with community members, but was less effective when developing new relationships or addressing challenges around the inclusion of marginalised community groups.

CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 has highlighted the need for contingency planning and flexibility in CEI. The redesigning and adopting of remote methods has come with both advantages and disadvantages, and required new skills, access to technology, funding, reliable services and enthusiasm from stakeholders. The methods suggested have the potential to augment or substitute previously preferred CEI activities. The effectiveness and impact of these remote CEI activities need to be assessed.

PMID:34706957 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-052135

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Evaluation of sweating responses in patients with collagen disease using the quantitative sudomotor axon reflex test (QSART): a study protocol for an investigator-initiated, prospective, observational clinical study

BMJ Open. 2021 Oct 27;11(10):e050690. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050690.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Sweat secretion is controlled by the sympathetic nervous system and is less active during winter than in the summer. Raynaud’s phenomenon is affected by an excessive strain of the sympathetic nerves after exposure to a cold environment, thus reducing the quality of life of patients with collagen disease. Herein, we focus on the eccrine sweat glands that receive both adrenergic and cholinergic innervation. Our hypothesis is that excessive activation of sympathetic nerve in Raynaud’s phenomenon can affect sweating, especially in winter. This study is designed to evaluate the neuroactive sweating responses in patients with collagen disease and to assess its association with skin findings in peripheral circulatory disorders.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The study will be conducted at a single centre in Japan. Patients with systemic sclerosis, Sjogren’s syndrome, systemic lupus erythematosus, mixed connective tissue disease, and dermatomyositis will be assessed using the quantitative sudomotor axon reflex test. The primary outcomes will be sweat volume and reaction time due to axon reflex and the Raynaud’s condition score. The secondary outcomes will include patient background, skin symptoms (digital ulcers, pernio-like eruptions, subcutaneous calcifications, telangiectasia, nailfold capillary dilatation/bleeding and degree of skin sclerosis) and skin surface temperature. Evaluation will be done two times, during the summer and winter, allowing for the assessment of seasonal differences in sweating responses.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval of this study was certified by the clinical research review board of Nagasaki University Hospital (Reference number: CRB19-001). We will disseminate the findings of this study through peer-reviewed publications and conference presentations.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: jRCTs072190009; pre-results.

PMID:34706954 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050690

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Response to cardiac resynchronisation therapy in men and women: a secondary analysis of the SMART-AV randomised controlled trial

BMJ Open. 2021 Oct 27;11(10):e049017. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049017.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: There is a controversy about whether both sexes’ response to cardiac resynchronisation therapy (CRT) is similar. We aimed to assess a causal effect of sex on CRT response.

DESIGN: Secondary analysis of a randomised controlled trial (RCT) data. Doubly robust augmented-inverse-probability-weighted (AIPW) estimation of sex effect on CRT response.

SETTING: The SmartDelay Determined Atrioventricular (AV) Optimisation (SMART-AV) RCT.

PARTICIPANTS: The SMART-AV RCT enrolled New York Heart Association class III-IV patients with heart failure (HF) with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤35% despite optimal medical therapy and QRS duration ≥120 ms, in sinus rhythm. After exclusion of those with missing outcome or covariates, 741 participants (age 66±11 years; 33% female; 78% white; LVEF 28%±9%; 58% ischaemic cardiomyopathy; 75% left bundle branch block; left ventricular end-systolic volume index (LVESVI) 65±30 mL/m2) were included.

INTERVENTIONS: Implanted CRT defibrillator with randomly assigned AV delay as either (1) fixed at 120 ms, or (2) echocardiography-determined, or (3) SmartDelay algorithm-programmed.

OUTCOME: A composite of freedom from death and HF hospitalisation and a >15% reduction in LVESVI at 6 month post-CRT was the endpoint.

RESULTS: The primary endpoint was met by 337 patients (45.5%); 134 were women (55.6% response) and 203 were men (40.6% response); p<0.0001. After conditioning for 33 covariates that included baseline demographic, clinical, ECG, echocardiographic and biomarker characteristics, known predictors of CRT response, logistic regression showed a higher probability for composite CRT response for women versus men (OR 1.79; 95% CI 1.08 to 2.98; p<0.0001), whereas AIPW estimation showed no difference in CRT response (average treatment effect 0.88; 95% CI 0.41 to 1.89; p=0.739). After removing colliders from the model, both logistic regression (OR 1.00; 95% CI 0.69 to 1.44) and AIPW (ATE 1.06; 95% CI 0.96 to 1.16) reported similar results.

