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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Systematic Assessment of Medical Diagnoses Preceding the First Diagnosis of Multiple Sclerosis

Neurology. 2021 Apr 26:10.1212/WNL.0000000000012074. doi: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000012074. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To explore the occurrence of diseases and symptoms in the five years prior to diagnosis in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) in a case-control study.

METHODS: Using ambulatory claims data we systematically assessed differences in the occurrence of diseases and symptoms in the five years prior to first diagnosis in patients with MS (n=10,262) as compared to patients with two other autoimmune diseases – Crohn’s disease (n=15,502) and psoriasis (n=98,432) – and individuals without these diseases (n=73,430).

RESULTS: Forty-three ICD-10 codes were recorded more frequently for patients with MS before diagnosis as compared to controls without autoimmune disease. Many of these findings were confirmed in a comparison to the other control groups. A high proportion of these ICD-10 codes represent symptoms suggestive of demyelinating events or other neurological diagnoses. In a sensitivity analysis excluding patients with such recordings prior to first diagnosis, no association remained significant. Seven ICD-10 codes were associated with lower odds ratios of MS, four of which represented upper respiratory tract infections. Here, the relations with MS were even more pronounced in the sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSIONS: Our analyses suggest that patients with MS are frequently not diagnosed at their first demyelinating event but often years later. Symptoms and physician encounters before MS diagnosis seem to be related to already ongoing disease rather than a prodrome. The observed association of upper respiratory tract infections with lower ORs of MS diagnosis suggests a link between protection from infection and MS that however needs to be validated and further investigated.

PMID:33903190 | DOI:10.1212/WNL.0000000000012074

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Vitamin D levels in Irish children with fractures: A prospective case-control study with 5 year follow-up

Surgeon. 2021 Apr 24:S1479-666X(21)00067-6. doi: 10.1016/j.surge.2021.02.015. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Twenty-five-hydroxy-vitamin D3 (25-OH-vit D) is a prohormone that is essential for normal calcium homeostasis and bone metabolism. Understanding its role is an important component of the proper care of the pediatric orthopaedic patient. The aim of this study was to determine whether children in Ireland with fractures have increased prevalence of 25-OH-Vit D deficiency compared with age matched controls and to ascertain the relationship between a low 25-OH-vit D level and the incidence of fractures in Irish children. We hypothesised that children presenting to our centre following a fracture would have significantly lower 25-OH-vit D.

METHODS: A prospective case-control study at a large urban tertiary referral academic hospital located in Dublin, Ireland was completed over a 14 month period from June 2014 to August 2015. A total of 116 subjects, distributed as cases (n = 58) and controls (n = 58) were included in this study. Whole blood (10 ml) was taken in two serum bottles from each patient. Serum 25-hydroxy-vitamin D3 levels were measured. An age matched control group was generated from other children attending the hospital, who also had vitamin D levels measured for different clinical reasons. We followed up both the fracture and control group for the next 5 years to assess the repeat fracture rate.

RESULTS: Fifty-eight patients with a fracture requiring operative intervention, were included in the study. Statistical analysis was performed comparing to 58 age and sex-matched controls. The mean vitamin D level for the fracture group was 63.2 nmol/L (SD = 27.3), which was higher than the mean of the controls (62.5 nmol/L) (SD = 21.3) (p = 0.86), but this difference was found not to be statistically significant in unadjusted analysis. There was no statistically significant difference in the number of patients classified with low serum Vitamin D levels (<50 nmolL), with the fracture group consisting of 22 (37.9%) patients, and the control group of 17 patients (29.3%) (p = 0.33) with a level below 50 nmol/L. At five-year follow-up, 11 of the 58 patients (18.9%) in the fracture group went on to have a further fracture compared with eight patients (13.7%) from the control group. Out of these 11 from the fracture group five (45.45%) had been found to have a low serum 25-OH-Vit D level five years previously. Out of the eight controls that presented with a fracture within the five-year period, 3 (37.5%) had had a low vitamin D level at the origin of this study.

