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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Predicting of elderly population structure and density by a novel grey fractional-order model with theta residual optimization: a case study of Shanghai City, China

BMC Geriatr. 2023 Sep 16;23(1):568. doi: 10.1186/s12877-023-04197-2.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Accurately predicting the future development trend of population aging is conducive to accelerating the development of the elderly care industry. This study constructed a combined optimization grey prediction model to predict the structure and density of elderly population.

METHODS: In this paper, a GT-FGM model is proposed, which combines Theta residual optimization with fractional-order accumulation operator. Fractional-order accumulation can effectively weaken the randomness of the original data sequence. Meanwhile, Theta residual optimization can adjust parameter by minimizing the mean absolute error. And the population statistics of Shanghai city from 2006 to 2020 were selected for prediction analysis. By comparing with the other traditional grey prediction methods, three representative error indexes (MAE, MAPE, RMSE) were conducting for error analysis.

RESULTS: Compared with the FGM model, GM (1,1) model, Verhulst model, Logistic model, SES and other classical prediction methods, the GT-FGM model shows significant forecasting advantages, and its multi-step rolling prediction accuracy is superior to other prediction methods. The results show that the elderly population density in nine districts in Shanghai will exceed 0.5 by 2030, among which Huangpu District has the highest elderly population density, reaching 0.6825. There has been a steady increase in the elderly population over the age of 60.

CONCLUSIONS: The GT-FGM model can improve the prediction accuracy effectively. The elderly population in Shanghai shows a steady growth trend on the whole, and the differences between districts are obvious. The government should build a modern pension industry system according to the aging degree of the population in each region, and promote the balanced development of each region.

PMID:37716937 | DOI:10.1186/s12877-023-04197-2

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Serum long noncoding RNA H19/micro RNA-675-5p axis as a probable diagnostic biomarker in inflammatory bowel disease

Mol Biol Rep. 2023 Sep 16. doi: 10.1007/s11033-023-08777-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: A significant body of research strengthens the starring role of long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) and microRNAs (miRNAs) in the pathogenesis of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Here, we investigated the diagnostic utility of lncRNA H19 and miRNA-675-5p in IBD.

METHODS: This study included 97 participants, thirty-five ulcerative colitis patients, thirty-two Crohn’s disease patients, and thirty IBD-free controls. History, staging, laboratory investigations, and colonoscopy were performed. Also, quantitative real-time PCR (qPCR) for revealing of lncRNA H19 and miRNA-675-5p was done.

RESULTS: The estimated serum levels for H19 and miRNA-675-5p in the UC and CD groups in comparison to the control group showed a high statistical difference (P = 0.0001 for each parameter). Based upon the severity of UC patients, both biomarkers showed significantly higher values between remission and moderate cases, with p-values 0.022 and 0.02, respectively. Meanwhile, in CD patients, both biomarkers revealed no statistical significance between remission and any active stage of the disease. Additionally, ROC analysis revealed that H19 could discriminate between UC and control subjects with 94.3% sensitivity and 90.0% specificity, and with 87.5% sensitivity, and 88.5% specificity in the CD group. Furthermore, miR-675-5p was able to discriminate between UC and control subjects with 85.7% sensitivity and 97.3% specificity and with 88.4% sensitivity, 95.2% specificity in the CD group. Logistic regression found a significant predictive utility of using miR-675-5p and H19 in IBD.

CONCLUSION: H19 and miRNA-675-5p can be used as diagnostic biomarkers in IBD, with superiority in UC patients with moderate activity.

PMID:37716920 | DOI:10.1007/s11033-023-08777-8

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The role of galectin-3 in patients with permanent and paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation and echocardiographic parameters of left atrial fibrosis

Mol Biol Rep. 2023 Sep 16. doi: 10.1007/s11033-023-08774-x. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Biochemical markers and imaging tests have been used with the aim of stratifying the risk and detecting atrial fibrosis. Speckle-tracking echocardiography (STE) is used for the detection of atrial fibrosis and Gal-3 provides an important prognostic value. The objective of the study was to assess the association between atrial fibrosis markers and serum levels, genetic polymorphisms and genic expression of galectin-3.

