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Nevin Manimala Statistics

The lagged effect and attributable risk of apparent temperature on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Changsha, China: a distributed lag non-linear model

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Sep 12. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-22875-3. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is the leading Category C infectious disease affecting millions of children in China every year. In the context of global climate change, the understanding and quantification of the impact of weather factors on human health are particularly critical to the development and implementation of climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies. The aim of this study was to quantify the attributable burden of a combined bioclimatic indicator (apparent temperature) on HFMD and to identify temperature-specific sensitive populations. A total of 123,622 HFMD cases were included in the study. The non-linear relationship between apparent temperature and the incidence of HFMD was approximately M-shaped, with hot weather being more likely to be attributable than cold conditions, of which moderately hot accounting for the majority of cases (21,441, 17.34%). Taking the median apparent temperature (19.2 °C) as reference, the cold effect showed a short acute effect with the highest risk on the day of lag 0 (RR = 1.086, 95% CI: 1.024 ~ 1.152), whereas the hot effect lasted longer with the greatest risk at a lag of 7 days (RR = 1.081, 95% CI: 1.059 ~ 1.104). Subgroup analysis revealed that males, children under 3 years old, and scattered children tended to be more vulnerable to HFMD in hot weather, while females, those aged 3 ~ 5 years, and nursery children were sensitive to cold conditions. This study suggests that high temperatures have a greater impact on HFMD than low temperatures as well as lasting longer, of particular concern being moderately high temperatures rather than extreme temperatures. Early intervention takes on greater importance during cold days, while the duration of HFMD intervention must be longer during hot days.

PMID:36094702 | DOI:10.1007/s11356-022-22875-3

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) leak after elective lumbar spinal fusion: Who is at risk?

Eur Spine J. 2022 Sep 12. doi: 10.1007/s00586-022-07383-9. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: CSF leaks are a known complication of lumbar fusion surgery. There is a scarcity of literature describing the incidence and risk factors associated with this complication. The aim of this study was to identify patients who are at risk of developing postoperative CSF leak.

METHODS: The Nationwide Inpatient Sample database was used to identify patients who had lumbar fusion in the US from 2002 to 2014. Inpatient outcomes included the incidence and risk of developing CSF leak based on selected patient-specific characteristics. Secondary outcomes included average length of stay, mean costs, and mortality rates. All statistical analyses were conducted based on multivariate regression models using the SPSS software.

RESULTS: A total of 439,220 patients who underwent elective lumbar fusion procedures were identified. Of these patients, 2.6% (11,636 /439,220) were found to have CSF leak. Independent important risk factors for CSF leak development included: older age (OR: 1.025; 95% CI: 1.02-1.03; p < 0.0001), posterior approach (OR: 1.71; 95% CI: 1.59-1.85; p < 0.0001) compared to anterior approach, chronic deficiency anemia (OR: 1.21; 95% CI:1.14-1.30; p < 0.0001), obesity (OR: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.15-1.30; p < 0.0001), and pulmonary circulatory disease (OR: 1.44; 95% CI: 1.18-1.75; p < 0.0001). CSF leak was associated with increased length of stay (5.39 ± 3.86 vs. 3.74 ± 2.55; p < 0.0001), hospitalization costs (120,129.0 ± 88,123.5 vs. 89,226.8 ± 65,350.3; p < 0.0001) and mortality (0.3% vs. 0.1%; p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION: Spine surgeons should be aware of certain patient and procedure-specific characteristics that increase the risk of developing postoperative CSF leak after lumbar fusion in order to improve patient outcomes.

PMID:36094667 | DOI:10.1007/s00586-022-07383-9

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Average abundancy of cooperation in multi-player games with random payoffs

J Math Biol. 2022 Sep 12;85(3):27. doi: 10.1007/s00285-022-01789-1.

ABSTRACT

We consider interactions between players in groups of size [Formula: see text] with payoffs that not only depend on the strategies used in the group but also fluctuate at random over time. An individual can adopt either cooperation or defection as strategy and the population is updated from one time step to the next by a birth-death event according to a Moran model. Assuming recurrent symmetric mutation and payoffs to cooperators and defectors according to the composition of the group whose expected values, variances, and covariances are of the same small order, we derive a first-order approximation for the average abundance of cooperation in the selection-mutation equilibrium. In general, we show that increasing the variance of any payoff for defection or decreasing the variance of any payoff for cooperation increases the average abundance of cooperation. As for the effect of the covariance between any payoff for cooperation and any payoff for defection, we show that it depends on the number of cooperators in the group associated with these payoffs. We study in particular the public goods game, the stag hunt game, and the snowdrift game, all social dilemmas based on random benefit b and random cost c for cooperation, which lead to correlated payoffs to cooperators and defectors within groups. We show that a decrease in the scaled variance of b or c, or an increase in their scaled covariance, makes it easier for weak selection to favor the abundance of cooperation in the stag hunt game and the snowdrift game. The same conclusion holds for the public goods game except that the variance of b has no effect on the average abundance of C. Moreover, while the mutation rate has little effect on which strategy is more abundant at equilibrium, the group size may change it at least in the stag hunt game with a larger group size making it more difficult for cooperation to be more abundant than defection under weak selection.

