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Prediction modelling in the early detection of neonatal sepsis

World J Pediatr. 2022 Jan 5. doi: 10.1007/s12519-021-00505-1. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Prediction modelling can greatly assist the health-care professionals in the management of diseases, thus sparking interest in neonatal sepsis diagnosis. The main objective of the study was to provide a complete picture of performance of prediction models for early detection of neonatal sepsis.

METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, CINAHL databases were searched and articles which used various prediction modelling measures for the early detection of neonatal sepsis were comprehended. Data extraction was carried out based on Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies checklist. Extricate data consisted of objective, study design, patient characteristics, type of statistical model, predictors, outcome, sample size and location. Prediction model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool was applied to gauge the risk of bias of the articles.

RESULTS: An aggregate of ten studies were included in the review among which eight studies had applied logistic regression to build a prediction model, while the remaining two had applied artificial intelligence. Potential predictors like neonatal fever, birth weight, foetal morbidity and gender, cervicovaginitis and maternal age were identified for the early detection of neonatal sepsis. Moreover, birth weight, endotracheal intubation, thyroid hypofunction and umbilical venous catheter were promising factors for predicting late-onset sepsis; while gestational age, intrapartum temperature and antibiotics treatment were utilised as budding prognosticators for early-onset sepsis detection.

CONCLUSION: Prediction modelling approaches were able to recognise promising maternal, neonatal and laboratory predictors in the rapid detection of early and late neonatal sepsis and thus, can be considered as a novel way for clinician decision-making towards the disease diagnosis if not used alone, in the years to come.

PMID:34984642 | DOI:10.1007/s12519-021-00505-1

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A comprehensive enhanced depth imaging spectral-domain optical coherence tomography analysis of pseudoexfoliation spectrum from non-glaucomatous to advanced stage glaucoma in the aspect of Bruch’s membrane opening-minimum rim width

Int Ophthalmol. 2022 Jan 5. doi: 10.1007/s10792-021-02181-6. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To compare the correlations between lamina cribrosa (LC) and related structures with Bruch’s membrane opening-minimum rim width (BMO-MRW) and retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness in pseudoexfoliation syndrome (PXS) and different stages of pseudoexfoliation glaucoma (PXG).

METHODS: This prospective cross-sectional study included 32 PXS eyes of 24 patients and 94 PXG eyes (early-stage (n: 55) and advanced-stage glaucoma (n: 39) of 78 patients. Global and six sectors of RNFL thicknesses and BMO-MRW parameters were measured with enhanced depth imaging (EDI) mode of SD-OCT. Structural parameters; lamina cribrosa thickness (LCT), lamina cribrosa depth (LCD), prelaminar tissue thickness (PLTT), four quadrants of peripapillary choroidal thicknesses (PPCT), and subfoveal choroidal thickness (SFCT) were measured and statistical relationships between the structural parameters have been laid out. We apply the generalized estimating equations method to take into account dependency of right and left eyes.

RESULTS: From PXS to mild and advanced PXG groups LCT and PLTT decrease from 147.29 ± 33.10, 145.62 ± 30.64, 126.30 ± 29.14 and 260.93 ± 185.07, 247.27 ± 142.58, 159.89 ± 86.84, respectively, and LCD varies as 159.89 ± 86.84, 420.88 ± 117.80, and 505.64 ± 183.25. The correlations between LCD, LCT, and PLTT and the stage of the disease are significant. BMO-MRW shows slightly stronger correlations than the RNFL with LC related parameters. SFCT does not exhibit any significant relationship with the stage of the disease. However, PPCT in only the interior quadrant does. The significant correlations between LCD and all quadrants of PPCT is the sign of important anatomic relationship.

CONCLUSION: These findings show that the BMO-MRW parameter may be more sensitive than RNFL and can safely be used in the diagnosis and follow-up in PXS and PXG, but this result should be supported with longer and larger series.

PMID:34984628 | DOI:10.1007/s10792-021-02181-6

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Distribution of anterior chamber angle measurements in South African young adults: an optical coherence tomography study

Int Ophthalmol. 2022 Jan 5. doi: 10.1007/s10792-021-02164-7. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Assessment of anterior chamber angle (ACA) variables is important to screen, diagnose and monitor ocular anomalies. Even though data on ACA variables, such as angle-opening distance taken at 500 µm (AOD500) and trabecular-iris angle (TIA), are available in the literature, limited information is available about these variables in African sub-populations. The purpose of this study is to describe the distribution of ACA measurements (AOD500 and TIA) in a South African young adult population.

METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, 700 young adults were recruited from a university student population using two-stage random sampling. The Optovue iVue 100 optical coherence tomographer was used to measure the ACA variables. The distribution of the AOD500 and TIA measurements was analysed using descriptive and inferential statistics. Data from only the right eyes were analysed because the ACA measurements in the two eyes showed high levels of interocular symmetry.

RESULTS: The measurements for the nasal and temporal ACAs were asymmetrically distributed (p < 0.001). The median AOD500 measurements in the nasal and temporal angles were 539 µm and 542 µm, respectively. The median TIA measurements were similar (~ 36°) in the two horizontal angles. The temporal ACA measurements were slightly higher than the nasal ACA measurements. Females had higher median ACA measurements than males (p ≥ 0.029).

CONCLUSION: The ACA measurements in South African young adults resemble non-Gaussian curves. The ACA measurements are different from that reported in other sub-populations worldwide and most participants had ACA measurements associated with non-occludable ACAs.

PMID:34984629 | DOI:10.1007/s10792-021-02164-7

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Assessing the Relationship between Poverty and Economic Growth: Does Sustainable Development Goal Can be Achieved?

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Jan 4. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-18240-5. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Income inequality, poverty, and economic growth are defined as an economy’s exposure to exogenous shocks arising out of poverty. The study used various econometric estimations to measure the effect of inequality and poverty on economic development during 1990 to 2016 in Vietnam. Various econometric estimation tests confirmed the presence of a long-run association between inequality and poverty, and economic growth is the matter of poverty headcount ratio in Vietnam. When we added the investment-to-GDP ratio and the number of years in education, it decreases by -0.144. This is reduced to -0.05 when log population growth rate was added while the employment, the coefficient decreases to -0.04 and becomes statistically insignificant. We found a negative impact of poverty and we reassess the hypothesis’s emphasis on inequality and poverty and their combining effect of inclusive economic growth. Interestingly our results verify the previous findings that inequality and poverty show a negative impact on economic growth. The negative impact of poverty and inequality on economic growth appears to be concentrated at the high poverty level. These findings recommend that poverty reduction policies should be beneficial in encouraging economic growth even if they do not decrease income inequality.

PMID:34984611 | DOI:10.1007/s11356-021-18240-5

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Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence in Pharmaceutical Research and Development: a Review

AAPS J. 2022 Jan 4;24(1):19. doi: 10.1208/s12248-021-00644-3.

ABSTRACT

Over the past decade, artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have become the breakthrough technology most anticipated to have a transformative effect on pharmaceutical research and development (R&D). This is partially driven by revolutionary advances in computational technology and the parallel dissipation of previous constraints to the collection/processing of large volumes of data. Meanwhile, the cost of bringing new drugs to market and to patients has become prohibitively expensive. Recognizing these headwinds, AI/ML techniques are appealing to the pharmaceutical industry due to their automated nature, predictive capabilities, and the consequent expected increase in efficiency. ML approaches have been used in drug discovery over the past 15-20 years with increasing sophistication. The most recent aspect of drug development where positive disruption from AI/ML is starting to occur, is in clinical trial design, conduct, and analysis. The COVID-19 pandemic may further accelerate utilization of AI/ML in clinical trials due to an increased reliance on digital technology in clinical trial conduct. As we move towards a world where there is a growing integration of AI/ML into R&D, it is critical to get past the related buzz-words and noise. It is equally important to recognize that the scientific method is not obsolete when making inferences about data. Doing so will help in separating hope from hype and lead to informed decision-making on the optimal use of AI/ML in drug development. This manuscript aims to demystify key concepts, present use-cases and finally offer insights and a balanced view on the optimal use of AI/ML methods in R&D.

PMID:34984579 | DOI:10.1208/s12248-021-00644-3

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Effect of obesity and metabolic health on urolithiasis: A nationwide population-based study

Investig Clin Urol. 2022 Jan;63(1):63-70. doi: 10.4111/icu.20210332.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To investigate the risk of symptomatic urolithiasis requiring surgical treatment according to obesity and metabolic health status using a nationwide dataset of the Korean population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Of the 5,300,646 persons who underwent health examinations between the year 2009 and 2016, within one year after the health examination, 35,137 patients who underwent surgical treatment for urolithiasis were enrolled. Participants were classified as “obese” or “non-obese” using a body mass index (BMI) cutoff of 25 kg/m². People who developed ≥1 metabolic disease component in the index year were considered “metabolically unhealthy”, while those with none were considered “metabolically healthy”.