METHODS: 206 patients with permanent AF and 70 patients with paroxysmal AF were included in the study. Real time PCR (TaqMan) system was used to study SNPs rs4652 and 4644 of the gene LGALS3. Serum levels of Gal-3 were determined by ELISA and STE was performed to assess fibrosis.

RESULTS: Mean age of individuals with permanent AF was 66.56 ± 12 years. As for the echocardiography results, those patients showed an decrease in the following parameters peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS) (p = 0.002) when compared to the same parameters from the paroxysmal AF group of patients. There was a correlation between serum levels of Gal-3 and PALS in the group of patients with permanent AF; the lower the levels of gal-3, the lower the LA strain (r = 0.24; p = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS: Echocardiographic findings showed association with the groups, and with serum levels of Gal-3 in patients with permanent AF. The distribution of allelic and genotypic frequencies, and of the haplotypes of polymorphism LGALS3 rs4652 and rs4644 did not present statistical variation, which suggests that those SNPs are not associated with the AF clinical forms (permanent and paroxysmal).

PMID:37716919 | DOI:10.1007/s11033-023-08774-x

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Comparison of artifact values of prosthodontic materials with 2 different cone beam computed tomography devices

J Prosthet Dent. 2023 Sep 14:S0022-3913(23)00505-X. doi: 10.1016/j.prosdent.2023.08.003. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

STATEMENT OF PROBLEM: Prosthodontic materials may cause unexpected artifacts in cone beam computed tomography (CBCT) images, but studies quantifying these artifacts are sparse.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this in vitro study was to compare the artifact expression of fixed prosthodontic materials with different CBCT devices.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: Ten prosthodontic materials (Co-Cr-Mo alloy, interim acrylic resin, polyetheretherketone, feldspathic ceramic, lithium disilicate glass-ceramic, zirconia-reinforced lithium silicate ceramic, zircon core, and 3 monolithic zirconias) were scanned with 2 CBCT devices. The materials were placed in polymethyl methacrylate resin to simulate clinical conditions. To assess the impact of the devices on artifacts, the gray values of 8 areas in each material image were analyzed. The data were analyzed with the Kruskal-Wallis and Wilcoxon Signed-Rank tests (α=.05).

RESULTS: Statistically significant differences were found in the artifact expression of the materials (P<.001) and between CBCT devices (P<.001).

CONCLUSIONS: The artifact expression of polymeric and ceramic materials in CBCT images was less than that of other materials. The milliampere-second (mAs) value of CBCT devices had a significant impact on the artifact level.

PMID:37716900 | DOI:10.1016/j.prosdent.2023.08.003

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Oral microbial colonization on titanium and polyetheretherketone dental implant healing abutments: An in vitro and in vivo study

J Prosthet Dent. 2023 Sep 14:S0022-3913(23)00538-3. doi: 10.1016/j.prosdent.2023.08.010. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

STATEMENT OF PROBLEM: Although polyetheretherketone (PEEK) implant healing abutments have become popular because of their esthetic, mechanical, and chemical properties, studies analyzing oral polymicrobial adhesion to PEEK abutments are lacking.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this in vitro and in vivo study was to evaluate oral microbial adhesion and colonization on titanium (Ti) and PEEK healing abutments.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: Ti (N=35) and PEEK substrates (N=35) were evaluated in vitro in terms of the initial adhesion (1 hour) or biofilm accumulation (48 hours) of Candida albicans and a polymicrobial inoculum using stimulated human saliva to mimic a diverse oral microbiome. Surface decontamination ability was evaluated after 24 hours of in vitro biofilm formation after exposure to an erbium-doped yttrium aluminum garnet (Er:YAG) laser. Conventional and flowable composite resin veneering on PEEK was also tested for microbial adhesion. In addition, an in vivo model with 3 healthy volunteers was conducted by using a palatal appliance containing the tested materials (3 or 4 specimens of each material per appliance) for 2 days to evaluate the effect of substrate on the microbial profile. Biofilms were evaluated by live cell counts and scanning electron microscopy images, and the microbial profile by Checkerboard deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA)-DNA hybridization. The t test and Mann-Whitney test were used to compare the groups (α=.05).