CONCLUSIONS: Both sexes’ response to CRT is similar. Sex differences in HF substrate, treatment and comorbidities explain sex disparities in CRT outcomes.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier; NCT00677014.

PMID:34706949 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049017

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Cohort study of intervened functionally univentricular heart in England and Wales (2000-2018)

Heart. 2021 Oct 27:heartjnl-2021-319677. doi: 10.1136/heartjnl-2021-319677. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Given the paucity of long-term outcome data for complex congenital heart disease (CHD), we aimed to describe the treatment pathways and survival for patients who started interventions for functionally univentricular heart (FUH) conditions, excluding hypoplastic left heart syndrome.

METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using all procedure records from the National Congenital Heart Diseases Audit for children born in 2000-2018. The primary outcome was mortality, ascertained from the Office for National Statistics in 2020.

RESULTS: Of 53 615 patients, 1557 had FUH: 55.9% were boys and 67.4% were of White ethnic groups. The largest diagnostic categories were tricuspid atresia (28.9%), double inlet left ventricle (21.0%) and unbalanced atrioventricular septal defect (AVSD) (15.2%). The ages at staged surgery were: initial palliation 11.5 (IQR 5.5-43.5) days, cavopulmonary shunt 9.2 (IQR 6.0-17.1) months and Fontan 56.2 (IQR 45.5-70.3) months. The median follow-up time was 10.8 (IQR 7.0-14.9) years and the 1, 5 and 10-year survival rates after initial palliation were 83.6% (95% CI 81.7% to 85.4%), 79.4% (95% CI 77.3% to 81.4%) and 77.2% (95% CI 75.0% to 79.2%), respectively. Higher hazards were present for unbalanced AVSD HR 2.75 (95% CI 1.82 to 4.17), atrial isomerism HR 1.75 (95% CI 1.14 to 2.70) and low weight HR 1.65 (95% CI 1.13 to 2.41), critical illness HR 2.30 (95% CI 1.67 to 3.18) or acquired comorbidities HR 2.71 (95% CI 1.82 to 4.04) at initial palliation.

CONCLUSION: Although treatment pathways for FUH are complex and variable, nearly 8 out of 10 children survived to 10 years. Longer-term analyses of outcome based on diagnosis (rather than procedure) can inform parents, patients and clinicians, driving practice improvements for complex CHD.

PMID:34706904 | DOI:10.1136/heartjnl-2021-319677

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Equity of geographical access to public health facilities in Nepal

BMJ Glob Health. 2021 Oct;6(10):e006786. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2021-006786.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Geographical accessibility is important against health equity, particularly for less developed countries as Nepal. It is important to identify the disparities in geographical accessibility to the three levels of public health facilities across Nepal, which has not been available.

METHODS: Based on the up-to-date dataset of Nepal formal public health facilities in 2021, we measured the geographical accessibility by calculating the travel time to the nearest public health facility of three levels (ie, primary, secondary and tertiary) across Nepal at 1×1 km2 resolution under two travel modes: walking and motorised. Gini and Theil L index were used to assess the inequality. Potential locations of new facilities were identified for best improvement of geographical efficiency or equality.

RESULTS: Both geographical accessibility and its equality were better under the motorised mode compared with the walking mode. If motorised transportation is available to everyone, the population coverage within 5 min to any public health facilities would be improved by 62.13%. The population-weighted average travel time was 17.91 min, 39.88 min and 69.23 min and the Gini coefficients 0.03, 0.18 and 0.42 to the nearest primary, secondary and tertiary facilities, respectively, under motorised mode. For primary facilities, low accessibility was found in the northern mountain belt; for secondary facilities, the accessibility decreased with increased distance from the district centres; and for tertiary facilities, low accessibility was found in most areas except the developed areas like zonal centres. The potential locations of new facilities differed for the three levels of facilities. Besides, the majority of inequalities of geographical accessibility were from within-province.

CONCLUSION: The high-resolution geographical accessibility maps and the assessment of inequality provide valuable information for health resource allocation and health-related planning in Nepal.