PMID:36094659 | DOI:10.1007/s00285-022-01789-1

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Embedded Human Closed-Loop Deep Brain Stimulation for Tourette Syndrome: A Nonrandomized Controlled Trial

JAMA Neurol. 2022 Sep 12. doi: 10.1001/jamaneurol.2022.2741. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Because Tourette syndrome (TS) is a paroxysmal disorder, symptomatic relief in individuals with TS may be possible through the application of stimulation only during the manifestation of human tic neural signatures. This technique could be capable of suppressing both motor and vocal tics and would have similar effectiveness to conventional continuous deep brain stimulation (DBS).

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the feasibility, safety, and clinical effectiveness of bilateral centromedian-parafascicular complex thalamic closed-loop DBS as a treatment for medication-refractory TS.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This single-center double-blinded safety and feasibility trial was conducted between February 2014 and June 2020. Six individuals with TS were screened and recruited from the Norman Fixel Institute at the University of Florida. The primary outcome was measured at 6 months, and participants were followed up for the duration of the neurostimulator battery life. Independent ratings that compared closed-loop and conventional DBS were videotaped. The first 2 of 6 individuals with TS were excluded from the study because the technology for embedded closed-loop capability was not yet available. The date of analysis was August 2020.

INTERVENTIONS: DBS therapy controlled by an embedded closed-loop stimulation system.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary clinical outcome measure was a minimum of a 40% reduction in the YGTSS score at 6 months following DBS. There was also a comparison of conventional DBS with closed-loop DBS using the Modified Rush Videotape Rating Scale for Tic.

RESULTS: The mean (SD) age at TS diagnosis for the cohort was 8.5 (2.9), and the mean (SD) disease duration was 23.7 (5.8) years. Four individuals with TS were analyzed (2 male, 2 female; mean [SD] age, 23.7 [5.8] years). The study showed the closed-loop approach was both feasible and safe. One of the novelties of this study was that a patient-specific closed-loop paradigm was created for each participant. The features and stimulation transition speed were customized based on the signal quality and the tolerance to adverse reactions. The mean (SD) therapeutic outcome with conventional DBS was 33.3% (35.7%) improvement on the YGTSS and 52.8% (21.9%) improvement on the Modified Rush Videotape Rating Scale. Two of 4 participants had a primary outcome variable improvement of 40% meeting the primary efficacy target. When comparing closed-loop DBS with conventional DBS using a Wilcoxon sign-rank test, there was no statistical difference between tic severity score and both approaches revealed a lower tic severity score compared with baseline. The study was feasible in all 4 participants, and there were 25 total reported adverse events with 3 study-related events (12%). The most common adverse events were headache and anxiety.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Embedded closed-loop deep DBS was feasible, safe, and had a comparable outcome to conventional TS DBS for the treatment of tics.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02056873.

PMID:36094652 | DOI:10.1001/jamaneurol.2022.2741

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Social Support, Internalized HIV Stigma, Resilience and Depression Among People Living with HIV: A Moderated Mediation Analysis

AIDS Behav. 2022 Sep 12. doi: 10.1007/s10461-022-03847-7. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Internalized HIV stigma has been associated with depression among people living with HIV (PLWH). However, it is still unclear whether resilience would mediate the association between internalized HIV stigma and depression and how this indirect effect would be moderated by social support. Data were collected from 402 PLWH in South Carolina using a cross-sectional survey. Data were fitted using a path model that specified the extent to which internalized HIV stigma and depression were related through resilience and how this effect was moderated by social support. Sociodemographic characteristics were included in the model as covariates. The indirect effect of internalized HIV stigma on depression through resilience was statistically significant for high social support but not for low social support. To mitigate negative impacts of internalized HIV stigma on mental health of PLWH, intervention efforts should integrate multilevel components for promoting both resilience and social support.