RESULTS: PEEK and Ti materials showed similar fungal adhesion (P>.05). Although the PEEK surface limited the initial in vitro polymicrobial adhesion (approximately 2 times less) compared with Ti (P=.040), after 48 hours of biofilm accumulation, the microbial load was statistically similar (P=.209). Er:YAG laser decontamination was more effective on PEEK than on Ti surfaces, reducing approximately 11 times more microbial accumulation (P=.019). Both composite resins tested showed similar microbial adhesion (1 hour). In vivo, the PEEK material showed reduced levels of 6 bacterial species (P<.05), including the putative pathogen Treponema denticola.

CONCLUSIONS: Although PEEK and Ti had similar bacterial and fungus biofilm attachment and accumulation, PEEK promoted a host-compatible microbial profile with a significantly reduced T. denticola load.

PMID:37716897 | DOI:10.1016/j.prosdent.2023.08.010

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Reinke’s Edema: New Insights into Voice Analysis, a Retrospective Study

J Voice. 2023 Sep 14:S0892-1997(23)00249-7. doi: 10.1016/j.jvoice.2023.08.008. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Reinke’s edema (RE) is a pathological condition involving increased volume of the vocal folds and resulting in significant impact on speech, fundamental frequency, and vocal range. Literature reports few studies which analyze vocal features according to the severity of RE. The aims of this study were to investigate the aerodynamics, acoustic characteristics, and sound spectrograms of a group of RE patients and to assess whether there was any correlation with their endoscopic grading.

METHODS: A total of 98 patients were included in the study, 49 patients with RE and 49 healthy volunteers (HV). Multidimensional Voice Program was used to perform objective voice assessment. Maximum phonation time (MPT) and Voice Handicap Index (VHI) questionnaire were collected. The spectrograms of the vowel /a/ and of the word /aiuole/, which contains the five Italian vowels, of each patient were analyzed according to the classification of Yanaghiara modified by Ricci Maccarini and De Colle. Laryngological assessment was used to record vocal folds morphology according to Yonekawa’s classification. Univariate analysis was used to compare group outcomes. Bivariate analysis was used to compare endoscopic grading and voice analysis results.

RESULTS: Univariate analysis of the HV and RE groups revealed statistically significant differences (P < 0.05) for the following parameters: jitter%, shimmer%, harmonic-to-noise ratio (NHR), voice turbulence index (VTI), MPT, VHI except for soft phonation index. Spearman’s rank correlation showed a positive correlation between vocal parameters such as jitter%, shimmer%, NHR, VTI, and RE gradings. A negative correlation was found between MPT and RE gradings. Bivariate analysis indicated a strong positive correlation between RE grading and the spectrogram classification performed both with the vowel / a / (Rho 0.86; P = 0.0001) and with the word / aiuole / (Rho 0.81; P = 0.0001).

CONCLUSION: The present study demonstrates that patients with RE have different voice characteristics compared to HV. In particular, the voice analysis highlighted acoustic parameters that correlated to differing degrees of RE. In addition, spectrogram analysis should be considered for acoustic assessments before and after medical and surgical therapy and also in forensic medicine.