CONCLUSION: The results of this study show that children presenting to our institution with low energy fractures have a prevalence of 38% 25-hydroxy-vitamin D deficiency. This study included children from age 1 to 16 primarily Caucasian encompassing all fracture types resulting from accidental trauma. Our findings suggest that in an Irish pediatric population vitamin D status may impact fracture risk with more than one-third being deficient in this review.

PMID:33903053 | DOI:10.1016/j.surge.2021.02.015

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Instability of the extensor digitorum tendons in Jaccoud arthropathy assessed by semi-dynamic MRI of the metacarpophalangeal joints

Diagn Interv Imaging. 2021 Apr 23:S2211-5684(21)00083-8. doi: 10.1016/j.diii.2021.03.005. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to test the hypothesis that Jaccoud arthropathy (JA) in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is associated with instability of the extensor digitorum (ED) tendons during flexion of the metacarpophalangeal (MCP) joints by comparing the position of the ED tendons between SLE patients with JA and control subjects on hand MRI obtained with flexed and extended MCP joints.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Thirty-two hands of SLE patients with JA (13 women and 3 men; mean age, 50.0±12.2 [SD] years; age range: 26-68years) and 24 hands of sex- and age-matched control subjects (20 women and 4 men; mean age, 50.1±13.0 [SD] years; age range: 24-68years) were included in the study. Axial spin echo T1-weighted MRI images of the second to fifth MCP joints in flexion and in extension were obtained. Two radiologists (R1 and R2) separately measured the amplitude and assessed the direction of the displacement of the ED tendons with respect to the midline at the level of each MCP joint. Statistical analysis included two-way ANOVA with random effects to assess differences in amplitude and Fisher-Freeman-Halton exact test to assess differences in direction with P-values<0.0083 and<0.0063 considered as statistically significant respectively.

RESULTS: Amplitude of the displacement of the ED tendons was statistically significantly greater in SLE patients with JA than in control subjects in flexion for both readers (median 58°, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 50°-65° vs. 20°, 95% CI: 16°-24°; P<0.0001 for R1 and 54°, 95% CI: 47°-61° vs. 25°, 95% CI: 22°-28°; P<0.0001 for R2) and in extension for one reader (17°, 95% CI: 15°-20° vs. 14°, 95% CI: 11°-16°; P=0.0048 for R1 and 20°, 95% CI: 15°-25° vs. 16°, 95% CI: 12°-18°; P=0.0292 for R2). Ulnar deviation of the ED tendons was statistically significantly more frequent in SLE patients with JA than in control subjects in flexion and in extension for both readers (P<0.0001).

CONCLUSION: JA is associated with instability of the ED tendons in patients with SLE best depicted when MCP joints are flexed.

PMID:33903055 | DOI:10.1016/j.diii.2021.03.005

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Death of a parent during childhood and blood pressure in youth: a population-based cohort study of Swedish men

BMJ Open. 2021 Apr 26;11(4):e043657. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-043657.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Compelling evidence suggests that childhood adversities are associated with an increased risk of hypertension in middle age and old age. The link between childhood adversities and blood pressure in youth is less clear. In this cohort study, we examined the association between death of a parent during childhood and blood pressure in early adulthood in men.

SETTING: Sweden.

PARTICIPANTS: We studied 48 624 men born in 1949-1951 who participated in the compulsory military conscription in 1969/1970 in Sweden. Information on death of a parent during childhood was obtained from population-based registers. Information on covariates was obtained from the questionnaire and the clinical examination completed at conscription and from population-based registers.

OUTCOME MEASURES: Blood pressure was measured at conscription according to standard procedures.

RESULTS: The multivariable least square means of systolic and diastolic blood pressure did not differ between bereaved (128.25 (127.04-129.46) and 73.86 (72.89-74.84) mm Hg) and non-bereaved study participants (128.02 (126.86-129.18) and 73.99 (73.06-74.93) mm Hg). Results were similar when considering the cause of the parent’s death, the gender of the deceased parent or the child’s age at loss. Loss of a parent in childhood tended to be associated with an increased hypertension risk (OR and 95% CI: 1.10 (1 to 1.20)); the association was present only in case of natural deaths.