PMID:34706879 | DOI:10.1136/bmjgh-2021-006786

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Body composition and osteoporotic fracture using anthropometric prediction equations to assess muscle and fat masses

J Cachexia Sarcopenia Muscle. 2021 Oct 27. doi: 10.1002/jcsm.12850. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Obesity is protective of bone health; however, abdominal obesity is associated with a higher fracture risk. Little is known about whether body composition protects or adversely affects osteoporotic fractures because of practical issues regarding assessment tools. This study aimed to evaluate the association of predicted body composition with fracture risk to determine the distinctive and differing effects of muscle or fat mass on bone health outcomes in the general population.

METHODS: This population-based, longitudinal cohort study used 2009-2010 Korean National Health Insurance Service data and follow-up data from 1 January 2011 to 31 December 2013, to determine the incidence of osteoporotic fracture (total, spine, and non-spine) defined using the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes. The study participants were aged ≥50 years (men, 158 426; women, 131 587). The predicted lean body mass index (pLBMI), appendicular skeletal muscle index (pASMI), and body fat mass index (pBFMI) were used to assess body composition, using anthropometric prediction equations.

RESULTS: Over a 3 year follow-up, we identified 2350 and 6175 fractures in men and women, respectively. The mean age of the participants was 60.2 ± 8.3 and 60.7 ± 8.4 years in men and women, respectively. In a multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression model, increasing pLBMI or pASMI was significantly associated with a decreased risk of total fractures in men and women. When comparing individuals in the lowest pLBMI and pASMI (reference groups), men with the highest pLBMI and pASMI had adjusted hazard ratios of 0.63 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.47-0.83] and 0.62 (95% CI 0.47-0.82), and women with the highest pLBMI and pASMI had adjusted hazard ratios of 0.72 (95% CI 0.60-0.85) and 0.71 (95% CI 0.60-0.85), respectively, for total fractures. The pBFMI had no significant association with total fractures in men or women. Regarding sex-specific or site-specific differences, the protective effects of the pLBMI and pASMI on fractures were greater in men and reduced the risk of spinal fractures. An increased pBFMI was associated with an increased risk of spinal fractures in women.

CONCLUSIONS: An increased pLBMI or pASMI was significantly associated with decreased total osteoporotic fracture risk; however, the pBFMI showed no statistically significant association. Muscle mass was more important than fat mass in preventing future osteoporotic fractures based on anthropometric prediction equations.

PMID:34706399 | DOI:10.1002/jcsm.12850

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Is anterior subcapital shortening osteotomy a reliable and reproducible technique in the treatment of severe slipped capital femoral epiphysis?

Orthop Traumatol Surg Res. 2021 Oct 24:103132. doi: 10.1016/j.otsr.2021.103132. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Proximal femoral shortening osteotomies are becoming the treatment of choice for severe slipped capital femoral epiphysis (SCFE) to reduce the risk of femoroacetabular impingement. The reported rates of complication seem reasonable, but these are single-operator series with surgeons highly experienced in this technique. The purpose of this study was to assess how surgeon experience impacted the outcomes of anterior subcapital shortening osteotomy (ASSO) in severe SCFE.

HYPOTHESIS: The hypothesis was that ASSO is a reproducible technique that is accessible to junior surgeons.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: All ASSOs performed for severe SCFE (slip angle >40°) between 2015 and 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. All osteotomies were performed by surgeons with less than 4 years’ experience (senior residents), who were trained by a senior surgeon experienced in this technique (Group 1). The incidence of femoral head avascular necrosis (AVN) and complications were analyzed and compared to a historical control cohort (Group 2).

RESULTS: A total of 62 SCFEs (37 unstable and 25 stable) were analyzed. Both groups had similar demographic data and SCFE characteristics. The mean operative times were statistically comparable in both groups. The rates of AVN in unstable SCFEs and in the overall series were comparable in both groups (18.9% vs. 13.3%, P =.55 and 12.9% vs. 9.7%, P =.60). These rates were comparable in the stable forms (4.0% vs. 5.4%; P = 1). However, the preoperative MRI in Group 1 showed that 42.8% of unstable hips that developed AVN were already hypoperfused before surgery. The overall rate of complication showed no significant difference between the 2 groups (26% vs. 17%, P =.16).

DISCUSSION: Although ASSO is a technically demanding procedure, it is reliable and reproducible. The main risk factor for developing AVN remains the unstable nature of SCFE and not the surgeon’s experience. It can be performed by trained junior surgeons, but not in an emergency setting, with the possibility of assistance from a more experienced surgeon.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: IV; retrospective case study.

PMID:34706290 | DOI:10.1016/j.otsr.2021.103132