PMID:37716890 | DOI:10.1016/j.jvoice.2023.08.008

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

A foot structure study of new arch flexibility grading system based on three-dimensional arch volume

Chin J Traumatol. 2023 Sep 4:S1008-1275(23)00090-1. doi: 10.1016/j.cjtee.2023.09.002. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Different arch structures may cause different foot function injuries. In the past, the arch structure and flexibility of the foot were often defined by the height of the arch, and there was no three-dimensional structure classification method. In order to form a more complete three-dimensional description, we propose a new classification system of arch volume flexibility, and then use this new classification system to investigate the relationship between the arch volume flexibility (AVF) and arch index (AI), and the arch height flexibility (AHF) and AI, respectively.

METHODS: It is proposed to recruit 180 young male adults for the test. We obtained arch volume and AI through three-dimensional scanning and obtained the navicular height through manual measurement. Based on these data, we calculated the AHF and the AVF. Using the quintile method, these arches are divided into very stiff, stiff, neutral, flexible, and very flexible. According to AI value, all arches were divided into cavus, rectus, and planus. The distribution of AVF was compared using χ2 goodness of fit test. The spearman correlation test was used to compare the AHF and AVF. A p < 0.05 indicates that the difference is statistically significant.

RESULTS: All participants’ plantar data was obtained through three-dimensional scanning, but only 159 of them were complete, so only 318 feet had valid data. The left AHF is (21.23 ± 12.91) mm/kN, and the right AHF is (21.71 ± 12.69) mm/kN. The AVF of the left foot arch is (207.35 ± 118.28) m3/kg, while the right one is (203.00 ± 117.92) m3/kg, and the total AVF of the arch was (205.17 ± 117.94) m3/kg. There was no statistical difference in the AVF between the left and right feet for the same participant (n = 159, p = 0.654). In cavus, the percentage of arch with AVF is 21% (very stiff), 21% (stiff), 14% (neutral), 7% (flexible), and 36% (very flexible). In rectus, the percentage of arch with AVF is 24% (very stiff), 20% (stiff), 15% (neutral), 25% (flexible), and 17% (very flexible). In planus, the percentage of arch with AVF is 15% (very stiff), 21% (stiff), 27% (neutral), 16% (flexible), and 21% (very flexible). Moreover, the correlation between AHF and AVF is not significant (p = 0.060).

CONCLUSION: In cavus, rectus, and planus, different AVF accounts different percentage, but the difference is not statistically significant. AVF is evenly distributed in the arches of the feet at different heights. We further found the relationship between AHF and AVF is not significant. As a three-dimensional index, AVF may be able to describe the flexibility of the arch more comprehensively than AHF.

PMID:37716873 | DOI:10.1016/j.cjtee.2023.09.002

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Who benefits from resuscitative thoracotomies following penetrating trauma: The patient or the learner?

Injury. 2023 Sep 12:111033. doi: 10.1016/j.injury.2023.111033. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Resuscitative thoracotomy (RT) is a salvage procedure following traumatic cardiac arrest. We aim to evaluate RT trends and outcomes in adults with cardiac arrest following penetrating trauma to determine the effect on mortality in this population. Further, we aim to estimate the effect of hospital teaching status on the performance of resuscitative thoracotomies and mortality.

METHODS: We reviewed the National Trauma Data Bank (2017-2021) for adults (≥16 years old) with penetrating trauma and prehospital cardiac arrest, stratified by the performance of a RT. We performed multivariable logistic regressions to estimate the effect of RT on mortality and the effect of hospital teaching status on the performance of resuscitative thoracotomies and mortality.

RESULTS: 13,115 patients met our inclusion criteria. RT occurred in 12.7% (n = 1,664) of patients. Rates of RT trended up over the study period. Crude mortality was similar in RT and Non-RT patients (95.6% vs. 94.5%, p = 0.07). There was no statistically significant difference in the adjusted odds of mortality based on RT status (OR 0.82, 95%CI 0.56-1.21). University-teaching hospitals had an adjusted odds ratio of 1.68 (95% CI 1.31-2.17) for performing a RT than non-teaching hospitals. There was no difference in the adjusted odds of mortality in patients that underwent RT based on hospital teaching status.