PMID:36094638 | DOI:10.1007/s10461-022-03847-7

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Internalised Weight Stigma Mediates Relationships Between Perceived Weight Stigma and Psychosocial Correlates in Individuals Seeking Bariatric Surgery: a Cross-sectional Study

Obes Surg. 2022 Sep 12. doi: 10.1007/s11695-022-06245-z. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Research suggests that internalised weight stigma may explain the relationship between perceived weight stigma and adverse psychological correlates (e.g. depression, disordered eating, body image disturbances). However, few studies have assessed this mechanism in individuals seeking bariatric surgery, even though depression and disordered eating are more common in this group than the general population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used data from a cross-sectional study with individuals seeking bariatric surgery (n = 217; 73.6% female) from Melbourne, Australia. Participants (Mage = 44.1 years, SD = 11.9; MBMI = 43.1, SD = 7.9) completed a battery of self-report measures on weight stigma and biopsychosocial variables, prior to their procedures. Bias-corrected bootstrapped mediations were used to test the mediating role of internalised weight stigma. Significance thresholds were statistically corrected to reduce the risk of Type I error due to the large number of mediation tests conducted.

RESULTS: Controlling for BMI, internalised weight stigma mediated the relationship between perceived weight stigma and psychological quality of life, symptoms of depression and anxiety, stress, adverse coping behaviours, self-esteem, exercise avoidance, some disordered eating measures and body image subscales, but not physical quality of life or pain.

CONCLUSION: Although the findings are cross-sectional, they are mostly consistent with previous research in other cohorts and provide partial support for theoretical models of weight stigma. Interventions addressing internalised weight stigma may be a useful tool for clinicians to reduce the negative correlates associated with weight stigma.

PMID:36094627 | DOI:10.1007/s11695-022-06245-z

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Cancer risks associated with heterozygous ATM loss of function and missense pathogenic variants based on multigene panel analysis

Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2022 Sep 12. doi: 10.1007/s10549-022-06723-z. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Cancer risks conferred by germline, heterozygous, ATM pathogenic/likely pathogenic variants (PSVs) are yet to be consistently determined. The current study assessed these risks by analysis of a large dataset of ATM heterozygote loss of function (LOF) and missense PSV carriers tested with a multigene panel (MGP).

METHODS: De-identified data of all individuals who underwent ATM sequencing as part of MGP between October 2015 and February 2020 were reviewed. In cancer cases, rates for the six most prevalent variants and for all LOF and missense PSV combined were compared with rates of the same PSV in ethnically matched, healthy population controls. Statistical analysis included Chi-square tests and odds ratios calculations.

RESULTS: For female breast cancer cases, LOF )1794/219,269) and missense (301/219,269) ATM PSVs were seen at higher rates compared to gnomAD non-cancer controls (n = 157/56,001 and n = 27/61,208; p < 0.00001, respectively). Notably, the rate of the c.103C > T variant was higher in controls than in breast cancer cases [p = 0.001; OR 0.31 (95% CI 0.1-0.6)]. For all cancer cases combined, compared with non-cancer population controls, LOF (n = 143) and missense (n = 15) PSVs reported in both datasets were significantly more prevalent in cancer cases [ORLOF 1.7 (95% 1.5-1.9) ORmissense 3.0 (95% CI 2.3-4); p = 0.0001].

CONCLUSION: Both LOF and missense heterozygous ATM PSVs are more frequently detected in cases of several cancer types (breast, ovarian, prostate, lung, pancreatic) compared with healthy population controls. However, not all ATM PSVs confer an increased cancer risk (e.g., breast).

PMID:36094610 | DOI:10.1007/s10549-022-06723-z

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Laser hemorrhoidoplasty for hemorrhoidal disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Lasers Med Sci. 2022 Sep 12. doi: 10.1007/s10103-022-03643-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Laser hemorrhoidoplasty (LHP) is known as a new minimally invasive and painless procedure for symptomatic hemorrhoids. However, Milligan-Morgan (MM) may offer the best result of long-term cure rates. In this study, we aim to compare the efficacy between LHP and MM for hemorrhoidal disease treatment. Using specific keywords, we comprehensively go through the potential articles on PubMed, Europe PMC, and Google Scholar sources until April 19, 2022. All published studies on LHP and MM hemorrhoidectomy were collected. Statistical analysis was done by using Review Manager 5.4 software. Twelve studies with a total of 1756 patients with hemorrhoid grades II-IV were included for the analysis. Our pooled analysis revealed that LHP was associated with shorter operative time (p < 0.00001), shorter length of hospital stay (p = 0.0005), lower risk of urinary retention (p = 0.005) and anal stenosis (p = 0.0004), and lower VAS 24-h post-operative (p < 0.00001) when compared with MM. However, LHP and MM did not differ in terms of recurrence rate (p = 0.70). LHP was superior to MM procedure in terms of shortening the recovery time and minimizing post-operative complications for patients with hemorrhoidal disease.