RESULTS: Out of 34,330 participants excluding 843 missing, 16,509 (48.1%), 4,320 (12.6%), 6,456 (18.8%), and 7,045 (20.5%) subjects were classified into the metabolically healthy non-obese (MHNO), metabolically unhealthy non-obese (MUNO), metabolically healthy obese (MHO), and metabolically unhealthy obese (MUO) group, respectively. Mean BMI was 22.1±1.9 kg/m², 22.9±1.6 kg/m², 26.9±1.8 kg/m², and 27.9±2.4 kg/m² respectively. After adjusting the age and sex, the subjects in the MUNO group had an HR (95% CI) of 1.192 (1.120-1.268), those in the MHO group, 1.242 (1.183-1.305), and those in the MUO group, 1.341 (1.278-1.407) for either extracorporeal shockwave lithotripsy or surgery, compared to those in the MHNO group.

CONCLUSIONS: Metabolically healthy, obese individuals have a higher risk of developing symptomatic urolithiasis than non-obese, unhealthy, but have a lower risk than obese, unhealthy. It suggests that metabolic health and obesity have collaborative effects, independently affecting the development of symptomatic urinary stone diseases.

PMID:34983124 | DOI:10.4111/icu.20210332

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Monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 levels are associated with major depressive disorder

J Basic Clin Physiol Pharmacol. 2022 Jan 5. doi: 10.1515/jbcpp-2021-0132. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a distressing condition characterized by persistent low mood, loss of interest in daily activities. Researchers consider several biological, psycho-social, and genetic factors are involved in depression. The present study aimed to investigate the serum levels of monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1) in MDD patients to explore its role in depression.

METHODS: This case-control study recruited 114 MDD patients and 106 healthy controls (HCs) matched by age and gender. A specialized psychiatrist diagnosed the cases and evaluated the controls based on the diagnostic and statistical manual for mental disorders, 5th edition. We quantified serum MCP-1 levels using commercially available enzyme-linked immune sorbent assay kits. Also, we applied the Hamilton depression rating scale (Ham-D) to measure the severity of depression.

RESULTS: We observed the decreased levels of serum MCP-1 in MDD patients compared to HCs. Also, we obtained a significant negative correlation between serum MCP-1 levels and Ham-D scores. Moreover, female MDD patients with higher Ham-D scores exhibited lower serum MCP-1 levels. The receiver operating characteristic analysis demonstrated the good diagnostic value of MCP-1 with the area under the curve at 0.837.

CONCLUSIONS: The depression-related alteration of serum MCP-1 may be more complicated than the current assumption and depends on the characteristics of the individual patients. Our study suggests that the serum MCP-1 levels might involve in the pathophysiology and mechanism of MDD. The present findings, along with the diagnostic evaluation, might be used to evaluate depressive patients.

PMID:34983131 | DOI:10.1515/jbcpp-2021-0132

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Relationship between 18F-FDG PET/CT Semi-Quantitative Parameters and International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer, American Thoracic Society/European Respiratory Society Classification in Lung Adenocarcinomas

Korean J Radiol. 2022 Jan;23(1):112-123. doi: 10.3348/kjr.2021.0455.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship between 18F-FDG PET/CT semi-quantitative parameters and the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer, American Thoracic Society/European Respiratory Society (IASLC/ATS/ERS) histopathologic classification, including histological subtypes, proliferation activity, and somatic mutations.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective study included 419 patients (150 males, 269 females; median age, 59.0 years; age range, 23.0-84.0 years) who had undergone surgical removal of stage IA-IIIA lung adenocarcinoma and had preoperative PET/CT data of lung tumors. The maximum standardized uptake values (SUVmax), background-subtracted volume (BSV), and background-subtracted lesion activity (BSL) derived from PET/CT were measured. The IASLC/ATS/ERS subtypes, Ki67 score, and epidermal growth factor/anaplastic lymphoma kinase (EGFR/ALK) mutation status were evaluated. The PET/CT semi-quantitative parameters were compared between the tumor subtypes using the Mann-Whitney U test or the Kruskal-Wallis test. The optimum cutoff values of the PET/CT semi-quantitative parameters for distinguishing the IASLC/ATS/ERS subtypes were calculated using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The correlation between the PET/CT semi-quantitative parameters and pathological parameters was analyzed using Spearman’s correlation. Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05.