CONCLUSION: We found no strong support for the hypothesis that stress following the loss of a parent during childhood is associated with blood pressure or hypertension in youth in men.

PMID:33903141 | DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-043657

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Is there a circannual variation in the anticoagulation control of warfarin?

Eur J Hosp Pharm. 2021 Apr 26:ejhpharm-2021-002793. doi: 10.1136/ejhpharm-2021-002793. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The literature regarding the seasonal variation in the therapeutic response to warfarin is somewhat contradictory, with several discrepancies. We assessed the influence of seasons on various pharmacodynamic indices of warfarin.

METHODS: A retrospective study was carried out in adults receiving warfarin for at least 6 months. Details of their demographic characteristics, duration and dose of warfarin therapy and values of prothrombin time international normalised ratio (PT-INR) were retrieved. Standard definitions were followed for defining various seasons, time in therapeutic range (TTR), log-INR variability and warfarin sensitivity index (WSI). National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) criteria were used for defining TTR into good (≥65%) and poor (<65%) anticoagulation control.

RESULTS: Two hundred and four patients were recruited. Only a subtle statistically significant difference was observed between the numbers of patients in the various PT-INR categories. However, no significant intra-individual differences were observed in mean TTR. Similarly, the proportion of patients with poor anticoagulation control, high INR variability and high WSI was not significantly different between summer, transition period 1, winter and transition period 2.

CONCLUSION: No clinically significant seasonal variations were observed in the therapeutic response to warfarin.

PMID:33903173 | DOI:10.1136/ejhpharm-2021-002793

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Polymer-free biolimus-eluting stents or polymer-based zotarolimus-eluting stents for coronary bifurcation lesions

Cardiovasc Revasc Med. 2021 Apr 8:S1553-8389(21)00193-7. doi: 10.1016/j.carrev.2021.04.005. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: A polymer-free biolimus-eluting stent (PF-BES) and a zotarolimus-eluting stent (ZES) recently showed similar clinical profiles and appear to be competing options in specific clinical settings of patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Whether they perform similarly also in complex procedural settings as coronary bifurcation lesions remains unaddressed.

METHODS: All consecutive patients undergoing coronary bifurcation PCI with PF-BES or the new iteration of the ZES from three large multicenter real-world registries were included. The primary outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction (MI), target lesion revascularization (TLR) and stent thrombosis (ST). Multiple analyses to adjust for baseline differences were carried out including propensity-score matching, propensity-score stratification and inverse-probability-weighting. Outcomes are reported according to Cox proportional hazard models censored at 400-day follow-up.

RESULTS: 1169 patients treated with PF-BES (n = 440) or ZES (n = 729) on the main branch of a coronary bifurcation lesion were included (mean age 69 ± 11 years, 75.4% male, 53.8% acute coronary syndrome at presentation, 26.6% left main bifurcation, median dual antiplatelet therapy duration 12 [range 12-12] months). MACE, all-cause death, TLR and ST tended towards non-statistically higher rates with the PF-BES as compared to the ZES. Higher MI and target vessel revascularization occurrence was observed with PF-BES.

CONCLUSIONS: In this large contemporary cohort of patients undergoing coronary bifurcation PCI, the occurrence of MACE was non-statistically different with the use of PF-BES and ZES devices. However, differences favoring the ZES device that may entail clinical relevance were observed. Further studies are needed to confirm these findings and explore whether they remain valid when a short dual antiplatelet therapy is adopted.

PMID:33903036 | DOI:10.1016/j.carrev.2021.04.005

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The Effect of Cold Therapy Applied to the Incision Area After Abdominal Surgery on Postoperative Pain and Analgesic Use

Pain Manag Nurs. 2021 Apr 23:S1524-9042(21)00120-X. doi: 10.1016/j.pmn.2021.03.007. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cold therapy is one of the most common nonpharmacologic pain treatments. Despite the existence of many studies about cold therapy, few have examined the effects of cold therapy after abdominal surgery.