PMID:36094598 | DOI:10.1007/s10103-022-03643-8

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Temporal trends in incidence, patient characteristics, microbiology and in-hospital mortality in patients with infective endocarditis: a contemporary analysis of 86,469 cases between 2007 and 2019

Clin Res Cardiol. 2022 Sep 12. doi: 10.1007/s00392-022-02100-4. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Infective endocarditis (IE) is characterized by high morbidity and mortality rates, despite recent improvements in diagnostics and treatment. We aimed to investigate incidence, clinical characteristics, and in-hospital mortality in a large-scale nationwide cohort.

METHODS: Using data from the German Federal Bureau of Statistics, all IE cases in Germany between 2007 and 2019 were analyzed. Logistic regression models were fitted to assess associations between clinical factors and in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS: In total, 86,469 patients were hospitalized with IE between 2007 and 2019. The mean age was 66.5 ± 14.7 years and 31.8% (n = 27,534/86,469) were female. Cardiovascular (CV) comorbidities were common. The incidence of IE in the German population increased from 6.3/100,000 to 10.2/100,000 between 2007 and 2019. Staphylococcus (n = 17,673/86,469; 20.4%) and streptococcus (n = 17,618/86,469; 20.4%) were the most common IE-causing bacteria. The prevalence of staphylococcus gradually increased over time, whereas blood culture-negative IE (BCNIE) cases decreased. In-hospital mortality in patients with IE was 14.9%. Compared to BCNIE, staphylococcus and Gram-negative pathogens were associated with higher in-hospital mortality. In multivariable analysis, factors associated with higher likelihood of in-hospital mortality were advanced age, female sex, CV comorbidities (e.g., heart failure, COPD, diabetes, stroke), need for dialysis or invasive ventilation, and sepsis.

CONCLUSIONS: In this contemporary cohort, incidence of IE increased over time and in-hospital mortality remained high (~ 15%). While staphylococcus and streptococcus were the predominant microorganisms, bacteremia with staphylococcus and Gram-negative pathogens were associated with higher likelihood of in-hospital mortality. Our results highlight the need for new preventive strategies and interventions in patients with IE. Infective endocarditis in Germany. BCNIE blood culture-negative infective endocarditis, IE infective endocarditis.

PMID:36094574 | DOI:10.1007/s00392-022-02100-4

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Nevin Manimala Statistics

Geriatric otorhinolaryngology: reasons for outpatient referrals from generalists to ENT specialists

Eur Arch Otorhinolaryngol. 2022 Sep 12. doi: 10.1007/s00405-022-07641-y. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To determine the main symptoms leading to referral of geriatric patients from primary care to otorhinolaryngology.

METHODS: Retrospective, observational study performed on patients aged 65 and older, referred from Primary Care to the Otorhinolaryngology and Head and Neck Surgery department of a tertiary centre during 2019 and 2020. Symptoms leading to otorhinolaryngological referral were categorized as “Oto-neurological symptoms”, “Nasal symptoms”, “Pharyngolaryngeal symptoms”, “Other Head and Neck symptoms” and “Other Reasons”. Data regarding age, gender and whether patients maintain follow-up or have been discharged was also collected.

RESULTS: The study population included a total of 1304 patients (697 female; 607 male). Oto-neurological symptoms were found to be the most prevalent symptoms, with 65% of patients reporting oto-neurological symptoms as at least one of the reasons for referral. Hearing loss was the most commonly reported symptom, with an association found between this symptom and age (p < 0.001). Results also showed an association between the female gender and vertigo/dizziness (p < 0.001) and tinnitus (p = 0.007). An association between the male gender and nasal symptoms was also found (p = 0.018), particularly nasal obstruction (p = 0.003) and epistaxis (p = 0.028). No statistically significant associations were found among the pharyngolaryngeal group.

CONCLUSIONS: This retrospective observational study allowed for a better understanding of the type of otorhinolaryngological symptoms affecting elderly patients and driving otorhinolaryngology evaluation, cementing hearing loss as one of the major complaints among older adults and allowing for a better preparation by otorhinolaryngologists for the changing needs of this subset of the population.

PMID:36094563 | DOI:10.1007/s00405-022-07641-y