RESULTS: SUVmax, BSV, and BSL values were significantly higher in invasive adenocarcinoma (IA) than in minimally IA (MIA), and the values were higher in MIA than in adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS) (all p < 0.05). Remarkably, an SUVmax of 0.90 and a BSL of 3.62 were shown to be the optimal cutoff values for differentiating MIA from AIS, manifesting as pure ground-glass nodules with 100% sensitivity and specificity. Metabolic-volumetric parameters (BSV and BSL) were better potential independent factors than metabolic parameters (SUVmax) in differentiating growth patterns. SUVmax and BSL, rather than BSV, were strongly or moderately correlated with Ki67 in most subtypes, except for the micropapillary and solid predominant groups. PET/CT parameters were not correlated with EGFR/ALK mutation status.

CONCLUSION: As noninvasive surrogates, preoperative PET/CT semi-quantitative parameters could imply IASLC/ATS/ERS subtypes and Ki67 index and thus may contribute to improved management of precise surgery and postoperative adjuvant therapy.

PMID:34983098 | DOI:10.3348/kjr.2021.0455

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Time Trends in the Prevalence of Atopic Dermatitis in Korean Children According to Age

Allergy Asthma Immunol Res. 2022 Jan;14(1):123-130. doi: 10.4168/aair.2022.14.1.123.

ABSTRACT

This study aimed to explore time trends in the prevalence of atopic dermatitis (AD) according to age in Korean children. We observed changes in the estimated annual prevalence of AD using data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) and Statistics Korea between 2003 and 2018. In each year, the highest prevalence was evident among children aged 12 to 23 months, and then the prevalence decreased with age. The annual prevalence of AD in Korean children under the age of 18 slightly increased from 4.0% in 2003 to 4.5% in 2018. During this period, the prevalence in children aged 6 to 18 years increased from 1.9% in 2003 to 3.1% in 2018, while that of infants aged less than 24 months substantially decreased. Among children who were born in 1991, 1997, 2000, 2003 and 2006, the slopes of decreasing trend lines over age 6 were similar. Comparing children born in 2009 and 2012 with those born before 2006, the more recent the birth year, the higher the prevalence of AD over age 6. In conclusion, time trends of the annual prevalence of AD in Korean children from 2003 through 2018 were different according to age group. These results suggest that AD development during infancy is decreasing whereas either a late-onset AD or early-onset, persistent phenotype is likely to increase. Different strategies according to age are required for more effective prevention and treatment of AD in Korean children.

PMID:34983112 | DOI:10.4168/aair.2022.14.1.123

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Quality of Radiomics Research on Brain Metastasis: A Roadmap to Promote Clinical Translation

Korean J Radiol. 2022 Jan;23(1):77-88. doi: 10.3348/kjr.2021.0421.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Our study aimed to evaluate the quality of radiomics studies on brain metastases based on the radiomics quality score (RQS), Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) checklist, and the Image Biomarker Standardization Initiative (IBSI) guidelines.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: PubMed MEDLINE, and EMBASE were searched for articles on radiomics for evaluating brain metastases, published until February 2021. Of the 572 articles, 29 relevant original research articles were included and evaluated according to the RQS, TRIPOD checklist, and IBSI guidelines.

RESULTS: External validation was performed in only three studies (10.3%). The median RQS was 3.0 (range, -6 to 12), with a low basic adherence rate of 50.0%. The adherence rate was low in comparison to the “gold standard” (10.3%), stating the potential clinical utility (10.3%), performing the cut-off analysis (3.4%), reporting calibration statistics (6.9%), and providing open science and data (3.4%). None of the studies involved test-retest or phantom studies, prospective studies, or cost-effectiveness analyses. The overall rate of adherence to the TRIPOD checklist was 60.3% and low for reporting title (3.4%), blind assessment of outcome (0%), description of the handling of missing data (0%), and presentation of the full prediction model (0%). The majority of studies lacked pre-processing steps, with bias-field correction, isovoxel resampling, skull stripping, and gray-level discretization performed in only six (20.7%), nine (31.0%), four (3.8%), and four (13.8%) studies, respectively.

CONCLUSION: The overall scientific and reporting quality of radiomics studies on brain metastases published during the study period was insufficient. Radiomics studies should adhere to the RQS, TRIPOD, and IBSI guidelines to facilitate the translation of radiomics into the clinical field.

PMID:34983096 | DOI:10.3348/kjr.2021.0421