AIMS: The purpose of the study was to investigate the effect of cold therapy applied to the incision area after abdominal surgery on postoperative pain and analgesic use.

DESIGN: This study was a randomized controlled trial METHODS: The sample included 60 patients (30 control, 30 experimental) undergoing abdominal surgery. Researchers recorded information from a patient information form, a visual analogue scale (VAS), a pain evaluation form, and the vital signs recording form.

RESULTS: There was no statistically significant difference in pain level between the experimental and control groups as measured by VAS at postoperative hour 1 (p > .05). Furthermore, no statistically significant difference in VAS pain levels between groups was observed at postoperative hours 1, 2, and 8 prior to application of cold therapy (p > .05). Then, when cold therapy was applied at hours 1, 2 and 8, the pain level decreased significantly in the experimental group (p =.001). Pain also decreased in the control group between hours 1 and 8, but this decrease was not as great as that in the experimental group (p = .024).

CONCLUSIONS: Both groups had decreased pain levels, and the decrease in the experimental group was greater than in the control group but cold therapy had no statistically significant effect on analgesics use.

PMID:33903052 | DOI:10.1016/j.pmn.2021.03.007

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A Systematic Review and Narrative Synthesis of Risk Prediction Tools Used to Estimate Mortality, Morbidity, and Other Outcomes Following Major Lower Limb Amputation

Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg. 2021 Apr 23:S1078-5884(21)00190-8. doi: 10.1016/j.ejvs.2021.02.038. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The decision to undertake a major lower limb amputation can be complex. This review evaluates the performance of risk prediction tools in estimating mortality, morbidity, and other outcomes following amputation.

METHODS: A systematic review was performed following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. The MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched to identify studies reporting on risk prediction tools that predict outcomes following amputation. Outcome measures included the accuracy of the risk tool in predicting a range of post-operative complications, including mortality (both short and long term), peri-operative morbidity, need for re-amputation, and ambulation success. A narrative synthesis was performed in accordance with the Guidance on the Conduct of Narrative Synthesis In Systematic Reviews.

RESULTS: The search identified 518 database records. Twelve observational studies, evaluating 13 risk prediction tools in a total cohort of 61 099 amputations, were included. One study performed external validation of an existing risk prediction tool, while all other studies developed novel tools or modified pre-existing generic calculators. Two studies conducted external validation of the novel/modified tools. Nine tools provided risk estimations for mortality, two tools provided predictions for post-operative morbidity, two for likelihood of ambulation, and one for re-amputation to the same or higher level. Most mortality prediction tools demonstrated acceptable discrimination performance with C statistic values ranging from 0.65 to 0.81. Tools estimating the risk of post-operative complications (0.65 – 0.74) and necessity for re-amputation (0.72) also performed acceptably. The Blatchford Allman Russell tool demonstrated outstanding discrimination for predicting functional mobility outcomes post-amputation (0.94). Overall, most studies were at high risk of bias with poor external validity.

CONCLUSION: This review identified several risk prediction tools that demonstrate acceptable to outstanding discrimination for objectively predicting an array of important post-operative outcomes. However, the methodological quality of some studies was poor, external validation studies are generally lacking, and there are no tools predicting other important outcomes, especially quality of life.

PMID:33903018 | DOI:10.1016/j.ejvs.2021.02.038

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Daily physical activity, cardiorespiratory fitness, nutritional status, endothelial function, and autonomic modulation in school-age adolescents: A principal component analysis

Obes Res Clin Pract. 2021 Apr 23:S1871-403X(21)00061-2. doi: 10.1016/j.orcp.2021.04.004. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: This study evaluated the association between cardiorespiratory fitness, abdominal obesity, blood pressure, endothelial function, and autonomic modulation in school-age adolescents exhibiting different levels of habitual physical activity and nutritional status, through a multivariate statistical approach.