CONCLUSION: Despite up-trending rates, a resuscitative thoracotomy may not improve mortality in adults with penetrating, traumatic cardiac arrest. University teaching hospitals are nearly twice as likely to perform a RT than non-teaching hospitals, with no subsequent improvement in mortality.

PMID:37716863 | DOI:10.1016/j.injury.2023.111033

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Development, Implementation, and Assessment of a Quality, Research, Education, and Wellness (QREW) Professional Development Lecture Series for Radiology Faculty

Curr Probl Diagn Radiol. 2023 Aug 26:S0363-0188(23)00124-X. doi: 10.1067/j.cpradiol.2023.08.008. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: Professional development is important to academic radiologists. We developed, implemented, and assessed an internal professional development lecture series focusing on the non-interpretative themes of Quality, Research, Education, and Wellness (QREW).

MATERIALS AND METHODS: The faculty of a 29-member abdominal radiology division at an academic hospital were invited to deliver 1-hour virtual lectures on noninterpretative topics to division colleagues. Topics were curated by division leadership based on the perceived needs of faculty. Anonymous feedback was collected from attendees for quality improvement purposes and analyzed using descriptive statistics and Fisher’s exact test.

RESULTS: Over 17 months, 13 QREW lectures were delivered. In total, 91 feedback forms were completed by faculty (mean 7 forms, range 2-12 per session). Of these, 57 responses (63%) were by those <7 years post training (“junior faculty”), 34 responses (37%) by those ≥ 7 years from training (“senior faculty”). Most respondents reported low levels of prior instruction (80/90, 89%) and personal knowledge (49/91, 54%) on topics. Compared to senior faculty, a greater proportion of junior faculty reported less prior instruction (73% vs 98%, P < 0.001) and less personal knowledge (32% vs 65%, P < 0.01). Most respondents agreed or strongly agreed that the topics were important to their clinical practice (87/90, 97%), professional development (86/90, 96%), and personal well-being (82/91, 90%). Faculty identified the QREW program as a major contributor to their professional development.

CONCLUSION: A noninterpretative professional development lecture series delivered by radiology faculty in a virtual, interactive format is feasible and effective, particularly for junior faculty.

PMID:37716856 | DOI:10.1067/j.cpradiol.2023.08.008

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The relationship between health-related knowledge and attitudes and health risk behaviours among Portuguese university students

Glob Health Promot. 2023 Sep 16:17579759231195561. doi: 10.1177/17579759231195561. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Scientific evidence reveals a high prevalence of health risk behaviour among university students. This calls for the creation of educational programmes that promote more knowledge about health. However, knowledge alone is not enough to change behaviours; other factors should be considered, including attitudes towards health. The objective of this cross-sectional study was to analyse the relationship between knowledge, attitudes and health risk behaviours among university students. For this, a previously validated self-report questionnaire was applied to a stratified sample of 840 students, by year of study (first- and third-year students) and their scientific area. In addition to sociodemographic issues, the questionnaire contains a health-related knowledge scale, an attitudes towards health scale, and questions about health risk behaviours. Students displayed poor knowledge about health, correctly answering 17.77 (SD = 4.59) questions out of a total of 36, and moderate scores concerning attitudes towards health (M = 2.61, SD = 0.48, range: 1-5). Students reported always engaging in, on average, 3.88 (SD = 1.45) of the seven behaviours subject to the analysis. Mediation analyses indicated that knowledge about health and attitudes towards health were statistically significant predictors of risky behaviours. Furthermore, it was indicated that attitudes towards health have a mediating effect between health knowledge and health risk behaviours. Findings from this study indicate that public health and education policies should promote healthy behaviours among university students, taking into account not only the level of knowledge but essentially the development of positive attitudes when facing behaviours which put health at risk.

PMID:37715622 | DOI:10.1177/17579759231195561