METHODS: 101 adolescents aged 15-18 years (54 females) underwent assessments of daily physical activity, body mass index, cardiorespiratory fitness, reactive hyperemia, and heart rate variability. Based on BMI adjusted for age and sex (z-BMI), 21 adolescents were classified as ‘overweight’ (9 girls), and 9 as ‘obese’ (4 girls). The common variation between those variables was assessed through Principal Component Analysis (PCA).

RESULTS: Main axis of common variation of outcomes analyzed defined four principal components (PCs) accounting for 69.7% of overall variance, related to ‘abdominal obesity and blood pressure’ (PC1; eigenvalue=2.76), ‘cardiorespiratory fitness, endothelial function, and autonomic modulation’ (PC2, eigenvalue=1.98), ‘cardiorespiratory fitness’ (PC3, eigenvalue=1.21), and ‘sedentary behavior’ (PC4, eigenvalue=1.02). Girls reported longer screen time and sedentary behavior than boys. Notwithstanding, in both sexes poorer cardiorespiratory fitness corresponded to lower reactive hyperemia and vagal modulation, irrespective of the nutritional status. Overall, adolescents classified as ‘obese’ and ‘sedentary’ exhibited poorer CRF concomitantly to autonomic and endothelial dysfunctions.

CONCLUSION: In school-age adolescents, endothelial and autonomic dysfunctions related to poor cardiorespiratory fitness, irrespective of the nutritional status and physical activity level. However, endothelial and autonomic dysfunctions were more prevalent among adolescents combining poor cardiorespiratory fitness, reduced levels of daily physical activity, and overweight/obesity.

PMID:33903023 | DOI:10.1016/j.orcp.2021.04.004

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Determinants of arterial stiffness in patients with atrial fibrillation

Arch Cardiovasc Dis. 2021 Apr 23:S1875-2136(21)00070-X. doi: 10.1016/j.acvd.2020.12.009. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Arterial stiffness has emerged as a strong predictor of cardiovascular disease, end-organ damage and all-cause mortality. Although increased arterial stiffness has been described as a predictor of atrial fibrillation, the relationship between arterial stiffness and atrial fibrillation is uncertain.

AIM: We assessed arterial stiffness in patients with atrial fibrillation compared with that in a control group.

METHODS: We enrolled 151 patients with atrial fibrillation who underwent pulmonary vein isolation (mean age 71.1±9.8 years) and 54 control patients with similar cardiovascular risk profiles and sinus rhythm, matched for age (mean age 68.6±15.7 years) and sex. Aortic distensibility as a measure of arterial stiffness was assessed by transoesophageal echocardiography. Patients with atrial fibrillation were followed over a median of 21 (15 to 31) months.

RESULTS: Compared with control patients, patients with atrial fibrillation had significantly lower aortic distensibility (1.8±1.1 vs. 2.1±1.1 10-3mmHg-1; P=0.02). Age (hazard ratio 0.67, 95% confidence interval 0.003 to 0.03; P=0.02) and pulse pressure (hazard ratio -1.35, 95% confidence interval -0.07 to -0.03; P<0.0001) were the strongest predictors of decreased aortic distensibility in the study cohort. This effect was independent of the type of atrial fibrillation (paroxysmal/persistent). During follow-up, decreased aortic distensibility was a predictor of cardiovascular and all-cause hospitalizations, as well as recurrences of atrial fibrillation, with a higher incidence rate of events in patients in the lowest aortic distensibility quartile (P=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: Aortic distensibility was significantly reduced in patients with atrial fibrillation, with age and pulse pressure showing the strongest correlation, independent of the type of atrial fibrillation. Additionally, decreased aortic distensibility was associated with cardiovascular and all-cause hospitalizations, as well as recurrences of atrial fibrillation, which showed a quartile-dependent occurrence.

PMID:33903034 | DOI:10.1016/j.acvd.2020.12.009